Turning Japanese

[youtube=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gEmJ-VWPDM4&feature=kp]

If climate scientists had of been in charge of developing the first nuclear bomb, they would have attempted to correct the behavior of each particle – and would be asking Emperor Hirohoto III every year for more money to purchase a larger supercomputer needed to get the problem solved.

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Warning From Hank Johnson

All that excess ice at the South Pole may cause the Earth to tip over, and turn Canada into the “land down under.”

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Onwards And Upwards At The US Government

Almost every year, NASA finds a new valid scientific reason excuse to further cool the past and warm the present, and they are still at it.

GISSUSTampering1999-2013

2000 version : www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/graphs/FigD.txt
2001 version : www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/graphs/FigD.txt
2012 version : data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.D.txt
2014 version : data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.D.txt

The next graph shows the hockey stick of changes they have made  just since 2012.

ScreenHunter_741 Jul. 02 20.29

The next graph shows the slope of changes per year to the temperature record since 2000. With each passing year, 1999 gets warmer by an average of 0.02 degrees, and 1944 gets colder by an average of 0.008 degrees. (h/t to Steve Case for the new graph.)

ScreenHunter_743 Jul. 03 04.53

Climate experts on both sides of the debate say that these constant changes which cool the past and warm the present are first rate science, and that I am stupid to worry about massive data tampering which turns a long term cooling trend into a warming trend.

ScreenHunter_742 Jul. 02 20.36

Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts

– Richard Feynman

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It’s That Time Of Year Again

Early July every summer, alarmists start their annual “the Arctic is going to break the record minimum” voodoo chant.

ScreenHunter_740 Jul. 02 19.54

What is actually going on is that the ice in the Baffin and Hudson Bays, and the Barents Sea is melting a little early. They have no impact on the summer minimum, because they always they have little or no ice at the end of the summer.

The interesting thing to note is that ice extent in the Arctic Basin is right at the 1981-2010 mean, which means that it will soon take a sharp turn towards the median, and break little alarmist hearts once again.

N_daily_extent (1)

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Where Is It Supposed To Go?

Many trillions of tons of snow fall on Antarctica and Greenland every winter. All of that has to return to the sea.

Alarmists stand at the terminus of glaciers, take pictures of glaciers calving – and then publish them in order to get their useful idiots in the press hysterical.

What do these geniuses think the snow is supposed to do? Pile up into the stratosphere?

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Comment From Someone Possibly At NCDC

I’m not sure who this is from, but looks like it is probably someone at NCDC

—————————————————————————–

Steve has never contacted NCDC about their “tampering”, but if he had he might have found at least a rudimentary understanding of the changes. Yes, there are many problems, but his use of the word “tampering” with its implication of conspiracy and fraud seems uncalled for. One can still criticize their methods and their conclusions without such language.

Herewith their rationale and their attempts to make the latest changes clear.

We switched to a new dataset in March 2014. It uses a much larger base of stations than the previous dataset, especially at the state level. It incorporates the topography of each state, rather than a simple average of the stations within the state (the whole record for high-terrain states will be cooler, because those high-terrain places are now represented).

We announced this change at the July 2011 American Meteorological Society’s Applied Climatology Conference:https://ams.confex.com/ams/19Applied/webprogram/Paper190591.html
We published its methodologies in the Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0248.1
We provided an explanation of the change on line months in advance at: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/maps/us-climate-divisions.php
We provided a tool, months in advance of adoption, to allow users to compare and understand differences at the state, regional and national level: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/divisional-comparison/
We provided a webinar in early 2014: http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cirs/climdiv/nCLIMDIV-briefing-cirs.pdf
We notified several prominent applied climatology groups, including the American Association of State Climatologists
We provided a notification of the change on its monthly climate reports in the months before and after the transition. See: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/2014/2
We wrote a comprehensive “Frequently Asked Questions” about the transition with the February 2014 monthly climate report: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/2014/2/supplemental/page-5/
We included a notification of the change in the press highlights document accompanying the February 2014 report
and we provided technical updates in the weeks leading to the transition:http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cirs/div-dataset-transition-readme.txt (read from bottom up for chronology)

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My Climate Forecast

Germany/Brazil/Belgium/Netherlands will all be bright and sunny next week.

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Goddard’s Law

With a system as complex as climate, there is no limit to the number of ad hoc theories which can be generated to support any point of view.

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Antarctic sea ice hits second all-time record in a week

Mark Serreze demonstrates a classic example of making up technical sounding gibberish to confuse laymen.

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On Air At 10:20 AM Eastern

With WJR Radio Detroit’s Frank Beckmann

WJR – Detroit, MI – Listen Online

_Jim uploaded a recording here :

WJR 2014 – 07 – 02 1025AM SteveGoddard ReadScience Proc02

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