Real Climate Science

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1000 AM CST SUN JAN 5 2014 /1100 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014/

...TECHNICALITY EXPECTED TO PREVENT ALL TIME RECORD COLD HIGHS
FROM BEING BROKEN MONDAY...

WHILE MONDAYS DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BRUTALLY COLD AND PROBABLY COLDER THAN THE DAILY ALL-TIME RECORD
COLD HIGHS...IT LOOKS UNLIKELY THAT THE ALL-TIME DAILY RECORD COLD
HIGHS WILL BE BROKEN. THE TECHNICALITY THAT LOOKS LIKELY TO
PREVENT MONDAY FROM BREAKING THE COLDEST DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE
EVER IS THE MIDNIGHT TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. THE MIDNIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO BE THE DAILY
HIGHS MONDAY AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE BELOW THE ALL-TIME DAILY
COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS. DESPITE LIKELY FALLING SHORT OF THE
ALL-TIME DAILY RECORD COLD HIGHS...MONDAY WILL GO DOWN AS ONE OF
THE COLDEST DAYS ON RECORD. HERE IS A RANKING OF THE COLDEST NOON
TEMPERATURES ON RECORD DATING BACK TO THE 1929-30 WINTERS IN
CHICAGO AND ROCKFORD.

All-time Record Cold Highs Monday Likely To Be Missed

http://wxug.us/1bs76

Climate xperts say that UHI has no effect, which is why Denver is 6-15 degrees warmer than outlying areas at the same elevation this morning.

http://wxug.us/1bs4q

Obviously snow removal, pavement, concrete and heating several million homes has no impact on temperature, but tiny amounts of CO2 does,

Leading climate stupidity experts predicted an ice-free Arctic in 2013, and it did the exact opposite.

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

the Arctic will be ice-free in the summer of 2013

– John Kerry, US Secretary of State

John Kerry: We Can’t Ignore the Security Threat from Climate Change

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013?

James Hansen : ‘This is the last chance’

6/23/2008

“We see a tipping point occurring right before our eyes,” Hansen told the AP before the luncheon. “The Arctic is the first tipping point and it’s occurring exactly the way we said it would.”

Hansen, echoing work by other scientists, said that in five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.

NASA warming scientist: ‘This is the last chance’ – USATODAY.com

June 26, 2013

The alarming loss of sea ice which has grown worse each summer over the past several decades, has taken a sharp turn for the worse: this year the loss is right in the middle, the most resilient part of the ice cover. This could lead to a completely ice-free Arctic Ocean by September.

Unprecedented hole is growing in Arctic sea ice – Fairfax Climate Watch

Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

The mainstream media almost never report on research that challenges the approved narrative, which explains why a comprehensive study by Quinnipiac University economist Mark Gius has hardly seen the light of day since being released Nov. 26.

“The purpose of the present study is to determine the effects of state-level assault weapons bans and concealed weapons laws on state-level murder rates. Using data for the period 1980 to 2009 and controlling for state and year fixed effects, the results of the present study suggest that states with restrictions on the carrying of concealed weapons had higher gun-related murder rates than other states.”

“It was also found that assault weapons bans did not significantly affect murder rates at the state level,” Mr. Gius noted.

EDITORIAL: Truth about guns concealed | Las Vegas Review-Journal

h/t to Dave G

SMH claims that west Antarctic Ice is seeing a big decrease in sea ice, and East Antarctica a small increase.

This is a flagrant lie on all counts. Antarctic sea ice is at a record high anomaly of 1.5 million km², and West Antarctic sea ice currently extends hundreds of miles further from the pole than normal.

Chilly warning from scientists on impact of Antarctica changes | smh.com.au

S_daily_extent.png (420×500)

Even if their Western Antarctic disinformation were correct, how would a small increase combine with a big decrease to produce a record maximum? They are incompetent at math and science, and shouldn’t be reporting on it. No comment section, of course.

h/t to Andy Oz

I was driving past Colorado Springs in sub-zero (F) weather this evening, and saw a huge array of solar collectors covered with snow and completely useless.

