Visualizing Why Arctic Alarmists Are Doomed

Arctic sea ice is melting at the slowest rate on record, and volume is the highest in thirteen years.

Spreadsheet    Data

The graphs below show why this is a huge problem for climate alarmists. Due to recent cold summers in the Arctic, peak melt rates have dropped over the past 15 years. The Arctic used to regularly see months which lost over a trillion tons of ice, but recent years have generally had much slower melt rates.

But here is the real problem for alarmists.  The only months where significant melting occurs are June and July. By August, the sun is too low in the sky to melt much ice – and during August 2006 the Arctic actually gained sea ice.

June is the peak melt month, and this June is seeing record slow melt. Short of an asteroid strike, there is zero chance of an ice-free Arctic this year, or any time in the foreseeable future. Climate alarmists suffer from two main problems.

  1. They don’t understand that the Earth is round, and that by mid-August the Sun is too low in the sky to melt ice near the North Pole.
  2. They focus on nearly meaningless sea ice extent graphs.

Extent graphs frequently show a large decline in August because early winter storms break up thin ice around the edges. This makes Arctic alarmists feel very relieved, but has little effect on the ice volume.  But no one ever said climate alarmists have much going on upstairs.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

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Fake Data Works!

The DMI Greenland daily melt map and graph has been broken for quite some time now, but seems to be having the desired effect for climate alarmists.

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“No Political Bias”

The IG says there was no political bias influencing the actions of the FBI.

August 8, 2016 text exchange in which Page asked Strzok “[Trump’s] not ever going to become president, right? Right?!” and Strzok replied “No. No he won’t. We’ll stop it”

You really can’t make this stuff up …..

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Settled Science In Japan

Depending on which (fake) government data set you use (NOAA GHCN or the Japanese Meteorological Agency) at Shizuoka, Japan – you get a completely different temperature history. Climate scientists want to control global energy policy, yet appear to be unable to do basic mathematics like averaging.

  JMA  NASA Unadjusted   NASA Adjusted  Spreadsheet

h/t to Kirye

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Trump Vs. Clinton

My dream is of a place and a time where America will once again be seen as the last best hope of earth.

  • Abraham Lincoln

Twenty four years after the Clinton family started North Korea’s nuclear weapons program, President Trump has ended it.

U.S. and North Korea Sign Pact to End Nuclear Dispute – NYTimes.com

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Record Slow Arctic Melt Continues

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.

  • George Orwell

Arctic sea ice volume is the highest for the date in 13 years, and melt is the slowest on record.

Spreadsheet    Data

FullSize_CICE_combine_thick_SM_EN_20180611.png (1337×1113)

Greenland surface mass gain is above normal and continues to increase.

Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Budget: DMI

Sea surface temperatures around Greenland are record cold.

anomnight.6.11.2018.gif (1174×640)

Greenland is still locked in winter, days before the summer solstice.  Vikings farmed Greenland during the recently erased Medieval Warm Period, but farming would be pretty difficult in the modern cold climate.

Fullscreen — Tasiilaq

Eighty years ago, the glaciers in Greenland were “nearing catastrophic collapse”

17 Dec 1939, Page 15 – Harrisburg Sunday Courier at Newspapers.com

Arctic temperatures increased ten degrees during the first half of the 20th century.

31 May 1947 – TEMPERATURES RISING IN ARCTIC REGION – Trove

This warmth of the 1930’s and 1940’s wrecked global warming theory, so scientists who depend on global warming research funding simply erased it.

May 2018 Measured Vs. Adjusted

di2.nu/foia/1254108338.txt

Meanwhile, scientists and the press continue their spectacular lies – saying the exact opposite of what is actually occurring.

There is not a lot of melting going on at -18C

summit:status:webcam

Prior to the information age, people had an excuse for believing deep state propaganda. But there are no excuses any more.

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Arizona Heatwave Of June 11-17, 1896

The year 1896 had record heatwaves around the planet, including one which killed 1,500 people in New York City. Australia’s worst heatwave occurred during January, 1896. Arizona also had their record heatwave that year, with Parker, Az over 120 degrees every day from June 11 to June 17.

If climate scientists were actual scientists, they would want to understand what caused the heat of 1896 – rather than just trying to bury history.

09 Jan 1896, Page 5 – The Sydney Morning Herald at Newspapers.com

24 Jan 1896, Page 5 – The Sydney Morning Herald at Newspapers.com

TimesMachine: August 18, 1896

17 Jul 1896 – HEAT-WAVE IN EUROPE.

1896 Heatwave

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Latest Miracles

Whitetail Buck

Mule Deer Bucks

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Expert Forecasts

Reader Andy says my “forecasts have been as bad as the scientists.

I’ve been saying for ten years that nothing is happening in the Arctic, and that the small year over year variations are just noise. Meanwhile, experts have been predicting the Arctic would be ice-free in 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018 ….

Wayback Machine

There has been no change in Arctic ice over the last decade.

Spreadsheet    Data

Andy appears to be unable to distinguish between the quality of my analysis and the quality of the analysis done by the hacks known as “climate experts.” The dissonance among climate alarmists is quite astonishing.

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NASA Ice-Free Prophesy Update

Hansen, echoing work by other scientists, said that in five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer.

Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass., committee chairman, said, “Dr. Hansen was right. Twenty years later, we recognize him as a climate prophet.”

  • June 24, 2008

Ten years ago, NASA’s chief climate prophet James Hansen predicted the Arctic would be ice-free no later than this summer.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Looks like big trouble for government climate prophets. Arctic sea ice volume is up 7% from when he made his prophesy, and melting at the slowest rate on record.

Spreadsheet    Data

FullSize_CICE_combine_thick_SM_EN_20180610.png

FullSize_CICE_combine_thick_SM_EN_20080610.png

But to be fair to Dr. Hansen, he was a very conservative prophet. The other leading Norwegian, American and Canadian prophets predicted the North Pole would be ice-free ten years ago.

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

North Pole to be ice-free in 2008.

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

North Pole could be ice free in 2008 | New Scientist

Based on the advice of these experts, Lewis Pugh tried to kayak to the North Pole.

BBC NEWS | UK | Swimmer aims to kayak to N Pole

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