Real Climate Science

Barack Obama | Please Join Obama at a Reception in Shanghai

http://psc.apl.washington.edu/northpole/NPEO2012/18.jpg

The ice is about six feet thick at the North Pole, and if it continues to melt at its current rate will only be six feet thick come mid-September.

No, the Cold Doesn’t Mean No Global Warming

Jan. 8, 2010

Bottom line — fast and simple? Three points:

 1. Weather is not climate.

 2. Manmade global warming means less frequent cold snaps (not none at all) and more frequent heat waves — just as we’ve been having.

 3. You know (don’t you?) about the record high temperatures this week in Washington State, Alaska and Bulgaria in the Northern Hemisphere — plus, down south, the record-breaking high temperatures in New Zealand, and the second hottest year on record (after 2005) in Australia?

Kevin Trenberth, a scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, agreed.

“Weather is chaotic. It has an infinite amount of variability, and that’s just the nature of weather,” he said. “Weather dominates on a day-to-day basis, and there will be warmer periods and cooler periods. But it’s the overall pattern that gives you the climate.”

Weather vs. Climate: Cold Winter Snap Does Not Mean No Global Warming – ABC News

But in 2012, Washington State, Alaska, Bulgaria, New Zealand, and Australia all had very cold winters. So that must prove global cooling? The point is all moot anyway, because Trenberth now believes that weather is climate.

2012

(WASHINGTON) — If you want a glimpse of some of the worst of global warming, scientists suggest taking a look at U.S. weather in recent weeks.

Horrendous wildfires. Oppressive heat waves. Devastating droughts. Flooding from giant deluges. And a powerful freak wind storm called a derecho.

Kevin Trenberth, head of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in fire-charred Colorado, said these are the very record-breaking conditions he has said would happen, but many people wouldn’t listen. So it’s I told-you-so time, he said.

This U.S. Summer Is ‘What Global Warming Looks Like’ – TIME

Next time it turns cold in Colorado, Trenberth will most certainly go back to believing that weather is not climate. Because he is an expert.

www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/plot.csv

The Arctic Basin never starts melting until day 150, and it stops melting by day 260.  That is a maximum of 110 days of melt, and then the sun sets and the ocean  starts freezing again. The only way you could get to an ice free Arctic would be to keep the sun up high in the sky until Christmas.

Alarmists need to step up their game and quit acting like complete morons.

In an effort to spur Romney to release the most trivial and meaningless details of his business career, Barack Obama has released all of his employment and business records.

Records begin —————————-

1991

Born in Kenya and raised in Indonesia and Hawaii’

2004

“Kenyan-Born Obama All Set for US Senate

2007

http://web.archive.org/web/20070403190001

Records end —————————-

His literary agent now believes that she made the whole thing up, didn’t bother to check her sources, republished the same misformation numerous times over the next 17 years, and that no one Obama knew noticed her repeated errors for the next 6,209 days.

Purely coincidentally, The Associated Press simultaneously made up the same story.

The press of course did not find this story interesting, unlike the important details of Romney’s mundane business affairs.

Nashville, Tennessee has received almost six inches of rain so far this month, and is listed by NOAA as being under an extreme drought.

weather.com – Map Room – Satellite Map, Weather Map, Doppler Radar US Drought Severity

NOAA is rapidly becoming a complete joke.

Polar ice cap melting away in 2008 ?

How low will they go? Putting a date on the melting of the Arctic ice cap has been a popular prediction game among scientists of late; in recent months, we’ve heard estimates ranging from 2030 to as early as 2013.

The latest salvo comes courtesy of Xinhua, which reports that Olav Orheim, the head of the Norwegian International Polar Year Secretariat, is placing his money on this summer. Noting that its ice sheet had reached a historical low of 3m sq. km last summer – it covered around 7.5m sq. km as recently as 2000 – Orheim told Xinhua that “if Norway’s average temperature this year equals that in 2007, the ice cap in the Arctic will all melt away.”

Polar ice cap melting away in 2008 ?

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”

• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

http://www.ihatethemedia.com/

Hansen says that 350 PPM CO2 is safe and that we must return there.

The last time CO2 was at 350 ppm was in 1988 – which was a very safe year.

Popular Science – Google Books

Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss.

“Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,” the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC.

“So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’

Yes, 2013 was a very conservative projection. More likely the Arctic will be ice free by 2011 or 2012.

Professor Peter Wadhams from Cambridge University, UK, is an expert on Arctic ice. He has used sonar data collected by Royal Navy submarines to show that the volume loss is outstripping even area withdrawal, which is in agreement with the model result of Professor Maslowski.

“Some models have not been taking proper account of the physical processes that go on,” he commented

“In the end, it will just melt away quite suddenly

Hansen past the tipping point

James Hansen of NASA is another brave exception, defying government gag orders. Hansen told Reuters, quote, “”The reason so much (of the Arctic ice) went suddenly is that it is hitting a tipping point that we have been warning about for the past few years.”

The Radio Ecoshock Show: December 2007