Real Climate Science

We know that there is no such thing as a government conspiracy, because the IRS was not targeting conservative groups – and they found lots of WMDs in Iraq.

Watergate did not happen, and that Gulf of Tonkin attack was totally real.

He’s hopelessly stubborn, worse than Mann at being able to admit mistakes IMHO.

Did NASA/NOAA Dramatically Alter U.S. Temperatures After 2000? – Hit & Run : Reason.com

My response ;

Dear Skeptic,

If rural station data is being progressively lost, then infilling and gridding will create a multiplied progressive warming bias. I would highly recommend that you stop doing that.

I am considered a heretic by some on both sides of the global warming debate, because I refuse to tamper with the raw US data.

I have already shown why you can’t detect baseline tampering using anomalies, and thus should not use them. I have also shown how infilling missing data massively biases the US data towards warming over the past 20 years.

Now I am going to show why gridding is unimportant. The graph below shows my ungridded USHCN final averages in blue, and gridded NCDC temperatures in red.

The slope is almost identical, and the offset is probably mainly due to NCDC’s extra co-op stations. Gridding is unimportant for US data, because the stations are fairly evenly spaced, by design.

On the other hand, the data tampering being done by USHCN is huge. People on both sides of the debate should quit focusing on meaningless precision in tampered data, and instead focus on the huge inaccuracy created by tampering.

With large data sets with a random distribution of error (like missing data) real scientists do not attempt to make corrections. As soon as corrections start being made, the door is opened to confirmation bias at best – and it gets worse from there.

Leave the data alone. You are falling for an old NOAA mind trick.

The use of anomalies in calculating temperature data allows NOAA/NASA to shift the baseline years undetected.

The graph below shows how NCDC tampers with the US temperature record, to create a non-existent warming trend.

Here is NCDC’s 1991 version of US temperatures in absolute temperatures.

 www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/bams-sotc/climate-assessment-1981-1990.pdf

The next graph shows the NCDC 1991 version and 2014 version in absolute temperatures. They have cooled the past. This has nothing to do with station loss. It is about altering the data.

Now look what happens if I use temperature anomalies, as some people on both sides of the debate demand. As long as they cool all of the years during a baseline period (in this example 1951-1980 – the one used by NASA) by an approximately equal amount, most of the data tampering during that period is hidden.

The trick NCDC pulls is to stop cooling temperatures after the end of the baseline period. This allows them to create a huge fake warming in recent years, which is largely hidden using anomalies.

By using the anomaly method, the data tampering becomes invisible. Is it the goal to hide the tampering, or do they just not understand what they are doing?

Additionally, it is utterly absurd to believe that station loss since 1990 has selectively targeted warmer stations, and particularly doing so increasingly over time. That is statistically impossible.

Congress got to the bottom of the NASA Challenger scandal by bringing in outside experts from a wide range of disciplines.

With the climate scandal, they take a different approach. They insist that all experts are scandal insiders. Some skeptics have gotten sucked into their peer-review trap, which slows them down and makes them beholden to the very people behind the scam.

America is infested with very dumb people who claim Barack Obama was born in Kenya. And the first one of those birthers was Barack Obama in 1991

Born in Kenya and raised in Indonesia and Hawaii’

Until 60 years ago, 100 degree days in Wisconsin were fairly common, but they almost never happen any more.

Eighteen years of no global warming is cherry picking weather.

Climate is a warm week in Sochi, a heavy rain in Miami, or a hurricane in New Jersey.

Unless the freezing point of water has changed, the Arctic was very warm during the first half of the 2oth century.

18 Feb 1952 – POLAR ICE THAW INCREASING GLACIERS SAID TO [?] M…

NASA/NOAA apparently don’t want you to know this, because they have massively hacked the data to make the 1940s Arctic warmth disappear.

There has been a sharp decline in summer afternoon temperatures in the US over the past 80 years, with three of the five coolest summers coming in the past twenty years.