Real Climate Science

In 2009, the Met Office made this ingenious forecast

Global warming continues to pose a real threat that should not be ignored – a claim reinforced in a new study by scientists, reported in a supplement of the August issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. This is despite very small global temperature rises over the last 10 years.

the Met Office’s decadal forecast predicts renewed warming after 2010 with about half of the years to 2015 likely to be warmer globally than the current warmest year on record.

Global warming set to continue – Met Office

Today they acknowledged that they have no idea what they are doing

The latest decadal prediction suggests that global temperatures over the next five years are likely to be a little lower than predicted from the previous prediction issued in December 2011.

Updates to our decadal forecast – Met Office

NOAA has inflated the 2012 record maximum number by adding new stations which didn’t exist during the hot years of the 1930s. That is a completely illegitimate approach, suitable only for government workers.

An apples to apples comparison uses only the same stations. When that is done, 2012 doesn’t even crack the ten hottest years.

The worst heatwave ever recorded was at Marble Bar, Australia in 1923 and 1924. They had 160 days in a row over one hundred degrees.

The world record for the longest sequence of days above 100°Fahrenheit (or 37.8° on the Celsius scale) is held by Marble Bar in the inland Pilbara district of Western Australia. The temperature, measured under standard exposure conditions, reached or exceeded the century mark every day from 31 October 1923 to 7 April 1924, a total of 160 days.

BOM – Australian Climate Extremes

In 1989, NOAA said that there was no evidence of warming in the US

February 04, 1989

Last week, scientists from the United States Commerce Department’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that a study of temperature readings for the contiguous 48 states over the last century showed there had been no significant change in average temperature over that period. Dr. (Phil) Jones said in a telephone interview today that his own results for the 48 states agreed with those findings.

Global Warmth In ’88 Is Found To Set a Record – New York Times

NASA’s James Hansen wrote this in 1999 :

in the U.S. there has been little temperature change in the past 50 years, the time of rapidly increasing greenhouse gases — in fact, there was a slight cooling throughout much of the country

 NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

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But that wasn’t going to scare anyone out of their money, so they simply altered the data. The graph below shows the difference between today’s NCDC published US temperatures, and the thermometer data which it is based on.

They claim that 2012 is the warmest year by almost a degree, and they accomplished that by subtracting a degree from the hot years of the 1920s and 1930s.

NOAA announced that 2012 was the hottest year ever, before 20% of their stations even reported December temperatures.

My guess is that they rushed to press before the cold blast comes to the Eastern US later in the week.

I’ve been warning for months that NOAA was going to claim that 2012 was the hottest year ever, regardless of the actual temperatures. They did it today.

The year 2012 was the warmest on record for the contiguous United States, beating the previous record by a full degree in temperature, a government climate agency said on Tuesday.  Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said the average temperature in 2012 in the contiguous United States was 55.3 degrees Fahrenheit (12.94 degrees Celsius), 3.2 degrees above the average recorded during the 20th century and 1.0 degree above 1998, until now the hottest on record.

2012 was hottest year on record in U.S., climate agency says | Reuters

I will do a more complete analysis later, but for now I want you to focus on the bold sentence above, which claims that 1998 used to be the hottest year in the US.

In an article which NASA published in 1999, Hansen showed that 1998 was only the fifth warmest year, after 1934, 1921, 1931 and 1953. In fact, 1998 was 0.6C cooler than 1934.

Science Briefs
Whither U.S. Climate?
By James Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Jay Glascoe and Makiko Sato — August 1999

NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

Over the past decade, NASA and NOAA have continuously altered the temperature record to cool the past and warm the present. Their claims are straight out of Orwell’s 1984, and have nothing to do with science.

It appears that the US has gone full FUBAR.

This was written in 1991 by Milton Cooper, a member of the  U.S. Naval intelligence briefing team.

“The government encouraged the manufacture and importation of firearms for the criminals to use. This is intended to foster a feeling of insecurity, which would lead the American people to voluntarily disarm themselves by passing laws against firearms. Using drugs and hypnosis on mental patients in a process called Orion, the CIA inculcated the desire in these people to open fire on schoolyards and thus inflame the anti-gun lobby. This plan is well under way, and so far is working perfectly. The middle class is begging the government to do away with the 2nd Amendment.”

“Behold a pale horse” – Milton William Cooper – Google Books

1991 Book Predicts School Shootings By Drugged Individuals In Order To Disarm Public | Politics

h/t to peterh

I will avoid making any disparaging remarks about turnips.

How do they feel about Gore the savior of green energy now?

The displeasure with Gore among the staff was thick enough to cut with a scimitar.

“We all know now that Al Gore is nothing but a bulls***ter,” said the staffer bluntly.

We do stories on the tax code, and he sells the network before the tax code kicked in?

“Al was always lecturing us about green. He kept his word about green all right—as in cold, hard cash!”

Current situation: Staffers talk about first meeting with Al Jazeera – NYPOST.com

h/t to JunkScience.com and Marc Morano

Wyoming has 60% gun ownership, and their crime rate is among the lowest in the US.

Gun Ownership, by State – Guns, by State – Gun Owners Percentage by State

The murder rate in Wyoming from 2000-2010 was 1.9 per 100,000 population, which is lower than many countries in Europe. Violent crime rates in Wyoming rank in the bottom six for the US.

Wyoming Crime Rates 1960-2011

By contrast, Connecticut has only 17% gun ownership.

Here in Fort Collins, just about everyone owns a gun, and we also have low crime rates. Our murder rate is about the same as the UK, but our overall crime rate is about one sixth of the UK. The crime rate in the UK in 2011 was 233 per 1,000 population, compared to only 38 per 1,000 population in Fort Collins.

Crime Statistics: City of Fort Collins

Crime statistics for England & Wales: what’s happening to each offence? | News | guardian.co.uk

The reason that we have such low crime rates is because everyone owns guns. The reason that the UK has such high crime rates is because no one owns guns.

Like everyone else on the left, Piers Morgan has no idea what he is talking about.

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtyKofFih8Y]