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False Precision : The Norm In Climate Science
False precision (also called overprecision, fake precision, misplaced precision and spurious accuracy) occurs when numerical data are presented in a manner that implies better precision than is actually the case; since precision is a limit to accuracy, this often leads to overconfidence in the accuracy as well.[1]
In science and engineering, convention dictates that unless a margin of error is explicitly stated, the number of significant figures used in the presentation of data should be limited to what is warranted by the precision of those data.
Essentially all climate alarmists massively overstate their precision, because they aren’t real scientists.
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3 Comments
Another Record Hurricane BS Year
Atlantic hurricanes have been quiet again this year, which can mean only one thing – more propaganda.
Weather Street: 2012 Atlantic Hurricanes and Tropical Storms
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11 Comments
Enough Is Enough
I’m not putting up with any more BS on this blog. If you have an intelligent contrary viewpoint, feel free to post. Otherwise spamsters are going to spam.
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18 Comments
Dems Open Convention With $16 Trillion Debt
US National Debt – refresh for latest
In 2008, Obama promised to fix the $8 trillion debt.
http://moveleft.org/obamas_promises/www-barackobama-com_issues_fiscal.pdf
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17 Comments
Southern Hemisphere Sea Surface Temperatures Declining For 16 Years
HadSST has updated through July, and now shows 16 years of temperature decline.
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19 Comments
Nutcase Alarmists
Rabett Run: The Arctic Ice Pack Gives Marc Morano the Finger
Amazing the stuff that these people obsess about. That region of ice is MYI covered with fresh snow. It isn’t a “chunk”, it is unlikely to melt, and if it did melt it would make the water cold so that it would quickly refreeze.
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My July 20 Arctic Forecasts
From July 20 :
That was exactly what happened. According to JAXA, from July 6 to July 20 the slope was -95,600 km^2 per day and from July 20 to August 2 the slope was -73,900 km^2 per day.
Then an early winter storm hit and the ice broke up.
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Talking Out Of Every Side Of Their Mouth
- Sure Hansen’s forecasts were too high
- Hansen’s forecasts were spot on
- Newer models forecast less warming – they are more accurate
- It is worse than it seems. Newer models forecast much more warming.
There is no limit to the perverse and dishonest nature of climate alarmists. They adjust their current lie to whatever suits their current argument.
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