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New Ice-Free Arctic Forecast

“We redistribute de facto the world’s wealth by climate policy,”

– Ottmar Edenhofer, IPCC Co-chair 2008-2015

Arctic sea ice melt slowed considerably yesterday, and I am now pushing my ice-free Arctic forecast out to October 29, at 11:59 am.

Arctic sea ice volume is fourth highest in the last 15 years.

Spreadsheet    Data

Ice extent is also well above the ten year mean.

sea_ice_only.jpg (997×719)

My forecast is extremely conservative compared to North America’s leading Arctic experts, who say the North Pole has been ice-free for ten years.

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

North Pole could be ice free in 2008 | New Scientist

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Record Heat In Sydney

In January, the usual batch of fraudsters were touting record heat of 116 degrees in Sydney.

Sydney nearly breaks heat record with 116-degree weather – CBS News

The hottest official temperature in Sydney was 110 degrees. January maximum temperatures in Sydney averaged a blistering 82 degrees, three degrees cooler than January 1896.

Sydney had three days above 90 degrees this year, compared to ten days in 1896.

The Sydney Observatory thermometer is carefully situated next to a couple dozen lanes of asphalt, with a tall building reflecting the afternoon sun on to the thermometer.

West of Sydney, Bourke averaged 110 degrees during January 1896.

And they had thirteen consecutive days over 110 degrees.

Eighty-two degrees may seem unbearable, but in 1790 and 1791 Sydney  had no rain for six months and birds were falling dead from the trees from the heat.

27 Jun 1902 – Drought. – Trove

The New York Times reported 127 degrees in the shade in Adelaide in January 1896. My parents spent a January in Adelaide in the 1980’s, and said it never made it above 100 degrees.

TimesMachine: August 18, 1896

 And of course, we must not forget the terrifying sea level rise occurring in Sydney too. Exactly the same sea level as 130 years ago.

2016

Pre-1885.

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Today’s Best Pictures

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Declining July 31 Temperatures In The US

July 31 afternoon temperatures have been declining in the US for a century, with the hottest year being 1917 when almost half of the US was over 95 degrees.

On July 31, 1954 there were 100 degree temperatures coast to coast. New York City was 100 degrees.

On July 31, 1988 it was 110 degrees at Montevideo, Minnesota, and much of the US was experiencing extreme drought.

31 Jul 1988, Page 501 – The Pittsburgh Press at Newspapers.com

psi-198807.gif (690×488)

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Settled Science About England’s Future Climate

The UK will have a snow-free, Siberian, Mediterranean, permanent drought, permanent flooded, hot, cold climate.

Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past – Environment – The Independent

Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us | Environment | The Guardian

BBC NEWS | UK | Climate may turn UK Mediterranean

Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist | Environment | The Guardian

Drought may be new norm for UK, says environment secretary | Environment | The Guardian

One year on from the floods: businesses tell how they picked up the pieces | Guardian Small Business Network | The Guardian

If you don’t agree with all this, you are a racist.

Climate Deniers Are More Likely to Be Racist. Why? | Sierra Club

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Climate Change Fraud Makes Teenagers Despondent

Climate alarmists like Al Gore, Bill Nye and Bloomberg lie to children about climate, tell them they have no future, make them despondent – and then blame increased suicide rates on imaginary climate change.

Steve Goddard on Twitter: “A classic example of superstition and junk science.”

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Turn Out The Lights, The Party’s Over

Griff checked out just in time.  The summer which never happened in the Arctic.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

10-Day Temperature Outlook

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Declining July 30 Temperatures In The US

As CO2 has increased, US July 30 afternoon temperatures have plummeted.  On this date in 1917, almost the entire US east of the Rockies was over 90 degrees, and much was over 100 degrees.

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Understanding The NOAA Urban Heat Island Adjustment

After considering the effect of expanding urban sprawl, NOAA adjusts all recent temperatures upwards. The exact opposite of what any honest scientist would do,

Wayback Machine

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