Real Climate Science

Meteorological spring starts March 1. Yesterday afternoon was the coldest spring day in North Dakota history.

Public Information – NOAA’s National Weather Service

h/t to Andy DC

In 2009, White House science adviser John Holdren forecast ice-free Arctic winters at the 18:54 mark of this audio :

…if you lose the summer sea ice, there are phenomena that could lead you not so very long thereafter to lose the winter sea ice as well. And if you lose that sea ice year round, it’s going to mean drastic climatic change all over the hemisphere.

web.archive.org/web/20101205194353/http://podcast.cbc.ca/mp3/ideas_20090119_10989.mp3

h/t to Tom Nelson: Complete barking madness from John Holdren, Obama’s science advisor

So how is that working out five years later?

ictn2014030118_2014030900_038_arcticictn.001.gif (740×666)

Lake Ontario is freezing over very quickly, and has some very cold weather on the way.

The two warmest Februaries were 1779 and 1869. During the current decade, February temperatures have averaged almost 0.4C cooler than they did during the 1730’s.

Britain’s top climate experts announced the end of snow in Britain 14 years ago in March. And now they have record snow in the Lake District.

Nokia PT-6.jpg 

The Montreal Gazette – Google News Archive Search

Reading Eagle – Google News Archive Search

This was the coldest winter in Wisconsin since 1895 by a substantial margin.

However, I did an analysis of past NOAA data tampering in Wisconsin, and believe that there is a good chance they will declare that 1904, 1917, 1918, 1920 and possibly 1936, and 1979 were all colder. There is also a remote possibility they can push 1977 ahead of 2014, but that level of tampering might require approval from higher ups in the political chain.

My worst case tampering forecast has NOAA pushing this past winter back to #8 behind 1904, 1917, 1918, 1920, 1936, 1977, and 1979.

My best case tampering forecast is #5, behind 1904, 1917, 1936 and 1979. This assumes the same amount of tampering as last winter.

Last year, Sierra Club and University of Ottawa genius Paul Beckwith promised us an ice-free Arctic.

Instead the Arctic saw a 60% increase in extent last summer over 2012.

Now he is predicting seven metres of sea level rise.

Twitter / ecodissident: Run for the hills: Paul Beckwith …

Changes to GISS US temperature just since Christmas. Always cooling the past and warming the present.

h/t to Dave Burton