Real Climate Science

I plan to name a new rock today – Emily. Climate change has made nameable rocks appear much more frequently than in the early days of pet rocks.

John Cook posted the picture above.

Some minor problems. Over the last decade, winter temperatures have been plummeting

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Arctic ice spreading south. Snow and cold spreading south. Record floods, drought, crop losses. All due to the dreaded global cooling.

“Within a single year, adversity had visited almost every nation on the globe”

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This year could be well on its way toward earning a dubious spot in the record books.

Arctic sea ice has melted away with astonishing speed in the first half of July, at an average rate of about 46,000 square miles (120,000 square kilometers) per day, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) in Boulder, Colo.

That’s equivalent to an area roughly the size of Pennsylvania melting into the sea every 24 hours.

“That’s relatively fast,” said Julienne Stroeve, a research scientist at the NSIDC.

http://www.ouramazingplanet.com

Not unless an asteroid hits. The map below compares 2007 vs 2011. Most of the red (2007 ice not present in 2011) will be gone in a couple weeks, and the green (2011 ice not present in 2007) area will likely grow much larger. Barring a  major  change in the weather, 2011 won’t be anywhere close to 2007 come September.

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http://www.uscg-iip.org/General/icebergs.shtml

Since Earth monitoring satellites were launched in the late 1970s, the number of icebergs drifting south of 48N has increased. Similarly, the number of hurricanes in the mid-Atlantic has also increased.

I’d like to get some grant money to understand why the presence of satellites affects hurricane and iceberg formation.

By Bob Berwyn

SUMMIT COUNTY — Colorado may be warming up faster than anywhere else in the contiguous 48 states, according to a new map published as part of the 10-year “climate normals” update by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

A map included in the new materials shows that Colorado recorded the greatest increase in average maximum temperatures — between .7 and .9 degrees — from the old normals, compiled between 1971 and 2000, and the new normals, which are based on temperature readings between 1981 and 2010. On average across the U.S., the new average temperatures are about .5 degrees warmer.

http://summitcountyvoice.com/

NOAA cleverly picked the lowest point of the 1970s ice age scare to start their trend line. The eighty year trend shows a completely different story.

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Dropping CO2 back to 295 ppm would make the climate stable again, like the one they had during the Black Plague and the Potato Famine.

http://trove.nla.gov.au/

h/t to Ivan

The world is drying up! We are all doomed.

http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/10373644?

h/t to Ivan

Hansen’s disciples are in a complete tizzy over Roy Spencer’s model. Some complain that his model matches the data, but for the wrong reasons. Others complain that his model isn’t stable over thousand year periods.

They prefer Hansen’s model – which has proven itself completely worthless on short time scales, and forced them to come up with brain damaged arguments about China and a missing chunk of ice in the Hudson Bay last December.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/ushurrlist18512009.txt
ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_mm_mlo.txt

As CO2 has increased, the number of US hurricane strikes has decreased. At 650 ppm hurricanes cease to exist!