Real Climate Science

The fifth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report states with 95 percent confidence that humans are the main cause of the current global warming. Many media outlets have reported that this is an increase from the 90 percent certainty in the fourth IPCC report, but actually the change is much more significant than that. In fact, if you look closely, the IPCC says that humans have most likely caused all of the global warming over the past 60 years.

Why is the IPCC AR5 so much more confident in human-caused global warming?

I have to agree with the Nutter about this. Data tampering by government climate scientists is likely responsible for 100% of the warming shown in their graphs since 1940.

Temperatures were much hotter during the 1930s

http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/mwr/064/mwr-064-07-c1.pdf

With each successive decline in temperature, the IPCC has gained confidence that their exponentially increasing warming models are correct.

Note that the linear decline seen since TAR in 2001 is almost a perfect fit for the exponential increase of 0.4ºC predicted by Hansen during that interval.

The next graph is a closeup showing actual temperatures since 2001, overlaid on Hansen’s forecasts.

Bottom line is that you would have to have the IQ of a turnip to believe any of the spectacularly transparent lies being spewed by the IPCC this week.

After five more years of no warming, AR6 will announce that they have 99% confidence that humans have wrecked the climate.

They gain confidence and boldness from each worsening failure, apparently taking their inspiration from the White House.

Six weeks ago Walt Meier made this bold pronouncement :

This year “will without a doubt” rank in the top five lowest levels of ice extent ever recorded in the satellite era, and there is a good possibility that 2013 could rank second in terms of recorded ice lows, said Walt Meier, a scientist at the National Snow & Ice Data Center.

http://www.eenews.net/climatewire/2013/08/05/stories/1059985599

And NSIDC has now acknowledged that their 100% probability forecasts are worthless.

On September 13, Arctic sea ice reached its likely minimum extent for 2013

The minimum ice extent was the sixth lowest in the satellite record

Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis | Sea ice data updated daily with one-day lag

The IPCC has been running around naked and ugly ever since Michael Mann killed off the last few thousand years of climate history and chopped down Briffa’s trees.

They believe that by making loud proclamations that they are clothed in fine official government science, people aren’t going to notice that they are bare-assed naked and hideously ugly.

The emperor’s new clothes

The label given to any fictional item that viewers have been induced into believing as real..

Anderson’s tale involves a vain king who was preoccupied with his appearance and his wardrobe. A pair of swindlers took advantage of this by pretending to be able to weave the finest cloth, which couldn’t be seen by people who were either unfit for office or were particularly stupid. The king decided to have a suit of clothes made from the fabric in order to test which of his courtiers was unfit for office. As he didn’t want to appear stupid or unfit for rule himself, he pretended to be able to see the new clothes, as did all of his courtiers. He paraded the ‘new clothes’ through the streets and the onlookers, also not wishing to appear stupid, all admired them. A small child, who didn’t understand the apparent necessity for pretence, piped up ‘But he has nothing on!’. The bubble of pretence burst and soon all the onlookers were repeating what the child had said, whilst the king continued the procession, attempting to maintain his dignity by pretending that nothing had happened.

The emperor’s new clothes

 Why We’re Shutting Off Our Comments

Starting today, PopularScience.com will no longer accept comments on new articles. Here’s why.

Comments can be bad for science. That’s why, here at PopularScience.com, we’re shutting them off.

Exchange of ideas is bad for science? That is what science is.

… climate change, is mistakenly up for grabs again. Scientific certainty is just another thing for two people to “debate” on television. …….

i.e. The Ministry of Truth is threatened by the fact that all of the expert forecasts have failed miserably.

Why We’re Shutting Off Our Comments | Popular Science

Richard Feynman said “Science is the belief in the ignorance of (people like Popular Science Magazine)

Ten years ago climate scientists lied, cheated and tampered because they were pretty sure that all of their psychotic theories would come true later.

Now they lie, cheat and tamper only to protect their funding and reputations.

It has been eight years since the US was hit by a major hurricane, but back during the low CO2 years of 1954-1955 the US was hit by five major hurricanes within fourteen months.

Gettysburg Times – Google News Archive Search

The Deseret News – Google News Archive Search

Spokane Daily Chronicle – Google News Archive Search

Lakeland Ledger – Google News Archive Search

The Telegraph – Google News Archive Search

We are now at AR5 with zero warming since AR4. The last IPCC report which actually experienced any warming was SAR in 1995. In fact, the vast majority of the IPCC’s history has seen zero warming, and prior to that the warming was primarily due to rebound from Mt. Pinatubo cooling.

This complete lack of warming through most of the IPCC’s history has led them to 95% certainty that humans are heating the world out of control.

That level of certainty “has increased with every report,” notes Dr. Hayhoe, an expert reviewer for the IPCC. “Because we have more data, we have more science, we have more observations.”

For IPCC, Confidence Only Grows in Human Contribution to Climate Change – weather.com

• Bring millions of new poor immigrants into the country
• Double health care costs on the middle class, to pay for the immigrants insurance
• Bankrupt the country
• Bypass the Congress
• Gut the Bill of Rights
• Disarm the citizenry
• Build up a massive paramilitary
• Wreck the coal industry
• Make electricity rates skyrocket

Tough to see where this is headed.