Slowest Arctic Sea Ice Melt On Record

Summer is just about over in the Arctic, and Arctic sea ice volume is fifth highest for the date since 2003.

The total ice loss since the winter peak, has been the lowest in the Danish Meteorological Institute record.

Spreadsheet    Data

With lots of cold in the forecast, things aren’t looking good for people who make their living by lying about Arctic melting.

10-Day Temperature Outlook

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23 Responses to Slowest Arctic Sea Ice Melt On Record

  1. Josh says:

    I cannot wait to see Griff attempt a smoke mirror statement on how the Arctic is dire.

    • griff says:

      5th lowest extent and still melting do you?

      and the PIOMAS volume figures are about the same…

      Clutching at the DMI model – yes, it is a model folks – isn’t really accurate and does not reflect the state of the ice…

      NSR route probably open…

      https://seaice.uni-bremen.de/data/amsr2/today/Arctic_AMSR2_visual.png

      • Taphonomic says:

        It’s certainly a good thing that PIOMAS isn’t a model. Oh, wait…

      • TimA says:

        “yes, it is a model folks – isn’t really accurate and does not reflect….global warming!” Fixed it! And therein lies the problem with climate change ‘science’….

      • Anon says:

        Probably open??? It all ready is:

        Watch first commercial LNG tanker cross Russia’s Arctic route without icebreaker escort.

        The 300-meter-long vessel set out from South Korea in December for Sabetta terminal in northern Russia, cutting through 1.8-meter-thick ice. The tanker, which is owned by Teekay shipping company, completed the route last month, delivering an LNG load to France. Its voyage was captured by the crew in a timelapse video.

        “This marked a major milestone for shipping in the Arctic as this was the first time a shipping vessel made independent passage, without the support of an icebreaker, during this time of year,” said Teekay, which is investing in six ships to serve the Yamal LNG project in northern Russia.

        Located in the Russian Arctic, Yamal LNG is a joint project of Russia’s Novatek, France’s Total, China National Petroleum Corporation and the Silk Road Fund. Novatek holds a 50.1 percent share in the project. Its partners own 20 percent, 20 percent, and 9.9 percent respectively.

        At the end of December, Russian tanker ‘Christophe de Margerie’ brought the first batch of LNG from Yamal to the United Kingdom.

        https://www.rt.com/business/419082-lng-tanker-arctic-icebreaker/

        NOW FOR A LITTLE THINKING: Can anyone think of a reason why using Arctic shipping as a Climate Indicator might be problematic? If you are having trouble with this, try the method of exaggeration: imagine if Arctic shipping tonnage were the only climate indicator, would you use it to plan a personal sailing trip to the Arctic? If not, the method is scientifically dubious.

  2. Anon says:

    DOH! This proves nothing. All you need to do is to recalculate the loss as the AMMAD and report that. (AMMAD = Arctic Min-Max Amplitude Differential) Then re-cue your headlines:

    Famous Climate Change Denier Reports Arctic Ice Loss Measurement Value at Record Low.

    CNN (8/6/2018)
    Even climate change deniers can’t repudiate the implications of their own calculations. Using data from their own sources, statisticians at CNN, confirm that should current trends continue the Arctic amplitude differential (AMMAD) will approach zero in twenty years. This zero value is significant and is in complete agreement with CMIP5 climate models which also output a zero value, within in a similar time frame, by other independent means. The mathematics are unequivocal here, zero means zero and there is no way deniers can get around it. Thus, using the climate skeptic’s own data, we at CNN can finally prove and conclude that the Climate debate is truly over.

    • Josh says:

      Serio? Sounds too stupid to be true even from leftist. My gosh, that article should get fake news article of the year. Just when you cannot think the climate ambulance cannot get anymore ridiculous, the leftists decide to construct nonsense, which does not match the clear increase in Arctic Ice in the past 5 years compared to the previous 5 years (2008-2013). Does CNN even care about being partly accurate anymore? #Fakenews

      • Anon says:

        Josh, Yikes! My bad… I am sorry… it is just a parody… I just thought it was so out there it would be clear… but in today’s media environment, I guess I needed to say that explicitly… again sincerest apologies . :( :( :(

        • Josh says:

          Look at Griff’s statement above and you can see how the leftists deflect the argument and try to make the situation insane.

