Real Climate Science

JANUARY, 1907.   MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW.

IS NOT HONESTY THE WISEST POLICY?

It is wrong to mutilate or suppress the record of an observation of a phenomenon of nature, but it is also wrong to make a bad use of the record. In fact, it is the misuse of meteorological data, not the observing or publishing, that constitutes a crime against the community. Observation and careful research are to be encouraged as useful. Misrepresentations are to be avoided as harmful. The “Independent Press “as the” Voice of the People “should be not only “Vox Populi” but ” Vox Dei “, repressing all cheats and hoaxes, defending the truth and the best interests of the whole nation as against the self-interest of a few.

Is not honesty the best policy?

Well behaved skeptics are supposed to nod their head and say :

Yes, humans have caused 0.7C warming by adding greenhouse gases, but future warming will be less than the models forecast

Or you could be an actual scientist and say

The global warming claims made by government scientists are almost completely due to UHI effects, high solar activity in the 20th century, and data tampering by government scientists.

[polldaddy poll=7530406]

The global temperature record claimed by government agencies is fraudulent. It shows the cold period of the early 1970s as being much warmer than the warm period of the early 1920s.

The US Weather Bureau said that the Arctic was rapidly melting during the 1920’s.

NOVEMBER, 1922.  MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW

THE CHANGING ARCTIC.

The Arctic seems to be warming up. Reports from fishermen, seal hunters, and explorers who sail the seas about Spitsbergen and the eastern Arctic, all point to a radical change in climatic conditions, and hitherto unheard-of high temperatures in that part of the earth’s surface.

Many old landmarks are so changed as to be unrecognizable- Where formerly great masses of ice were found, there ore now often moraines, accumulations of earth and stones. At many points where glaciers formerly extended far into the sea they have entirely disappeared.

The change in temperature, says Captain Ingebrigtsen, has also brought about great change in the flora and fauna of the Arctic. This summer he sought for white fish in Spitsbergen waters. Formerly great shoals of them were found there. This year he saw none, although he visited all the old fishing grounds.

There were few seal in Spitsbergen waters this year, the catch being far under the average. This, however, did not surprise the captain- He pointed out that formerly the waters about Spitsbergen held an even summer temperature of about 3 Celsius; this year recorded temperatures up to 15, and last winter the ocean did not freeze over even on the north coast of Spitsbergen.

docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/mwr/050/mwr-050-11-0589a.pdf

The Arctic meltdown continued into the 1940’s.

http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/62904258

By contrast, NCAR said that the Arctic was rapidly freezing up during the 1970?s

Climate Change and its Effect on World Food
by Walter Orr Roberts
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

In February of 1972 earth-orbiting artificial satellites revealed the existence of a greatly increased area of the snow and ice cover of the north polar cap as compared to all previous years of space age observations ….. The Earth may have entered a new “little ice age”.

www.iaea.org/Publications/Magazines/Bulletin/Bull165/16505796265.pdf

The CIA said that the Arctic was rapidly freezing up during the 1970?s

Early in the 1970s, a series of adverse climatic anomalies occurred. …. The world’s snow and ice cover increased by 10-15%.

CIA Global Cooling

It is not credible the the 1920s Arctic melt occurred at a lower temperature than the 1970s Arctic freeze. Science has actual rules, which must be adhered to – even by government scientists and well behaved skeptics.

In 1975, the National Academy of Sciences published the graph below, showing that the 1920’s were warmer than the 1970’s. That changed after Hansen got his hands on the temperature data in the 1980’s.

Science News

If the present refuses to get warmer, then the past must become cooler

As of 1999, NASA showed that US temperatures peaked in the 1930s, and had been declining sharply ever since. Note that 1934 was more than half a degree warmer than 1998 in the 1999 GISS graph below.

Whither U.S. Climate?

By James Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Jay Glascoe and Makiko Sato — August 1999

Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s “Dust Bowl” that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbeck’s Grapes of Wrath.

in the U.S. there has been little temperature change in the past 50 years, the time of rapidly increasing greenhouse gases — in fact, there was a slight cooling throughout much of the country (Figure 2).

NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

NOAA and CRU also reported no warming in the US, during the century prior to 1989.

February 04, 1989

Last week, scientists from the United States Commerce Department’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that a study of temperature readings for the contiguous 48 states over the last century showed there had been no significant change in average temperature over that period. Dr. (Phil) Jones said in a telephone interview today that his own results for the 48 states agreed with those findings.

New York Times

But that just wasn’t going to do, so they started tampering with the US temperature data. With each successive version they cool the past further, and warm  later temperatures further. They now show 1998 0.1ºC warmer than 1934, compared to 0.25ºC cooler in the 2000 version, and more than 0.5C cooler in the 1999 version (top image above.)

The graph below shows how the slope has steadily increased in the 2000, 2001, 2012 and 2013 versions of the same 1930-1999 data. 

2000 version : www.john-daly.com/usatemps.006
2001 version : www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/graphs/FigD.txt
2012 Version : data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.D.txt
2013 version : ata.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.D.txt

Current version : Fig.D.gif (525×438)
1999 version : fig1x.gif (500×182)

Snowfall is steadily increasing here along the Colorado Front Range, with this year being the snowiest on record to date here in Fort Collins.

Temperatures have been declining this century, as the missing heat sinks to the bottom of nearby Horsetooth Reservoir.

The big Arctic story this year is the increase in thick ice in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. The animation below alternates between 11/3/2012 and 11/3/2013, and shows only 1+ metre thick ice south on 80N. This is the ice which is has sent Arctic alarmists into full anti-science mode.

In Fort Collins we  had our snowiest January-October on record, and it is continuing into November.

Weather Street:Clouds and Precipitation Forecast Movie

Five years ago, crack experts from the University of Colorado predicted the end of Colorado skiing .

Study: Climate change may force skiers uphill | Aspen Daily News Online

Obama says that floods are getting worse due to global warming, but as is always the case, he has absolutely no clue what he is talking about. A storm surge in the year 1530 killed more than 1,000 times as many people as Sandy’s storm surge.

List of deadliest floods – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is actual Zimbabwe currency.

NOAA reported that September was the warmest ever on Earth, even though satellites showed September as being close to the median.

This tipped me off that they have gone into full cheating, damn the torpedoes mode. Check out the level of tampering they achieved for September US temperatures. NCDC shows a strong warming trend for September in the US.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/us/

But the actual thermometer data which they use shows a cooling trend.

Index of /pub/data/ghcn/daily/hcn/

I immediately knew that we were looking at a record data tampering event. They have now passed two degrees of cheating in the US record. The graph below shows the difference between NCDC measured and reported data. As you can see, they are basically reducing temperatures from the past linearly with age.

NOAA has degenerated into a spectacularly immoral state, where their primary purpose seems to be to generate climate propaganda. Last week they were  lying again about the 1,000 year rainfall in Colorado. It is pathetic.