Real Climate Science

May 4, 2011

Sea levels will rise more dramatically than was predicted nearly four years ago by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a new study of arctic conditions concludes.

The Arctic ice study by the International Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program, titled Snow, Water, Ice and Permafrost in the Arctic (SWIPA), says that the feedback loops scientists have been warning about already are accelerating glacial melting in the Arctic, which accounted for 40% of sea-level rise chronicled annually from 2003 through 2008.

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/

ONE of Australia’s foremost experts on the relationship between climate change and sea levels has written a peer-reviewed paper concluding that rises in sea levels are “decelerating”.

The analysis, by NSW principal coastal specialist Phil Watson, calls into question one of the key criteria for large-scale inundation around the Australian coast by 2100 — the assumption of an accelerating rise in sea levels because of climate change.

Based on century-long tide gauge records at Fremantle, Western Australia (from 1897 to present), Auckland Harbour in New Zealand (1903 to present), Fort Denison in Sydney Harbour (1914 to present) and Pilot Station at Newcastle (1925 to present), the analysis finds there was a “consistent trend of weak deceleration” from 1940 to 2000.

Mr Watson’s findings, published in the Journal of Coastal Research this year and now attracting broader attention, supports a similar analysis of long-term tide gauges in the US earlier this year. Both raise questions about the CSIRO’s sea-level predictions.

Climate change researcher Howard Brady, at Macquarie University, said yesterday the recent research meant sea levels rises accepted by the CSIRO were “already dead in the water as having no sound basis in probability”.

“In all cases, it is clear that sea-level rise, although occurring, has been decelerating for at least the last half of the 20th century, and so the present trend would only produce sea level rise of around 15cm for the 21st century.”

Dr Brady said the divergence between the sea-level trends from models and sea-level trends from the tide gauge records was now so great “it is clear there is a serious problem with the models”.

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/

h/t to Marc Morano

http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/mwr/064/mwr-064-08-c1.pdf

Summer of 1936 was incredibly hot. Twelve degrees above normal in the high plains.

We used to have soccer practice at ASU in 105-110 heat – every afternoon.

During the third week of July, 1936 – 12,000 people died from the heat. In 2011, 22 people died from the heat. The red bar for 2011 is too small to appear on a graph of this size.

The current heatindexwave is the worst in the planet’s history, because no one previously used “heat index” as a substitute for measuring temperature.

Parts of Chilean Patagonia covered by nine feet of snow; 6.500 feared isolated

President Sebastián Piñera declared much of La Araucania in Chilean Patagonia, disaster areas on Wednesday, as four days of non-stop snowfall have isolated the region’s predominantly rural communities and wreaked havoc on basic utilities.

“The government has resolved to help those affected, especially those living in Lonquimay,” Piñera said on Wednesday. “We declare the zone a disaster area in order to give us greater tools to help our fellow Chileans.”

Lonquimay, the borough with the second most extensive area in Chile, was affected by a polar front that submerged the town of just over 10,000 into chaos.

Intermittent since Sunday, the snowfall has piled as high as nine feet in some areas. Although this part of the country is no stranger to the cold weather, Piñera described the current polar front as the worst the region has seen in 30 years.

Mayor Guillermo Vásquez told local press on Wednesday that temperatures had plunged to -23 degrees Celsius (-9.4 degrees Fahrenheit) in some of the more rural areas.

http://en.mercopress.com/

h/t to Marc Morano

http://www.telegraph.co.uk

White House Press Secretary Jay Carney: “Well, two things remain uncontestably true. The economy is vastly improved from what it was when Barack Obama was sworn into office as president. We were in economic free-fall. There were predictions that we were headed to the second Great Depression.

http://realclearpolitics.com/

Obama was the one making those predictions, because he wanted to scare people into giving trillions away to his banker and union friends. He spent six months talking down the economy, and succeeded in convincing business that he really was going to FUBAR the US.

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Intel CEO Otellini: U.S. faces looming tech decline, says Obama’s ‘Keynesian economics not working’

“Intel chief executive Paul Otellini offered a depressing set of observations about the economy and the Obama administration Monday evening, coupled with a dark commentary on the future of the technology industry if nothing changes,” Declan McCullagh reports for CNET. “Otellini’s remarks during dinner at the Technology Policy Institute’s Aspen Forum here amounted to a warning to the administration officials and assorted Capitol Hill aides in the audience: Unless government policies are altered, he predicted, ‘the next big thing will not be invented here. Jobs will not be created here.’”

http://macdailynews.com/

Climate refugees, cold, famine and starvation, increased rainfall caused by cold, military conflict. Will last for centuries.

The CIA uses the same report now, only they changed “cooling” to “warming.”

http://news.google.com/newspapers

We can’t say for sure that this particular 1896 hurricane was caused by climate change, but we can say for sure that climate change makes hurricanes in Paris more likely.

http://paperspast.natlib.govt.nz/