Nothing To See Here, Move Along

A few months ago, NASA, NOAA and a few other of their partners in global warming fraud suddenly started jacking up global temperatures and making pronouncements that 2014 is the hottest year ever.

This is complete nonsense, as more accurate satellite data shows 2014 close to the median since 1979. So I wasn’t surprised to see the McCarthy style attacks begin on John Christy, as the climategate criminals latest need is to discredit satellite temperatures.

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Arctic Makes Obscene Gesture Towards Nobel Laureate

Nobel Laureate Al Gore predicted an ice free Arctic in 2014. Gaia may be unhappy about this, but this particular act of disobedience appears to have gone beyond good taste.

ScreenHunter_1173 Jul. 21 07.49

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

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Quick Summary Of NCDC Data Tampering Forensics

It may not be obvious to everyone yet, but this morning’s TOBS discovery is huge.

I need to run now, but here is a quick summary of things I can prove so far about the US temperature record.

  • Until 1999 NASA said the US was on a long term cooling trend
  • Until 1989 NOAA said there was no long term warming in the US
  • Sometime after 2000, NOAA made a large downwards shift in the absolute baseline temperature. This is probably why Nick and Zeke keep insisting on the use of anomalies, as it hides the shift.
  • Temperatures are being adjusted an average of about 1.5F relative to the 1930s
  • The raw data does not support the validity of a TOBS adjustment
  • NOAA is doing something in their conversion from daily data to monthly data to create a bias which selectively cools the past – which in turn creates the appearance that TOBS is valid.
  • Since 1990, almost all warming is due to infilling of non-existent temperature data.

And to top it all off, the UHI adjustment is much too small. The US is on a long term cooling trend for over 90 years, and used to be hotter. NCDC US temperature graphs do not even remotely resemble the actual US climate, and actually reverse the trend.

I will write this up in more detail later.

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Why Are 1936 Morning Stations Warmer Than The Afternoon Stations?

Several people have asked me this. The most likely answer is that people in warmer climates preferred to take readings in the morning, and people in colder climates preferred to take readings in the afternoon.

ScreenHunter_1164 Jul. 20 10.25

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TOBS Update: Something Seriously Wrong At USHCN

Last week I showed some graphs like the ones below, which demonstrate that the TOBS (time of observation bias) adjustment is bogus. Stations which took their readings during the morning on July 15, 1936 are actually cooling slightly relative to the July 15, 1936 afternoon stations. This behavior is the opposite of what TOBS was created to correct.

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So this morning I tried the same experiment on the raw monthly USHCN data using the identical set of stations as was used in the daily analysis. In this case, something very unexpected appeared. The morning stations are warming much faster than the afternoon stations, which is what TOBS theory predicts.

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This discrepancy makes no sense, because I am using the identical set of stations for both the monthly and daily data. The monthly data is supposed to be the average of the daily data.

So the next obvious experiment was to compare the monthly data for the morning stations with the daily data for the morning stations. When I did this, something unbelievable appeared. They are massively cooling the past of their morning stations when they go from daily to monthly. They must be infilling the missing daily data with colder daily data. This spectacular data tampering is how they create the justification for TOBS.

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But it gets even worse! When I looked at the afternoon stations – they are actually warming the past. This further aggravates their fake TOBS justification.

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I am astonished. This TOBS scam is much worse than I originally realized. Here is the list of 1936 morning stations used in the analysis
Continue reading

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Aggie Joke Update

In 2011, Andrew Dessler of Texas A&M forecast that Texas would be hot and dry for the rest of the century, based on a single hot month.

ANDREW DESSLER , HOUSTON CHRONICLE | July 10, 2011

Get used to it. The weather of the 21st century will be very much like the hot and dry weather of 2011.

Texas is vulnerable to warming climate – Houston Chronicle

So how is that working out? Over the past ten months, almost all of Texas has been far below normal temperature.

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WaterTDeptSRCC.png (688×531)

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Shock News : NCDC Temperatures Warming Much Faster Than Satellite Temperatures

Over the past 15 years, NCDC temperatures are diverging from RSS satellite temperatures at 0.6C/century – which accounts for almost the entire claimed global warming trend.

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Arctic Sea Ice Continues To Track 2006

2006 had the highest minimum Arctic sea ice extent of the last decade, and 2014 is tracking it quite closely, with very little change in ice extent over the past 10 days.

ScreenHunter_1151 Jul. 20 06.37 COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

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Hottest Year Ever Brings Five Feet Of Snow To Victoria

ScreenHunter_1141 Jul. 19 14.56 Live Cam View 3 – Official Home of Falls Creek Alpine Resort

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Coldest July Temperatures On Record In Arkansas

Trapped Mann-made heat has brought the coldest July temperatures ever recorded in Arkansas.

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Public Information – NOAA’s National Weather Service

h/t to Andy DC

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