Real Climate Science

Temperatures got up close to freezing over the weekend, and several new inches of snow accumulated. This can only mean one thing in the eyes of NASA – civilization is doomed.

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Guest post by Joe Bastardi

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My take on the  Muller- Watts situation.

1) Mullers niche was to sound at times skeptical of all this,so he trashed Manns study,making people say see.That leaves him to grab the reigns and appear to be the above board arbitrator of the AGW debate

Manns mistake, is he should have focused on open debate to defend what his study had.. come out swinging with his science not at people.   He shoul d confront the ideas that lead his detractors to question him. The courage of conviction would at least have him battling. Warriors  fight in battle, there is no battle without an antagonist standing on the other side of the mat.

That is not to say Mann would have won, but its what I wanted to see him do, defend his work. Sensing the void,  Muller trashed it, and took advantage by conducting his own study, but not with the baggage Mann acquired.  By appearing to be on the other side,  he was the cowboy in the white hat riding in to  settle the whole mess.

My position is we have the test in front of us, the way to measure it. As the leveling became apparent when the tandem of warm amo and pdo could no longer add heat, I made a forecast when the PDO flipped that a jagged retreat would start ( triple crown of cooling) and via objective satellite temps, we return to levels  seen in the late 70s by 2030. One thing, there is no rise to IPCC levels on the way in my scenario, and so far they are wrong, I am not

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The GHCN US database has all the telltale signs of being complete garbage.  Check out these graphs. The 1930s never existed.

Now compare vs. the raw USHCN data, which show the 1930s as being the hottest decade.

The divergence between GHCN US stations and USHCN US stations is massive.

But the real kicker for me is the divergence between airport and non-airport stations. This has all the telltale signs of intentional data tampering in the GHCN database. Patterns like that with sharp inflection points can not happen accidentally. Did the physical  properties of airport stations radically change in 1950 and 1988? Something is seriously wrong with GHCN – which forms the basis of GISS.

Your one stop shopping page for US Government climate data tampering

https://realclimatescience.com/data-tampering-at-ushcngiss/

I think Anthony’s paper was very conservative.

USHCN data tampering is much worse than he  indicated.  By messing with the data, the USHCN trend since 1930 is actually reversed from a measured cooling trend – to a warming trend.

The climate history deniers at NCDC are about to defile US history and announce that July was the hottest ever in the US – despite the fact that July, 1936 was much hotter.

docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/mwr/064/mwr-064-07-c1.pdf

Compare the area of above normal temperatures

Deviation    1936    2012
+12            5%      0%
+10           10%     ~0%
+8            15%     <1%
+6            25%     15%
+4            65%     60%

MonthTDeptUS.png (688×531)

This is pretty solid evidence that their data tampering has severely corrupted the temperature record.

During the last two weeks they went hysterical over a cyclical event which happens every 153 years in Greenland, and a claim by a “former skeptic” who told Huffington Post last year that he never was a skeptic.

Bottom line – these people are irrational and neurotic.

SUMMERTIME, AND THE TWISTERS ARE MISSIN’
JULY HEADS FOR A RECORD-LOW TORNADO COUNT
Bob Henson | July 24, 2012 • Heat and drought are punishing much of the United States right now, but there’s actually some good weather news to report. This month is on track to produce fewer tornadoes than any July on record, and by a long shot.

Summertime, and the twisters are missin’ | UCAR

There were also no hurricanes or tropical storms in the Atlantic during July.

The GHCN US temperature record shows a large divergence between temperatures taken at airports, and those taken at the rest of the stations. This is most likely due to the introduction of pavement.

The first airplane flight was in 1903, so we can probably assume that most of the airport stations were very rural at the time – thus the much lower temperatures. As asphalt and pavement was added, the temperatures rose.

Next, look at the systematic divergence between the two data sets. What happened after 1990???

h/t to Michael D Smith for the suggestion.

Starting in 1979 make no sense though, because it was the coldest year since 1924. If we start in 1930, the US is cooling.