Shortest Melt Season On Record In The Arctic?

The Arctic is rapidly gaining ice now, in what appears to be the shortest melt season on record – just over five months.

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Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Experts say the Arctic is ice-free.

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The End of the Arctic? Ocean Could be Ice Free by 2015 – The Daily Beast

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Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

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BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013′

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Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

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Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?

The Argus-Press – Jun 24, 2008

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The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

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11 Responses to Shortest Melt Season On Record In The Arctic?

  1. jafree says:

    The coming decade should be very interesting to watch as the AMO flips to cold mode. The N. Atlantic is extremely cold right now and after this El Nino, which is not going to be as strong as reported, the AMO should start rapidly descending into the cold phase. That is if we are to believe William Gray, which timed the flip about now. I will be super interested to watch ice extent during this flip.

  2. Cam says:

    The plot you’re using is (as it says on the page) “…calculated with the coastal zones masked out.” The more accurate plot from the same group is located here: http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php and has the melt season beginning at the end of February rather than March, making this one of the longest melt seasons.

    • jafree says:

      Cam, Let’s just wait and see how the ice responds to the flipping of the AMO. The biggest news in the artic this year is the multi-year ice gain. Since it is impossible for us to measure ice mass in the artic, we have to rely on proxy which is not the most reliable way of measuring. Ice thickness is extremely difficult to measure on a large scale, so Multi-year ice is probably the best indication of thickness and mass. Since we are basically clueless on detailed measurements prior to 1979 we have much to learn as known phenomena as AMO affects come into play. If you haven’t noticed, scientists are starting to admit that the Artic and Greenland are cyclical, which is a pretty big deal considering that they already knew that. The scam that the melting will continue and at more rapid rates is pretty much busted and they know it and are trying to salvage their careers. Of course as Tony continues to point out. There are still many complete wackos that push the CAGW narrative, but those people are protected and have no fear of career. They will probably be pusing global cooling in 20 years, when a new generation of niave people come along.

    • tonyheller says:

      Few things are more annoying than comments like “the more accurate plot”

    • Cam says:

      If you’re going to use a plot from an organization, why not use the more up to date one than one that has been replaced?

  3. Edmonton Al says:

    How does one know that the ice is melting and not just being pushed around by wind?
    Look at 2012. The area is small, but I am under the impression that the reason was NOT melting, but wind compaction.
    No??

    • jafree says:

      In short we have no clue of Ice Mass gain or loss. So any of these factors come into play. We can only Guestimate mass gain in the artic using all the factors. Multi-year ice and ice extent. Thickness is always VERY subjective. They send scientist to the artic to measure thickness and the sample rate is equivalent to knat turn in a swimming pool. Meaning they haven’t a clue.

  4. oeman50 says:

    Just a data point, Pierre’s NTZ indicates the summer in Northern Europe has been unusually cold, with some places still retaining snow from last winter. Weather, or an indication that the cool phase of the AMO is kicking in?

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