Harvey, Irene, Jose, Katia …..
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Double-dip La Nina starting right now.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/sstanim.gif
Funny how that parallels the economy……..
I think the DJI is a leading indicator for ENSO.
“Funny how that parallels the economy…”
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/gw-us-debt-co2-temp.jpg
“A new research study shows that overall global tropical cyclone activity has decreased to historically low levels during the past 5 years. ”
Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2011GL047711, 2011
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047711
of course, I had to ask Ryan what he means by “cyclone”
a cyclone is nothing more than a squall line that’s turning around
This is just what the climate models predicted.
Anybody wishing to collect and re-publish all the dire predictions of increasing cyclone activity from the time of Katrina?
That’s what I asked Ryan to clear up…
In the Caribbean, a cyclone is nothing more than a squall line with a low….
The NHC calls them invests….
It goes tropical depression, tropical storm, hurricane…but all of them are cyclones in the Caribbean
Looking up the analog years for this time around ( 1996, 2004, 2005, 2008) shows just how cyclical the hurricane “seasons” are. The various ENSO phases can be factored in and if the AO and AMO are also in sync, we can realize easily that it is not [CO2] but natural variation that “controls” storm frequency and, to some extent, severity.
Warm-core, tropical cyclones are a phenomenon of nature and natural variation. All we can do is get out of their way.