Muller says that we caused the 0.7 warming seen in the pink circle on the right, even though it is completely in the noise of measurement error – and an order of magnitude smaller than natural variability.
Alan Betts: Atmospheric Researcher — Understanding Climate Change Question
Muller apparently wants to compete with Hansen for worst climate scientist – ever.
Temperatures made it all the way up to -1C and several inches of new snow accumulated. No doubt NASA will have some bright red maps to highlight yet another unprecedented meltdown on the Greenland ice sheet.
I was amazed to find this graph on the Columbia University website. It shows that temperatures are running below Scenario C – meaning that Hansen’s forecasts failed miserably.
Instead of admitting it though, they tried to obfuscate it with a grey block containing some irrelevant nonsense about alti eenie weenie times, and by adding an irrelevant and phony red station only data line.
Here is what the graph looks like with the obfuscation removed. A glaring statement that Hansen was wrong – about everything.
It was the best of times,
it was the worst of times,
it was the age of wisdom,
it was the age of foolishness,
it was the epoch of belief,
it was the epoch of incredulity,
it was the season of Light,
it was the season of Darkness,
it was the spring of hope,
it was the winter of despair,we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way— in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only.
I found the GHCN daily data files, and analyzed their 1600 stations in the lower 48 states. The yearly average showed more than three degrees F warming in the US since 1895 – about the same as GISS shows since Hansen corrupted the data a decade ago.
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/daily/ghcnd_all.tar.gz
Here is the daily data for the same lower 48 states from USHCN. It shows almost no warming.
It appears that GHCN must cherry pick or alter 1600 locations in the US to create a trend which doesn’t exist. The graph below shows the massive difference between GHCN daily and USHCN daily data for the lower 48 states.
Most of the GHCN US data seems to come from airports, which are known to be strongly affected by UHI.
So how did Richard Muller come to the conclusion that the world is heating up due and it is due to man-made CO2?
Simple : he used crap data from GHCN to generate the trend. CO2 must be very powerful stuff, as it appears to have corrupted the GHCN database. Garbage in, garbage out.
Ole Heinrich sent this over. Temperatures at Summit Greenland get well over freezing on a regular basis.
The graph below shows Arctic ice extent 2007 in blue and 2012 in red. The red dot shows where extent will likely be when the North Pole drops below freezing for the winter. After that date, any possibility of an ice-free Arctic drops to zero.
www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/plot.csv
What becomes clear is that an ice-free Arctic is not a possibility without a radical change in climate, and that people who make such predictions have no idea what they are talking about.
PIOMAS indicates an ice-free Arctic in three years.
I started trying to look at at GHCN today, and immediately discovered nothing but deleted data.
From John Cook :
- Download my code ghcn_app.tar.gz
- Go to ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v2 and grab the compressed data files (v2.min.Z, v2.mean.Z, etc).
This is what is contained in that directory
Index of /pub/data/ghcn/v2
Name Size Date Modified
[parent directory]
grid/ 7/24/12 5:44:00 AM
source/ 12/23/10 12:00:00 AM
v2.country.codes 10.2 kB 1/25/02 12:00:00 AM
v2.max.Z 5.9 MB 2/7/12 9:17:00 AM
v2.prcp.Z 24.8 MB 7/28/12 5:00:00 AM
v2.prcp.failed.qc.Z 162 kB 7/28/12 5:00:00 AM
v2.prcp.inv 1.2 MB 1/25/02 12:00:00 AM
v2.prcp.readme 3.5 kB 9/27/11 12:00:00 AM
v2.prcp_adj.Z 5.2 MB 7/28/12 5:00:00 AM
v2.read.data.f 10.7 kB 12/14/06 12:00:00 AM
v2.read.inv.f 2.8 kB 12/14/06 12:00:00 AM
v2.slp.country.codes 10.3 kB 10/3/02 12:00:00 AM
zipd/ 7/28/12 5:00:00 AM
There isn’t any v2.min or v2.mean file. They seem to have gone missing.
Next I tried looking at version 1 data, which is supposed to be located here :
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v1
Index of /pub/data/ghcn/v1
Name Size Date Modified
[parent directory]
README.ghcn 32.0 kB 11/22/95 12:00:00 AM
README.ghcn~ 31.8 kB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
country.codes 15.7 kB 3/31/96 11:00:00 PM
data.for.Z 688 B 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
data.sas.Z 207 B 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
flag.for.Z 758 B 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
flag.sas.Z 294 B 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
invent.for.Z 833 B 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
invent.sas.Z 262 B 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
press.sea.data.Z 1.1 MB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
press.sea.flag.Z 344 kB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
press.sea.statinv.Z 48.9 kB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
press.sta.data.Z 1.4 MB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
press.sta.flag.Z 379 kB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
press.sta.statinv.Z 49.1 kB 6/28/95 12:00:00 AM
All of the temperature data is missing. The README.ghcn file says this
This subdirectory (/PUB/NDP041) contains 19 files including:
– this descriptive file (ndp041.des)
– FORTRAN IV data retrieval routine to read and print the station
inventory files (invent.for)
– FORTRAN IV data retrieval routine to read and print the climate data
files (data.for)
– FORTRAN IV data retrieval routine to read and print the flag code
files (flag.for)
– SAS data retrieval routine to read and print the station inventory
file (invent.sas)
– SAS data retrieval routine to read and print the climate data files
(data.sas)
– SAS data retrieval routine to read and print the flag code files
(flag.sas)
– temperature station inventory file (temp.statinv)
– precipitation station inventory file (precip.statinv)
– sea level pressure station inventory file (press.sea.statinv)
– station pressure station inventory file (press.sta.statinv)
– temperature data file (temp.data)
– precipitation data file (precip.data)
– sea level pressure data file (press.sea.data)
– station pressure data file (press.sta.data)
– temperature flag code file (temp.flag)
– precipitation flag code file (precip.flag)
– sea level pressure flag code file (press.sea.flag)
– station pressure flag code file (press.sta.flag)
The temperature file temp.data is missing.
So there you have it. All of the V1 and most of the V2 data has been deleted from their server.
Several inches of snow have accumulated since unprecedented meltdown part deux began. No doubt NASA has a bright red map waiting in the wings to display this meltblizzard event.