On a more positive note, this was the view in the San Luis Valley today, near the birthplace of the Manassa Mauler.

In 1997, GISS showed that the earth was rapidly warming from 1866 to 1900. But by 1999, they showed the exact opposite for the same time period.

The 1997 version was destroyed on the Web Archive sometime this week, and is now empty. It was located here. I captured it on December 23.

http://web.archive.org/web/19970301012952/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/Data/GISTEMP/GLB.Ts.txt

The 1999 version has not been destroyed yet, and can still be found here :

http://web.archive.org/web/19990220235952/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/gistemp/GLB.Ts.txt

They claim to know temperatures within 0.01 degrees, but didn’t even know the polarity of the trend.

This inconvenient graph has been on the GISS website since 1999, and shows US temperatures cooling since the 1930’s.

fig1x.gif (500×182)

On January 18, 2011 the graph was wrecked and appeared as below for a while. Someone had likely tampered with the file.

Modified on Tuesday, January 18, 2011 at 6:33:14 PM

I raised a big stink about, and a few days later the original graph reappeared.

As of  2013-12-23 17:43:18

This archived 1997 GISS zonal temperature record contained the text below. Now it contains no text. This can’t happen without someone intentionally tampering with the file.

http://web.archive.org/web/19970301013011/http://www.giss.nasa.gov/Data/GISTEMP/ZonAnn.Ts.txt

                          Annual mean Temperature Anomalies in .01 C
                                      selected zonal means
                       sources: NCAR 1752/1988 MCDW-01/1997 NOAA-03/1997
                        Notes: ***** = missing - base period: 1951-1980

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1866   -48   -77   -20     -50  -103    20    -192   -64   -14  -117   -80    26    37 ***** 1866
1867   -58   -77   -39     -60  -100    -1    -242  -117     9  -103   -96     4    27 ***** 1867
1868   -48   -56   -41     -36   -76   -35     -63   -34   -28   -86   -48   -25   -44 ***** 1868
1869   -36   -31   -42     -22   -47   -30    -107   -25    -2   -45   -58   -25    -9 ***** 1869
1870   -43   -32   -54     -13   -67   -27     -65   -43    16   -61   -94   -24     3 ***** 1870
1871   -40   -44   -37     -47   -40   -30    -152   -91    -3   -38   -47   -27     0 ***** 1871
1872   -24   -24   -23     -18   -37    -7      -1   -11   -21   -34   -47   -10    54 ***** 1872
1873   -19   -29    -9     -27   -32    10     -50   -37   -13   -30   -38     9    60 ***** 1873
1874   -49   -39   -60     -34   -56   -43     -59   -40   -21   -46   -85   -44    12 ***** 1874
1875   -59   -71   -48     -89   -53   -28     -90  -135   -58   -44   -78   -29    27 ***** 1875
1876   -42   -40   -43     -49   -37   -24    -105   -64   -27   -27   -71   -20     5 ***** 1876
1877   -11   -13    -8     -25     2    -7     -99   -19   -10     4    -9     5   -29 ***** 1877
1878    -2    12   -16       9    18   -37     -10    50    -3    17    16   -24   -53 ***** 1878
1879   -50   -40   -60     -38   -51   -51     -57   -88    -7   -43   -74   -44   -33 ***** 1879
1880   -33   -52   -13     -52   -43    -8    -101   -70   -30   -53   -19    -5    25 ***** 1880

