Real Climate Science

Katherine Hayhoe is not your ordinary young Earth creationist. Most of her graphs start around 1970. Here is why.

Arctic sea ice extent will be close to, or above the median in about a week. This is because the current deficiency is in the Chukchi Sea – which always freezes rapidly this time of year.

 COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

I’ve been doing an experiment the last couple of days to lure in the clueless (like David Appell) and watch them drool when the bell rings.

Yesterday I posted a piece showing that 2014 was the coolest year on the record in the US, because it had the smallest areal coverage of hot weather. This is almost identical to how Arctic sea ice is evaluated.

Predictably, this brought great wailing and gnashing of teeth from the usual morons. They demanded that “coolness” should be evaluated as the average temperature for the whole year. That approach is idiotic – I will show you why.

1936 had the hottest summer on record in the US. But it also had one of the coldest winters. Taken as an average for the whole year – 1936 appears to be an average year – when in fact it was both one of the hottest and coldest years on record.

The map below shows all of the stations which recorded temperatures below 0F in 1936 – all the way to central Mississippi!

The following summer brought 110 degree weather to a huge swath of the country as shown below – completely unprecedented.

Average them all together and 1936 looks like a mild year – when in fact it was the most extreme year in US history.

Average temperature anomaly for the year was just about zero.

But the average of areal coverage of extremes shows that 1936 was the most extreme year on record. This is a much better measure of extremes than the meaningless average temperature.

Averaging temperatures can make people look really stupid, and come to really stupid conclusions. They should know better than to show up here intellectually disarmed.

Arctic Ice Melt Seen Doubling Risk of Harsh Winter in EU
By Stefan Nicola
Oct 26, 2014 2:00 PM ET

The decline in Arctic sea ice has doubled the chance of severe winters in Europe andAsia in the past decade, according to researchers in Japan.

Sea-ice melt in the Arctic, Barents and Kara seas since 2004 has made more than twice as likely atmospheric circulations that suck cold Arctic air to Europe and Asia, a group of Japanese researchers led by the University of Tokyo’s Masato Mori said in a study published today in Nature Geoscience.

“This counterintuitive effect of the global warming that led to the sea ice decline in the first place makes some people think that global warming has stopped. It has not,” Colin Summerhayes, emeritus associate of the Scott Polar Research Institute, said in a statement provided by the journal Nature Geoscience, where the study is published.

To reach their findings, they had performed about 200 computer simulations of the global atmospheric circulation using a model based on two distinct settings for Arctic sea-ice concentrations.

Arctic Ice Melt Seen Doubling Risk of Harsh Winter in EU – Bloomberg

Sea ice extent in the Barents and Kara Seas is normal. More expensive taxpayer funded fact-free science from the team.

N_daily_extent.png (420×500)

High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change | US EPA

NCDC and EPA claim that hot summer maximums were more widespread in 2012 than they were in 1936. The animation below shows how spectacularly fraudulent those claims are.

2012 wasn’t even in the same ballpark as 1936. This is just blatant fraud.

There were no 110 degree temperatures in the central US this year.

Contrary to the BS being propagated by NCDC, heat in the midwest was far hotter and more widespread in 1936 than it was in 2012.

NCDC claims that the summer of 2012 had more widespread “unusually hot daily high temperatures” than the summer of 1936.

This is complete bullshit. The maps below show the HCN stations over 110 degrees during the summers of 2012 and 1936. Hot weather was much more widespread in 1936 than it was in 2012.

 The animation below flashes between the two summers. As you can see, NCDC is committing blatant fraud.

NCDC claimed July, 2012 was the hottest on record in the US. The map below shows all of the stations which reached 110 degrees in July, 2012

  Now compare vs. July 1936, which had nearly 150 stations over 110 degrees.

 This agrees with the original Weather Bureau map from July, 1936

The animation below flashes between the two years.

The fraudsters at NCDC claim that the area of hot maximum summer temperatures in 2012 was much higher than 1936.

Their data tampering is completely wrecking the US temperature record.

From April, 2013

“See You At Chelsea In July” | Real Science