Real Climate Science

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Climate scientists are always wanting to save the planet from global warming and cooling.

Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects. They concede that some of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers, might create problems far greater than those they solve. But the scientists see few signs that government leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple measures of stockpiling food or of introducing the variables of climatic uncertainty into economic projections of future food supplies. The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality.

http://denisdutton.com/newsweek_coolingworld.pdf

These are the neurotic morons that Lisa Jackson wants to replace the US Congress

CHICHELEY, England — To the quiet green solitude of an English country estate they retreated, to think the unthinkable.

Scientists of earth, sea and sky, scholars of law, politics and philosophy: In three intense days cloistered behind Chicheley Hall’s old brick walls, four dozen thinkers pondered the planet’s fate as it grows warmer, weighed the idea of reflecting the sun to cool the atmosphere and debated the question of who would make the decision to interfere with nature to try to save the planet.

The unknown risks of “geoengineering” – in this case, tweaking Earth’s climate by dimming the skies – left many uneasy.

“If we could experiment with the atmosphere and literally play God, it’s very tempting to a scientist,” said Kenyan earth scientist Richard Odingo. “But I worry.”

Arrayed against that worry is the worry that global warming – in 20 years? 50 years? – may abruptly upend the world we know, by melting much of Greenland into the sea, by shifting India’s life-giving monsoon, by killing off marine life.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/04/geoengineering-sun-blocking_n_844324.html

Last week they were arguing that increasing CO2 has less effect – the scenario B scam. This week the argument is back to tipping points.

It appeared at 6:00 this morning.

Why the UN can never stop climate change

On Sunday in Thailand diplomats opened another round of formal United Nations talks on global warming. For more than 20 years, the UN has been working on this problem, with little progress. Expectations have never been lower. The December 2009 conference in Copenhagen that was supposed to finalise a new treaty to replace the expiring Kyoto protocol ended in deadlock. Last year’s talks in Cancún ended without agreement on most of the important new issues.

Some of the troubles with global warming diplomacy are unavoidable. Stopping climate change is one of the hardest challenges the international community has undertaken. The main cause of climate change, emissions of carbon dioxide, is intrinsic to the burning of fossil fuels that power the world economy. Even in the best of circumstances, getting off carbon will take decades and trillions of dollars. The world economic crisis makes that even harder as few societies choose to spend money on distant problems when they face more immediate challenges such as unemployment and poverty.

More progress will come from shifting efforts on three fronts. First, while the UN talks should not be abandoned, most diplomacy should shift to smaller forums which engage just the largest countries. In fact, 10 countries (treating the EU as one) account for nearly four-fifths of all warming emissions. Working with those 10 will be complicated enough. That group of big polluters includes some that are willing to devote massive resources to the problem, such as the EU, and others that are a lot more reluctant – among them, China and the United States. The enthusiastic nations have been the biggest backers of the UN approach because they are best able to make strict, binding agreements. But what works for the EU fails for most of the rest of the world that is more skittish about binding commitments that they might not be able to honor.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Executive Secretary Christiana Figueres on Monday called on governments to ensure that the works decided in Cancun will be effective in 2012 and some shortfalls will be addressed in order to make progress in curbing climate change.

She said that in Cancun governments set a timetable to launch new institutions and sources of funding and technology to help developing countries deal comprehensively and sustainably with climate change and this is exactly what is needed to be rapidly addressed at Bangkok meeting.

http://english.cri.cn/6966/2011/04/04/2743s630288.htm

 

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8ycoA5zo8E]

Hansen is always hoping for heat – to keep his dream of a dying planet alive.

Masters, February 23

A significant shift is occurring in the Equatorial waters of the Eastern Pacific off the coast of South America, where the tell-tale signs of the end to the current La Niña event are beginning to show up.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1749

Masters, March 23

In his blog today, he said long-range models that try to predict El Niño’s future “are all over the place,” as they usually are in March.

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/

Hansen, March 31

Based on sub­sur­face ocean tem­pera­tures, the way these have pro­gres­sed the past sever­al months, and com­parisons with de­velop­ment of prior El Niños, we be­lieve that the sys­tem is mov­ing toward a strong El Niño start­ing this summ­er. It’s not a sure bet, but it is pro­b­able.

http://www.truth-out.org/perceptions-climate-change/1301356800

Wolter (NOAA) March 4

I believe the odds for a two-year (La Nina) event remain well above 50%, notwithstanding the possibility of temporary weakening during boreal summer.

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/klaus.wolter/MEI/

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Glacier National Park in Montana appears doomed from the heat.