Much of the the Northern Hemisphere has been getting pummeled with near record cold during March. It seems likely that satellite temperatures for the month will take another huge plunge, like they did last month.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Reblogged this on Climate Ponderings.
Death spiral?
http://ghrc.nsstc.nasa.gov/amsutemps/amsutemps.pl
Check out ch05 (where most of the global warming caused by GHG’s should be picked up.)
Burrrr! The hot spot not looking so hot in the LT. Lower than 2008 the year I refer to as the summer that wasn’t summer when I never ran my air conditioner. We had 18 inches of snow in Springfield Illinoisin the last 16 hours.
Good spot, Will. And remember last year we were just coming out of La Nina.
Look in the comments–Roy thinks it looks suspicious. As another commenter there said, it’s similar to the behavior of Ch4 a few years ago right before it failed.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/03/new-satellite-temperature-trends-page/#comments
It’s the death spiral of the sat. 🙂
Greens are disappointed. They were hoping for absolute zero to end the threat of global warming.
Since C02 has no measureable effect in regard to a possible X2+ feedback via cloud coverage during nighttime, we can and do see the drivers of climate (- ocean/air circulation) as opacity of incoming and outgoing electromagnetic wavelengths of all flavors.
The white reflective surface area is the #1 driver for the coming months, with tropospheric jet streams broken up by varying pressure areas from the surface through 70hPa heights.
I suspect September 15th 2013 will be so close to September 15th 1970, that you and I will see no difference in planetary heat content and weather conditions.
Tropospheric moisture and chemical content are a bit different, but the opacity to Visible incoming and OLR are similar.
Lacking magnetospheric compression from 3ish or more X2+ solar events means we’ll continue the cooling trend through the summer, with additional planetary heat loss deepening through next fall/winter.
El Nino will return on schedule February-April 2014, but of the minimal variety.
When the ring of fire picks up to 400AD activity levels all bets are off, since the cooling trend will happen in weeks, not months/years!
Meanwhile, there’s a state of emergency been declared in the Ukraine due to the cold and record snowfalls. Cue the alarmists that will blame this on AGW in 3.. 2.. 1..
Zero!
http://tcktcktck.org/2013/03/europes-deep-freeze-tied-to-climate-change/49198
“a state of emergency has been declared in Kiev, Ukraine, following half a metre of snowfall within 24 hours.”
“The unseasonable wintry weather in Northern Europe is likely a result of shifting weather patterns caused by climate change.”
The frightening thing is just how far ocean temps have fallen in the last few months.
These should be much more stable. It will take a lot of time and a lot of energy to replace the lost heat. In the meantime they will have a massive cooling effect on land temperatures.
Paul,
You just have to know how AGW really works. Warm ocean water sinks into the deep cold ocean (you know because warmer things contract and become more dense, at least thats what they teach in outcome based education systems today) and hides from detection until a tipping point is reached…..or a carbon tax is passed. Anyway, it is all consistent with the underlying science, which is well established and not in dispute./sarc. Science has been hijacked, and It’s a travesty that it has.
In The Netherlands the average temperature for March has now fallen below the 30-year average for January and February. It’s an extra winter month.
Must be that missing heat coming up from the bottom of the ocean combined with super duper exponential warming!
But Central Asia, and I think Afrika as well as the Arctic, has been warm. I don’t think UAH March temperature will drop lite -0,5 C in just one month. It’s not that easy… But I do think temperature will drop between 0,1 and 0,3 C, as it use to “when things are happening”. If we enter a little ice age I guess global temperature may drop like -0,7 C or -1,2 C in 24 month, into a new stable level, and drop some more the coming years. Anyway, then AGW is dead. Yippee-ki-yay!
So far this year in the UK we have had January 3.5C , February 3.2C , both just below average.
March is 3.3C to date. Colder Marches than that, 1962 2.8C and 1883 1.9C. All CET averages.
The forecast is for more the same i.e. the Jet Steam 1000 miles south of where it normally is, so most likely this will be the coldest March in 130 years.
Also likely March will be colder than February which was colder than January, which has happened 3 times before in the last 200 years.
Is it possible to predict anything for the rest of the year from the past records. In a word, No.
You can, however, bet your life that a return to ‘normal’ temperatures will be put down to ‘global warming’ or ‘climate change’.