Real Climate Science

Obama has brought his strategy of hope and change lie about everything to the White House

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HlTxGHn4sH4]

July 18, 2012 at 3:18 pm

“Batman may be rising in theaters, but icebergs and heat records are falling across the globe as our folly of global-warming inaction is finally coming back to haunt us,” said Markey, the top Democrat on the House Natural Resources Committee.

Democrat Markey says massive ice break makes case for climate change action – The Hill’s E2-Wire

The most watched movie of all time was about a ship which crashed into a huge Greenland iceberg  – 100 years ago. Markey must have missed that one.

When Markey talks about heat records around the globe, he must be referring to the near record cold in Alaska, the UK, South America, Australia, and the fact that 2012 is shaping up to be one of the coolest years of the decade globally.

USHCN daily data shows that the five months from May-Sep 1958 was almost three degrees hotter than any recent five month period.

Washington State's Hottest 5 month periods 			
Rank	Month	Year	Temperature 
1	9	1958	79.0078
2	9	1967	78.2125
3	10	1967	77.1109
4	9	1940	77.0078
5	10	1958	76.8234
6	9	1938	76.8
7	9	1961	76.7922
8	9	1922	76.5453
9	9	2003	76.4594
10	9	1890	76.4422

The five month period from May through September 1930, was nearly two degrees hotter in Virginia than any year since 1953.

Virginia's Hottest 5 month periods 			
Rank	Month	Year	Temperature 
1	9	1930	86.5703
2	9	1936	85.225
3	9	1953	84.9875
4	9	2010	84.8406
5	9	1980	84.6031
6	9	1987	84.4375
7	9	1977	84.2219
8	9	1941	84.1937
9	9	1900	84.15
10	9	1944	84.0875

They used to be smaller, or gentler, or softer, or something.

The Titanic: In the News and in Memory « Teaching with the Library of Congress

While no criminal proceedings will be instigated, the investigation has concluded that the data breach was the result of a ‘sophisticated and carefully orchestrated attack on the CRU’s data files, carried out remotely via the internet’.

Norfolk Constabulary: Police closes UEA investigation

In other words – they have no indication that there was a hack, they have no idea who collected the files, but they do know that the zipped files were transmitted over the Internet by someone.

h/t to Marc Morano

Some scientists believe that this may be a natural occurrence, but the scale of the break has others concerned. “We’re still in the phase of scratching our heads and figuring out how big a deal this really is,” says Ian Howat, an ice scientist at Ohio University. Several of Greenland’s glaciers have been warming at a rapid pace, with data indicating that they’re heating up five times faster than the average global temperature. Temperatures in the region have risen by 4 degrees Fahrenheit over the past 30 years.

Scientist remain concerned over the shift in Greenland’s climate over the past three years, with NASA glaciologist Eric Rignot saying that the occurrence “is not part of natural variations anymore.” As to what will happen to the new iceberg, it’s likely that it will break off into smaller pieces and drift towards Newfoundland. A similar pattern occurred with another iceberg in 2010. Meanwhile, the Arctic saw the largest sea ice loss during June since records began.

http://www.slashgear.com/giant-iceberg-tears-off-greenland-glacier-18239145/

What a load of complete NASA crap. Vikings farms are just now reappearing from under the ice. There is no question that Greenland has been as warm or warmer – most recently during the 1930s.

The Titanic wasn’t the only ship which collided with an iceberg in 1912.

24 Aug 1912 – Collided with an Iceberg.

Andrew “Permanent Drought” Dessler has been telling us that drought in Texas is due to CO2. So I plotted PMDI vs CO2, and PMDI vs. ENSO.

Negative PMDI indicates dry conditions, and correlates quite well with La Nina. Texas has never been dry with ENSO above 1.0 (i.e. El Nino)

On the other hand, Texas drought shows anti-correlation with CO2. As CO2 has increased, Texas has had fewer droughts. What this tells us is that Dessler has never done any actual research on this subject using actual data. It took me 10 minutes to gather the data and do this analysis.

PMDI data from here

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip/time-series/index.php?parameter=pmdi&month=6&year=2012&filter=12&state=41&div=0

YEAR	ENSO	        CO2	PMDI
1950	-1.09	        312	13.38
1951	0.052083333	312.2	-15.74
1952	-0.0165	        312.8	-51.73
1953	0.343166667	313.3	-47.02
1954	-0.920166667	313.6	-40.14
1955	-1.608583333	314.1	-62.38
1956	-1.27675	314.3	-59.37
1957	0.633583333	314.5	-53.17
1958	0.805833333	314.7	41.68
1959	0.129916667	315.97	16.18
1960	-0.284416667	316.91	13.76
1961	-0.258416667	317.64	26.86
1962	-0.76275	318.45	10.54
1963	0.058833333	318.99	-29.11
1964	-0.787833333	319.62	-46.75
1965	0.719083333	320.04	-25.04
1966	0.273083333	321.38	-9.79
1967	-0.63125	322.16	-19.71
1968	-0.311916667	323.04	3.89
1969	0.531083333	324.62	38.8
1970	-0.570416667	325.68	24.89
1971	-1.423666667	326.32	-23.02
1972	0.877666667	327.45	-1.98
1973	-0.475333333	329.68	15.02
1974	-1.177166667	330.18	22.36
1975	-1.30675	331.08	37.03
1976	-0.112	        332.05	12.13
1977	0.621416667	333.78	21.33
1978	0.122583333	335.41	-25.73
1979	0.514333333	336.78	-2.74
1980	0.547083333	338.68	15.22
1981	0.06125	        340.1	-12.06
1982	1.092833333	341.44	10.1
1983	1.593416667	343.03	6.16
1984	-0.150333333	344.58	-6.88
1985	-0.397833333	346.04	9.81
1986	0.449916667	347.39	7.01
1987	1.64775	        349.16	28.57
1988	-0.53375	351.56	26.63
1989	-0.551833333	353.07	-12.98
1990	0.382166667	354.35	-2.6
1991	0.800416667	355.57	7.84
1992	1.3045	        356.38	49.19
1993	1.084833333	357.07	52.74
1994	0.724	        358.82	11.82
1995	0.195666667	360.8	9.52
1996	-0.34875	362.59	-9.64
1997	1.542	        363.71	6.23
1998	0.842333333	366.65	26.28
1999	-0.93075	368.33	0.25
2000	-0.532916667	369.52	-25.08
2001	-0.156166667	371.13	-0.47
2002	0.578083333	373.22	-7.39
2003	0.450416667	375.77	13.12
2004	0.409833333	377.49	0.63
2005	0.317083333	379.8	42.08
2006	0.301333333	381.9	-29.5
2007	-0.34025	383.77	-13
2008	-0.688416667	385.59	29.19
2009	0.390333333	387.38	-24.34
2010	-0.430666667	389.78	7.27
2011	-0.927416667	391	-16.42
2012	-0.081666667	393	-60.03

In 1997, Trenberth wrote a landmark paper – which placed 97% blame for El Nino on your SUV.

The recent evolution of ENSO, with a major new El Niño event underway in 1997, reinforces the evidence that the tendency for more El Niño and fewer La Niña events since the late 1970s is highly unusual and very unlikely to be accounted for solely by natural variability.

El Niño and climate change

Since he wrote that paper in 1997, ENSO has plummeted.

MEI timeseries from Dec/Jan 1940/50 up to the present

(Dr. Trenberth traveled to Antarctica with Hansen and Gore earlier this year to watch it melt, and  instead experienced several weeks of near record cold weather.)