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1881   -33   -40   -26     -46   -27   -27    -117   -66   -12   -30   -24   -24    11 ***** 1881
1882   -40   -46   -33     -50   -38   -31    -169   -35   -31   -39   -37   -26    -8 ***** 1882
1883   -39   -54   -24     -61   -37   -27     -25   -86   -49   -44   -19   -27    19 ***** 1883
1884   -65   -78   -52     -85   -58   -64    -134   -90   -68   -67   -35   -52   -75 ***** 1884
1885   -43   -54   -31     -77   -17   -41    -183   -75   -49   -19   -16   -32   -39 ***** 1885
1886   -40   -48   -32     -63   -24   -40    -155   -53   -44   -26   -21   -31   -36 ***** 1886
1887   -52   -60   -44     -64   -54   -37    -188   -63   -30   -54   -55   -33    -8 ***** 1887
1888   -30   -43   -17     -60    -9   -35    -150   -70   -27   -16     8   -16   -60 ***** 1888
1889   -12   -21    -2     -35     9   -24     -84   -29   -24    -1    30   -15   -17 ***** 1889
1890   -40   -41   -38     -41   -48   -24    -117   -47   -16   -42   -59   -25    13 ***** 1890
1891   -42   -43   -41     -55   -34   -32    -127   -48   -40   -24   -54   -27   -12 ***** 1891
1892   -39   -48   -30     -59   -31   -31    -122   -67   -34   -33   -30   -32    10 ***** 1892
1893   -45   -53   -38     -55   -55   -20     -65   -47   -56   -50   -65   -29    46 ***** 1893
1894   -35   -43   -27     -46   -42   -13     -80   -43   -36   -39   -47   -20    43 ***** 1894
1895   -36   -46   -25     -60   -29   -21     -72   -70   -46   -26   -33   -21    10 ***** 1895
1896   -19   -35    -4     -53   -14     9    -105   -67   -25    -7   -24    18    15 ***** 1896
1897   -14   -21    -8     -38     4   -15     -37   -45   -31     5     2     0   -26 ***** 1897
1898   -37   -40   -34     -46   -28   -40    -136   -44   -21   -31   -25   -30   -38 ***** 1898
1899   -22   -23   -22     -26   -25   -14     -97   -21    -8   -19   -34     0   -21 ***** 1899
1900     0    -8     7     -18    11     2     -70   -13    -4     8    14    22   -24 ***** 1900

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1901    -8   -10    -7     -16    -4    -7     -59     9   -22    -1    -7    -2    11 ***** 1901
1902   -24   -36   -13     -55    -1   -26    -167   -49   -25    -8     7    -1   -67 ***** 1902
1903   -36   -40   -32     -46   -25   -41     -44   -29   -59   -31   -18   -27   -46  -131 1903
1904   -49   -50   -48     -46   -60   -38     -48   -43   -47   -56   -64   -22   -41  -169 1904
1905   -27   -30   -24     -32   -15   -39      -6    -6   -58   -28    -1   -26   -41   -86 1905
1906   -19   -18   -20     -22   -10   -28     -28     2   -39   -12    -8    -8   -42   -91 1906
1907   -43   -49   -37     -59   -36   -35     -42   -71   -53   -34   -38   -26   -25  -124 1907
1908   -30   -38   -22     -40   -30   -19     -28   -42   -42   -33   -26   -23     7    74 1908
1909   -30   -38   -22     -47   -23   -23     -78   -46   -37   -25   -21   -19    -6   -77 1909
1910   -29   -41   -17     -39   -36   -11     -80   -16   -44   -45   -26   -11     8    35 1910
1911   -29   -31   -27     -33   -28   -24     -22   -28   -40   -26   -31   -21    -9   -12 1911
1912   -28   -43   -13     -62    -4   -27     -88   -66   -49   -15     8    -6   -40  -209 1912
1913   -23   -36   -10     -42   -16   -14     -70   -27   -44   -27    -5     8   -32  -131 1913
1914    -4   -15     7     -22     3     5     -76    -4   -18    -4    10    18     1   -34 1914
1915    -2    -7     3     -23    21   -12     -98   -11    -7    17    26    14   -30  -263 1915
1916   -24   -37   -12     -40   -20   -15     -75   -44   -25   -31    -7    -2    -9  -179 1916
1917   -42   -61   -22     -73   -42   -11    -154   -55   -58   -44   -40   -26    55    36 1917
1918   -35   -45   -25     -48   -37   -18    -126   -30   -37   -39   -36   -12    -8    -7 1918
1919   -17   -30    -4     -45    -5    -4     -87   -54   -23    -7    -2     3     1    19 1919
1920   -17   -21   -13     -18   -15   -19       5   -13   -30   -25    -5    -3   -29  -103 1920

