Lowest Ice Extent In 7.5 Billion Years

December 28 Antarctic sea ice extent is higher than 1979, 1982, 1996, 2005 and most of the last seven years.

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Experts say extent is the lowest in 7.5 billion years and vast regions of the coast were free of ice.

“we’d expect to see a winter like this about once every 7.5 billion years”

Antarctic sea ice levels dive in ‘five-sigma event’, as experts flag worsening consequences for planet – ABC News

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ftp://osisaf.met.no/prod_test/ice/index/v2p2/sh/osisaf_sh_sie_daily.txt

December is the big month for Antarctic sea ice loss (averaging 6,530,271 km.sq. loss) and this month has been third lowest on record (so far) at 5,026,875.

Climate Reanalyzer

It was actually less than three sigma deviation from the mean.

Four sigma deviations are common with weather.

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9 Responses to Lowest Ice Extent In 7.5 Billion Years

  1. D. Boss says:

    How stupid do these people think the public is? Or how dense and incompetent are both the oceanographer and the reporter quoting him?

    Earth is only 4.5 billion years old as a start…. duh…
    And Antarctica was ice free around 35-45 million years ago!

    This Doddridge miscreant demonstrates the adage “lies, damned lies, and statistics” – 5 sigma is a dimensionless and meaningless value. He’s pulling numbers out the distal end of his esophagus!

    • arn says:

      Though I do not have Manns scientific skills to tell you how the temperature was 14 billion years ago by just looking at a Bonzai tree,
      I’m pretty sure that the locations at the poles has been ice free many times before this expert opened his mouth
      AND if there was no money to be made with AGW
      there would be not a single expert making such bold claims as all those experts would have moved to where the funding is and make their bold predictions there.

    • DD More says:

      D.Boss, might have to keep it a little earlier.

      Miocene 20 million years ago, Antarctica was covered by ice and the northern continents were cooling rapidly. http://scotese.com/miocene.htm

      For no Ice try Early Jurassic, 195Ma. http://scotese.com/jurassic.htm
      Antarctica is nestled in between the Africa, Austrian & India Plates.
      Hard to get floating ice on land.

  2. conrad ziefle says:

    Sigma based on a few years of data may not be very representative. Clearly his data set began after 2005, Otherwise he has two five sigma events, which sounds very iffy. I think a lot of these climate scientists have mediocre firepower and jump on the climate change bandwagon because it is safe there, and they hope to bolster their reputations by standing within the main tent of the religion.

  3. Caleb Shaw says:

    Simply placing the 1979 map next to the 2023 map, and comparing the open coast and lack of ice in the Weddell Sea in 1979 with the solid sea-ice this year, should alert any thinking person to the limp logic Dr. Doddridge is expounding. However ABC is not aiming to educate anyone. It hopes people don’t think. It is just repeating propaganda which has already been shot down in flames so many times by thinking people that it hardly gets more than a “Ho Hum” from the general public. ABC has lost credibility and now even dignity. So has Dr. Doddridge. It is really pitiful.

    The stuff about billions of years just heaps further absurdity onto the absurd. To a certain degree I think the people involved are past feeling any shame. How proud can Dr. Doddridge be when he likely knows that a large majority of the public doesn’t think what he talks about is important, and also that a large majority feel ABC is not trustworthy? Sometimes I think Alarmists are simply going through the motions, without any true belief.

    It still is important to call them out on their limp logic. It is easy enough to do, and is likely why they are avoiding debate more than ever before.

    I wrote a long winded essay simply discussing how the Alarmist freak-out about a “mega-drought looks stupid as the Southwest moved into one of its typical wet periods, (currently continuing with a storm bashing the California coast,) and the essay strays into what sort of psychological or even spiritual malady is afflicting these people. It might interest you:

    https://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2023/12/29/dried-up-all-wet/

    Best wishes for a Happy and Prosperous New Year!

  4. Disillusioned says:

    We know the most of the Holocene over the past 10,000 years has been warmer than the modern warm period – https://climate4you.com/images/GISP2%20TemperatureSince10700%20BP%20with%20CO2%20from%20EPICA%20DomeC.gif (And CO2 concentrations were irrelevant.)

    Not only that, the past gets even warmer. Vostok ice core reconstructions show that temperatures during the past four major interglacials over the past 450,000 years were much warmer than almost anytime during the Holocene: https://climate4you.com/images/VostokTemp0-420000%20BP.gif

    The only thing gobsmacking is that this Doddridge bird can say with a straight face that a little less ice hear or there this year is a once in 7.5 billion years event. Show me the gobsmacking sea level rise caused by your 1-in 7.5 billion year event, Mr. Doddridge!

  5. Walter says:

    I’m old enough to remember when it was record Antarctic ice just a few years ago and the war it’s were completely silent on the matter. I was gobsmacked.

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