Real Climate Science

Upper Colorado Basin Snowpack Graphs

This year, Baffin Bay and Svalbard have lots of ice, but in the early 1920’s they were largely ice-free.

NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2019/05_May/N_20190515_extn_v3.0.png

1922

Strange Things Happening In The Frozen Arctic

Is the North Pole going to melt?

Reports from fishermen, seal hunters and explorers who sail the seas about Spitzbergen and the eastern Arctic all point to a radical change in climatic conditions, with hitherto unheard-of high temperatures on that part of the earth’s surface.

Formerly the waters about Spitzbergen have held an even Summer temperature in the neighborhood of 5 degrees shove freezing. This year it rose as high as 28 degrees. Last Winter the ocean did not freeze over even on the north coast of Spitzbergen. This is on the authority of Dr. Noel.

03 Dec 1922, Page 63 – The Washington Times at Newspapers.com

1923

The Arctic ocean Is growing much warmer, at least in certain parts. This has been confirmed by numerous scientific expeditions this winter. Spitzbergen is now free from all ice, and the permanent ice fields of the Greenland a have retreated 2.500 miles north of  Norway.

The gulf stream, a warm current of water which rises in the Gulf of Mexico and flows northeast across the Atlantic ocean to Europe. is hotter now than usual. Its heat is attributed to the excess of solar radiation which fell, on the earth in 1920, 1921, and 1922.

01 Mar 1923, 4 – Chicago Tribune at Newspapers.com

1924

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15 Apr 1934, 33 – The Nebraska State Journal at Newspapers.com

Someone left this comment on my YouTube channel today:

Temperatures passed 50 degrees Celsius (122 Fahrenheit) in northern India as an unrelenting heatwave triggered warnings of water shortages and heatstroke.

So, almost as hot as 1953.

12 Jun 1953, 1 – The Daily Oklahoman at Newspapers.com

Same temperature as 1935.

27 May 1935 – TRAGIC HEAT WAVE

And similar to 1966.

p4 – 15 Jun 1966 – The Canberra Times (ACT : 1926 – 1995) 

Last Sunday they were little puppies.

They are probably 50% bigger today, and their faces look much more mature.

They have moved to their summer den by the creek, but I found this deer leg by their old den. They have been eating well.

Today is the first day of meteorological summer, and temperatures at The Greenland Country Club have warmed up to a balmy -27C (-17F.)  Summer greens fees now apply, but do not include treatment for frostbite and medical evacuation. Ask about our senior discount.

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The last seven months was the coolest and wettest October-May on record in the US. The percent of days above 60F and 70F was the lowest, with 1933-1934 being the highest. Compare with 1934, which was the warmest and driest.

Average maximum temperature was second lowest after 1899.

Spreadsheet

Nearly three fourths of the US was below normal temperature.

Map

It was the wettest October-May on record, with almost the entire country above normal precipitation.

Map

NOAA predicted a warm winter with drought in the west, and got everything exactly backwards. Three month forecasting with climate models doesn’t work, but experts say they are superb at forecasting 100 years out – when no one will remember.

Winter Outlook favors warmer temperatures for much of U.S. | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Drought levels are at historic lows, compared to record warm 1934 when drought was at historic highs.

Map

Map

Warm winters tend to be dry, and cold winters tend to be wet. Unless you are a climate expert, and claim the exact opposite.

Climate experts say that the wet weather is caused by heat, but in 1988, NASA’s James Hansen predicted a huge increase in heat and drought. Apparently he believed that heat and drought go together.

If you liked last summer’s record temperatures, you’re going to love the 1990s, says James Hansen, the NASA scientist who, during congressional hearings on the Midwestern drought, linked greenhouse warming to the heat wave. Last summer was a preview of the average summer 10 years from now, and the hottest summers during the ’90s will be even hotter and drier than the one we just struggled through, he says.

If we do nothing to cut down on pumping carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, temperatures in 2050 will be 6 to 7 degrees higher than they are today. Washington, D.C., for instance, would go from its current 35 days a year over 90 degrees to 85 days a year.

– James Hansen  1988

12 Dec 1988, Page 34 – Lansing State Journal

He got all of his forecasts exactly backwards.The number of hot days in the DC area peaked in 1911, and have been declining ever since.

The number of hot days in the Midwest peaked in 1936, and have been declining ever since.

Spreadsheet

The Midwest is getting wetter. The last really dry year in the Midwest was 1988, and recent years have been record wet.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Some years I go hiking the first weekend in June in the high country. Not a chance of that this year.

There is no longer any need for comedians.  We now have climate experts in Congress.