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1921   -10    -9   -10       1   -15   -14     -17    16    -5   -25    -5     2   -23   -91 1921
1922   -13   -19    -8     -20   -11   -10     -16   -36    -8   -16    -6    -4     4   -49 1922
1923   -16   -11   -21      -3   -18   -27      44     5   -22   -22   -13   -11   -43   -52 1923
1924   -15   -12   -17     -15    -3   -31      19   -14   -25    -8     2   -24   -11  -141 1924
1925   -15    -5   -24       6   -17   -32     -17    40   -13   -21   -13   -17   -42   -78 1925
1926    10    17     2      19    16    -9      52    45   -11    14    19    13   -40   -65 1926
1927    -3     1    -8      -3     7   -18       0    -6    -1     6     8    12   -61  -183 1927
1928     3    11    -6       9    13   -18      76     6   -12    14    13     9   -43  -299 1928
1929   -18   -16   -20     -19   -11   -25      39   -30   -31   -11   -12    -8   -34  -179 1929
1930    -7     8   -21      16    -7   -28      65    18    -4    -4   -11     7   -74  -325 1930
1931     4    16    -9      14    16   -23      69     0     5    20    11    -9   -27   -82 1931
1932     2     8    -5      16     0    -9      50    26    -5    -3     2    12   -29  -135 1932
1933   -14   -22    -6     -31    -4   -10      -8   -48   -25    -9     1     5   -13  -138 1933
1934     2     5     0      24   -11    -2      86    35    -8   -23     2     8     5   -90 1934
1935    -7    -1   -13       6    -2   -26      49     7   -10   -12     7    -3   -53  -160 1935
1936     2     5    -2       8     4    -7      45    18   -13     1     6     1    -4     6 1936
1937    12    24     0      36     9    -8     138    21    12     6    13    -1   -12   121 1937
1938    13    26    -1      51    -4    -3     147    50    17   -10     3    15   -17  -119 1938
1939    -3    14   -20      32    -7   -33      90    29    13   -12    -1    -1   -77  -215 1939
1940    14    17    11      20    16     6      88    15    -1    12    19    12    15    47 1940

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1941    12    15     9       6    30    -5       4   -12    20    28    31     8   -12   -33 1941
1942     9     9    10       9    16     1      38     2     5     7    24    18    -8  -109 1942
1943     4     6     1      29   -16     4     111    33    -4   -29    -3     0    36   103 1943
1944    11    13     8      28     4     4     104    42   -10    -9    15    17    -6   -24 1944
1945    -4    -5    -4      -1     0   -13      51    -8   -14   -11    10    17   -47  -236 1945
1946     1     9    -6      10     6   -13       7    -3    21     7     4     1   -33    33 1946
1947    12    16     9      18    16     1      91    -6    12    12    21     8     4    17 1947
1948    -1     8   -10      16     3   -24      25    29     3    -4    10     2   -46  -130 1948
1949    -7     2   -16      11    -2   -31      38    13     1   -11     7     0   -52  -236 1949
1950   -15   -14   -15      -6   -19   -18      43   -24    -9   -27   -11    10   -47   -90 1950
1951    -2     6   -10       8     4   -20      14     6     7     3     4   -23     0    20 1951
1952     4     8    -1       8    14   -14      23    -8    16     8    19    -8    -4   -34 1952
1953    13    31    -4      42    14   -17     100    40    22    14    14     0   -12  -164 1953
1954    -7     1   -16       7    -6   -22      82   -23     1    -7    -6    -8   -23   -73 1954
1955    -6   -10    -3      -1   -20     6     -33    -7    14   -22   -17   -20    20   129 1955
1956   -17   -30    -3     -34   -24    11      -9   -58   -24   -25   -24   -17    40    58 1956
1957    10     2    18       3     7    20       9    24   -14     1    14     8    23    47 1957
1958    10    18     2      14    24   -12     -17    23    18    24    23     6   -22   -47 1958
1959     5    12    -2      16    11   -14      55    15     4     6    16     7   -39   -33 1959
1960    -1    11   -12      14     1   -17      39     7    11     6    -4     4    -8   -88 1960

