Real Climate Science

I ride my bike up to NCAR several times a day, and today I went into the museum to see what kind of climate mischief they are up to. I wasn’t disappointed.

They have this wonderful map showing midwest winter warming from 1975 to 2007.

So how did NCAR choose 1975 for a start point? Their 1975 graph shows why. 1975 was the end of a strong 30 year cooling trend.

NCAR has since made their own 1945-1975 cooling completely disappear. Below is their current map.

What about the end point? Why did they choose 2007? Since 2007, midwest winter temperatures have plummeted, with record Great Lakes ice. They cherry-picked one small and totally misleading interval from 1975-2007.

There has been no long-term change in midwest winter temperature. NCAR’s fraudulent tactics would make Enron accountants blush.

Then they had Jerry Meehl claiming that we can “stabilize the climate” – on the 80th anniversary of the Dust Bowl (which left 80% of the US in drought) and America’s most powerful hurricane on Labor Day 1935.

Next up was this woman claiming that CaCO3 based sea creatures which evolved at 4,000 PPM CO2 – cant’t handle 400 PPM.

And for final laughs, here is Trenberth in his business attire.

The culture of climate fraud is so endemic, that most of these people are probably no longer even aware of the fact that their claims are meaningless.

NCAR used to pay me to improve their software. Now I provide that same valuable service for free.

Due to very warm water off the cast of California the last two years, there has been a spike in temperatures. Climate experts have determined that this spike is due to CO2.

One of the few truly rural stations in California with a long term record is at Cedarville, in the northeast corner of the state. Cedarville was much hotter during the 1920’s and 1930’s, but facts don’t matter to climate fraudsters.

Same pattern at Orland, CA

Check out this mind-blowing fraud in the New York Times

SCIENCE

California Drought Is Made Worse by Global Warming, Scientists Say

By JUSTIN GILLIS AUG. 20, 2015

Global warming caused by human emissions has most likely intensified the drought in California by 15 to 20 percent, scientists said on Thursday, warning that future dry spells in the state are almost certain to be worse than this one as the world continues to heat up.

Even though the findings suggest that the drought is primarily a consequence of natural climate variability, the scientists added that the likelihood of any drought becoming acute is rising because of climate change. The odds of California suffering droughts at the far end of the scale, like the current one that began in 2012, have roughly doubled over the past century, they said.

California Drought Is Made Worse by Global Warming, Scientists Say – The New York Times

100% pure unadulterated scientific fraud. Look what the New York Times published in 1992. Scientists know perfectly well that past droughts were much worse, and that the past century has been unusually wet.

December 1, 1992

tree rings clearly declare that in the Western United States, the years 1937 through 1986 have been abnormally wet compared with past centuries — and these are the years of the greatest immigration to the supposedly golden coastal states.

Should an extended and profound drought similar to those that frequently arise in the tree-ring record again strike the West, they said, the blooming Central Valley of California, a food basket to the nation and already the region’s most rapacious consumer of scarce water resources, could become completely unsustainable.

In Unexpected Places, Clues to Ancient and Future Climate – Warming? Tree Rings Say Not Yet – NYTimes.com

And again in 1994.

Severe Ancient Droughts: A Warning to California – New York Times

These “scientists” are hard core criminals who deliberately conclude the exact opposite of what the data says.

Texas temperatures have been declining over the past century

But NOAA massively tampers with the data to make it look like Texas is warming

Much of their justification is theoretically based on Time of Observation Bias (TOBS) adjustments, claiming that people during the 1930’s reset their thermometers during the afternoon, causing double counting of hot days.

That theory is easy to test out. The graph below uses only those stations which reset their thermometers at night or morning during July 1936. As you can see, it is almost identical to the top graph for all Texas stations.  TOBS has almost no effect on Texas temperatures.

TOBS adjustments are just one more excuse to tamper with data.

10 Jan 1871 – IMAGINARY CHANGES OF CLIMATE. (Pall Mall Gazette.)

Temperatures In Oklahoma have declined half a degree since 1895. The fraudsters at NOAA didn’t like the decline, so they simply made it disappear.

They accomplished this through a spectacular hockey stick of adjustments, which increases post 2000 temperatures by more than one degree, and decreases pre-2000 temperatures by as much as two degrees.

Afternoon temperatures in Parker, Az peaked in the 1890s, and have never gotten that hot again, but nighttime temperatures have warmed five degrees.

Divergence between minimum and maximum trends is almost ten degrees. 

The National Weather Service has reported a similar trend  for Phoenix.

UHIlows.PNG (909×691)

18 May 1911 – GRAVE NEWS ABOUT GLACIERS.

According to NASA, 1911 was one of the coldest years ever, yet glaciers were disappearing.

Climate experts say we can stop glacial melt, because they are criminals paid to lie by the White House.

27-Aug-2007

Will oceans surge 59 centimetres this century – or 25 metres?
The new climate: A controversial study suggests rapid polar meltdown and rising sea levels

Richard Peltier

When Al Gore predicted that climate change could lead to a 20-foot rise in sea levels, critics called him alarmist. After all, the International Panel on Climate Change, which receives input from top scientists, estimates surges of only 18 to 59 centimetres in the next century.

But a study led by James Hansen, the head of the climate science program at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York and a professor at Columbia University, suggests that current estimates for how high the seas could rise are way off the mark – and that in the next 100 years melting ice could sink cities in the United States to Bangladesh.

“If we follow ‘business-as-usual’ growth of greenhouse gas emissions,” he writes in an e-mail interview, “I think that we will lock in a guaranteed sea-level rise of several metres, which, frankly, means that all hell is going to break loose.”

The scientific basis for this idea – which Prof. Hansen and five co-authors gleaned from geological records, ice core samples and analysis of the sea floor – is outlined in a recent paper published by the British journal Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society.

In stark contrast to estimates put forward by the IPCC, Prof. Hansen and his colleagues argue that rapidly melting ice caps in Antarctica and Greenland could cause oceans to swell several metres by 2100 – or maybe even as much as 25 metres, which is how much higher the oceans sat about three million years ago.

Will oceans surge 59 centimetres this century – or 25 metres? — Physics Web Root

Check out this mindless BS from the usual Arctic hysterics, about a “record glacial retreat”

Jakobshavn record retreat – Arctic Sea Ice

This is a glacier which retreated one meter per day from 1851 to 1883

The terminus of the glacier is almost identical to two years ago.

For scale, look at what an incredibly minuscule event this is.

Meanwhile, the Petermann Glacier in Northern Greenland is rapidly growing.

Alaska’s largest glacier retreated almost 10 feet per day from 1760 to 1860.

As always, the climate scamsters are generating hysterics over absolutely nothing.