Real Climate Science

http://books.google.com/

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.sprd2.gif

This winter is looking bleak. We have the triple whammy of a low AO, low SSTs and below normal Arctic temperatures.

Will there be enough fossil fuel generating capacity this winter? How many people will die as a result of the global warming scam?

http://img.snow-forecast.com/images2/europesnownext3to6days.17ca.jpg

November snow forecast for Exeter. I wonder when was the last time that happened?

http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.html

Changes from September 20 to November 20.

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It is claimed that prior to the 1960s, tree ring data matched thermometers within a few tenths of a degree. I don’t see much evidence to support that in the Briffa/GISS  comparisons below.

There are lots of places where one shows cooler and the other shows warmer relative to the 1961-1990 baseline.

Briffa vs. GISS 1960. Both use baseline 1961-1990.

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This story was reported by a Florida newspaper yesterday, claiming that we are short of snow along the Colorado Front Range. In fact, we are far above normal for the Front Range river basins.

http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/snotelanom/snotelbasin

Last year, Trenberth wrote this in early October.

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Detection and attribution
It remains uncertain whether past changes in any tropical cyclone activity (frequency, intensity, rainfall, and so on) exceed the variability expected through natural causes, after accounting for changes over time in observing capabilities.

Tropical cyclone projections
Frequency. It is likely that the global frequency of tropical cyclones will either decrease or remain essentially unchanged owing to greenhouse warming. We have very low confidence in projected changes in individual basins. Current models project changes ranging from ?6 to ?34% globally, and up to ±50% or more in individual basins by the late twenty-first century.

Thomas R. Knutson1*, John L. McBride2, Johnny Chan3, Kerry Emanuel4, Greg Holland5, Chris Landsea6, Isaac Held1, James P. Kossin7, A. K. Srivastava8 and Masato Sugi9

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/knutson-et-al-nat-geo.pdf

The track of Hurricane Julia shows the problem. It is quite likely that Julia would have been missed completely seventy years ago. Even if she were discovered, the probability of catching her peak intensity was close to zero.

Modern hurricane records are biased sharply upwards in both quantity and magnitude because of improved monitoring. Historical comparisons of anything other than landfalling hurricanes are meaningless and misleading.

The only Republicans which the left ever cares about are the ones who get tossed out by voters.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/

There have been numerous articles recently from alarmists claiming Reagan as one of their own. Like this one from Romm.

Talk about revisionism. In the 1980s, environmentalists were absolutely hysterical about Ronald “when you have seen one redwood tree you have seen them all” Reagan as president. His choice of James “I hate the sound of running water” Watt as Secretary of the Interior drove them nearly insane.

Rewriting the past is a trademark signature of Romm and crew.