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1961     8     7    10      18    -4    15     -14    37    16   -10     1    22    -7    28 1961
1962     2    10    -5      20    -7    -3      45    30     5    -7    -7     5    23   -66 1962
1963     2    10    -6      13     3   -10     -11    31     9     6    -1    -2   -32     1 1963
1964   -26   -23   -29     -30   -14   -38     -48   -33   -21   -13   -15   -25   -42   -69 1964
1965   -15   -18   -13     -21   -12   -15     -28   -27   -14   -14    -9    -9   -19   -27 1965
1966    -9    -6   -12     -17     7   -20     -90   -18    10    12     2   -25   -28    -1 1966
1967    -2    -1    -3       8   -14     4      41    25   -16   -15   -13     2    -5    17 1967
1968   -12   -13   -10     -15   -16    -2     -44    -3   -14   -10   -23   -15    22    -6 1968
1969     3    -2     8     -23    25     1      -1   -49   -12    31    20     4   -21    21 1969
1970     4    -2    10      -8     5    14     -25   -12     1     8     3    11     2    37 1970
1971   -11   -18    -5      -9   -26     7      -5    -8   -12   -30   -22    -5    16    21 1971
1972    -7   -24    10     -41     8     8     -34   -62   -29     2    13     9   -21    47 1972
1973    19    17    22      17    22    18      15    27     9    17    27    19     3    36 1973
1974    -7   -16     2     -15   -23    22     -20   -17   -12   -18   -28     0    30    69 1974
1975    -5    -5    -5      11   -26     7      12    29    -5   -30   -21     3     5    17 1975
1976   -22   -26   -18     -27   -22   -17     -11   -36   -26   -24   -21   -20   -15   -14 1976
1977    16    16    17      19    13    19      15    29    12    12    13    15    20    25 1977
1978     9     8    11       6     5    18     -11    13     6    11     0    12    32    12 1978
1979    14    15    13       7    22    10     -64    19    26    27    17    15    27   -32 1979
1980    28    22    34      13    29    42      19     7    13    35    23    34    36    70 1980

                           24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem    -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S Year
1981    39    49    28      69    15    41     110    89    33    21     8    22    50    73 1981
1982     7     6     8      -1    11     9     -31     9     2    16     7    16    17   -20 1982
1983    29    36    22      36    38    11      10    67    20    36    40    12    21     4 1983
1984    11    10    13       7    10    17      28     5    -1    14     6    -1    29    58 1984
1985    11     0    21      -1     4    32      21   -22     5     3     4    22    62    27 1985
1986    16    15    16      18    11    21      -2    30    15    12     9    12    41    31 1986
1987    32    31    32      15    53    21     -47    16    41    55    50    22    39     1 1987
1988    35    41    29      47    36    22      52    58    34    33    38    27    13    22 1988
1989    25    30    21      49     5    29      39    77    29     2     8    28    71   -40 1989
1990    47    62    31      78    36    30      66    91    71    38    34    29    38    38 1990
1991    42    48    36      58    32    40      80    70    36    35    30    26    39   107 1991
1992    13    14    13      12    23     2     -23    31    11    17    29    -3     5    32 1992
1993    21    26    16      26    29     6      55    32     7    26    32    14    32   -63 1993
1994    31    46    16      57    29     8      37    55    67    30    27    24     8   -39 1994
1995    47    74    21      94    44     4     138   109    59    44    45    10    -4    10 1995
1996    36    39    32      41    32    36      80    32    29    37    27     8    60   114 1996
Year  Glob  NHem  SHem     24N   24S   90S     64N   44N   24N   EQU   24S   44S   64S   90S Year
                          -90N  -24N  -24S    -90N  -64N  -44N  -24N  -EQU  -24S  -44S  -64S