          • Anon says:

            JoshI have not found Griff to be any kind of thinker. Thinking is actually difficult and painful and we only do it about 2% of the time, if that. In most cases, we will consult others or “Google” to solve our problems, than trying to formulate an original solution ourselves. This actually makes sense, why devote the time to engineer an original solution, when we can rely on the overall intelligence of the group? The only downside to this is that you become so reliant on the opinions and solutions of others, that you lose the ability to think through things on your own. Even most of our mathematics courses try to avoid thinking, by providing methods and routines to arrive at the right answer.

            Try it some time, observe throughout a week how many times you are actually thinking and not asking Siri… you will discover how rare actual thinking really is.

  3. Jay says:

    I’m new to the subject of Climate “Science”. Please consider writing up an analysis or doing a video addressing the claims made in this article:

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/dec/12/arctic-permafrost-sea-ice-thaw-climate-change-report

    • Gator says:

      But scientists remain concerned because the far northern region is warming twice as fast as the rest of the globe…

      Twice as fast as zero is still zero. The “globe” has cooled since the 1930’s.

      Analysis complete.

    • Anon says:

      Hi Jay, I will look at the article you posted, but since you are new to the Climate Change debate, I will leave you with these few links. I am a scientist, was teaching CAGW two years ago, and after Wikileaks broke in 2016, I felt obligated to verify what I was teaching from first principles. (If there were a group of people willing to rig a primary against Bernie Sanders, would they have respect for the climate record?) What I discovered was very troubling from both a scientific and ethical perspective.

      I will leave you with these:

      Climate Science: Is it currently designed to answer questions?
      Richard S. Lindzen: Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a lead author of Chapter 7, “Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks,” of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Third Assessment Report on climate change.
      Program in Atmospheres, Oceans and Climate MIT, Cambridge MA 02139, USA

      The above factors are all amplified by the need for government funding. When an issue becomes a vital part of a political agenda, as is the case with climate, then the politically desired position becomes a goal rather than a consequence of scientific research. This paper will deal with the origin of the cultural changes and with specific examples of the operation and interaction of these factors. In particular, we will show how political bodies act to control scientific institutions, how scientists adjust both data and even theory to accommodate politically correct positions, and how opposition to these positions is disposed of.

      http://blog.friendsofscience.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Lindzen12-March-ClimateScienceNOTansweringQ.pdf

      The Big Bad Forces of Censorship and Intimidation in Climate Science. Willie Soon, PhD: Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics

      https://youtu.be/aYAy871w9t8

      How Government Twists Climate Statistics
      Former (OBAMA) Energy Department Undersecretary Steven Koonin on how bureaucrats spin scientific data.

      https://www.wsj.com/video/opinion-journal-how-government-twists-climate-statistics/80027CBC-2C36-4930-AB0B-9C3344B6E199.html

      I find these very troubling, so much so that I quit teaching any courses associated with CAGW. I can’t recreate the science and as I result I think it is unethical to continue teaching something I don’t understand. (And the degree I hold should make understanding easy.)

      As for your article, the WSJ video above touches on the article you are researching. The NOAA & NASA data may not be what it appears to be…

    • Anon says:

      Jay, Since you are researching the permafrost issue, you should start here. Many articles:

      https://wattsupwiththat.com/?s=permafrost

      This is one of the most popular climate skeptic blogs, there are many scientists who contribute to it.

  4. Steven Fraser says:

    Stats for DMI Sea Ice Volume for Aug 5:

    2018 is still #5, at 117.44% of the 16-year average, and 119.93% of the 10-year, DMI-charted 2004-2013 average.

    The %s have risen since yesterday.

    In the 16-year series, the Aug 5 volume rose to 31 cu km above the 1-sigma line, in the 2nd std deviation
    In the 10-year series, the Aug 5 volume rose to 217 cu km above the 1-sigma line, also in the 2nd std deviation

    For Aug 5, this year’s melt was 6 cu km below average, and 8th lowest for the group

    Gaps: with 2004 and 2014 widened slightly; with 2005 narrowed slightly; with 2003 narrowed by 89 to 94 cu km. Rankings among the top 5 could change over the next few days.

    Stay tuned!

    • Steven Fraser says:

      One other little chart:

      For the last 23 days, the day’s DMI Sea Ice volume as a % of the 2 averages; the 16-year full set, and the 10-year DMI charted range from 2004-2013.

      The shaded cels are those where the % declined from the previous day.

      As referents, the first day that 2018 sea ice volume exceeded the 16-year average was the report for May 29. The 10-year average was exceeded for the first time in the report for June 1.

      Enjoy!

  5. angech says:

    Perhaps Tony could ask that nice girl from DMI for an update on her views since last year. Would make an interesting read since Greenland now has 2 years of ice excess to explain.

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