Climate expert Michael E Mann says that the deep snow in Boston is due to excess moisture in the air caused by global warming, but Boston is having their driest snow on record and fourth coldest start to a year on record. The ratio of snow/water is almost 10:1, more like what would be expected in the dry Rocky Mountains.
Precipitation at Boston is nowhere near a record.
By the end of the week, this may be their coldest start to a year on record.
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/daily/all/USC00190736.dly
As is normally the case, Mikey has no idea what he is talking about. Being clueless makes him a hero of the left, and earns him $15,000 to speak to audiences of progressive useful idiots.
Its mythical snow. Hot snow. Global warming means this snow doesn’t exist. If you just believe your SUV will emerge magically from under the 10″ of strange white stuff which the models say isn’t actually there.
So true.
When it is below zero, the snow is ‘dry’. It is tiny ice crystals that sting like buckshot when the wind howls. The snow is piling up here on my mountain as well as in Boston because it isn’t MELTING between storms.
And this is how Ice Ages work: less and less snow but it doesn’t melt.
Speaking of drying up.. it’s the sunspots.
spaceweather.com
I’ve been watching it for several days and now there are 44 spots but just days ago there were like over 100 spots or so, and not only have the spots been rotating out of the picture, they’ve just been disappearing. Poof! Kind of like a complexion that’s clearing up (drying out). Within a few days much of the remainders are going to rotate away, and the rest could dry out and disappear.. and if (a big if) nothing new shows up, we could have 0 spots. And we are still supposed to be essentially at solar maximum!
So, within a few days could we have zero sunspots?
I know it’s 44 now, but it’s just a feeling.
Yes, disclaimer: it could go the other way.
My link to spaceweather dot com got messed up.
It’s: spaceweather.com
http://www.landscheidt.info/images/lay_monthly1.png
“The Monthly comparison graph showing the different counting methods. The NOAA method departing from the Wolfer method by not adjusting the raw count (NOAA do not multiply by 0.6). The SIDC using the Wolfer formula (along with the Waldmeier scale factor) which I believe is flawed during times of high speck ratio’
One sunspot group is recorded with the overall sunspot area decreasing. Tomorrow has a strong chance of going sub 30 for the LSC monthly average.
New Lockwood Papers Challenge Svalgaard, Livingston & Penn and WUWT?
A new paper by McCracken, Beer & Steinhilber is published in Solar Physics which aligns itself very strongly with my theory and paper on solar grand minima.</b. The AMP event or barycentric anomaly being the major differentiators from other planetary theories. Anthony Watts has refused to review this new paper along with mine, although F10.7 flux increasing….
http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/50
Not surprising that A.W. is refusing to review the paper. He also pretty much kicked Dr Nicola Scafetta of Duke University off WUWT for arguing with Leif Svalgaard who is now ‘Adjusting’ the historic sunspot record…. Sound familiar?
An alternate look at the data is always interesting. I do not think barely visible specks should be counted the same as large sunspots. The F10.7 flux is a better method. Notice that Geoff handles the data correctly. He shows both the NOAA count and the SIDC, explains how they are determined and then shows his analysis and what he has done and why. I may not agree with the hypothesis of Dr Landscheidt and Geoff, but at least they are following good data handling practices and who knows their observations may lead to a new understanding of the universe.
Also see: A History of Solar Activity over Millennia by Ilya G. Usoskin
A review of “A History of Solar Activity over Millennia” by Ilya G. Usoskin
Grand maxima of solar activity:
http://solarphysics.livingreviews.org/open?pubNo=lrsp-2008-3&page=articlesu16.html
A review by CO2 Science: A 3,000-Year Record of Solar Activity
I do not think barely visible specks should be counted the same as large sunspots.
Iceagenow got upset about spaceweather counting every speck, so he went to landscheit or whatever. But I still use spaceweather. And we know one thing, if spaceweather says there is zero spots, then there. is. zero. spots.Triple zero!
And I’m looking at the current image of the sun, and “spot” # 2284 is certainly
barely visibleNOT visible. So that’s another reason to think that we might go to zero spots, because when those spots to the right rotate away, #2284 is .. what? A phantom spot.But I’m going to try to insert an image here for the first time (of the current sun & it’s spots). If I don’t get it right someone tell me how to insert images here. And here’s the image link if I fail to get the image to appear: http://spaceweather.com/images2015/17feb15/hmi1898.gif?PHPSESSID=m7j2qn07agri64irben7vnr5b3
So I’ll try to get this image in with img src =. Look at “spot” 2284:
Eric strip off all the letters/symbols after gif and you get:
h t t p : // spaceweather . com/images2015/17feb15/hmi1898.gif
http://spaceweather.com/images2015/17feb15/hmi1898.gif
Try the stripped URL in another window first to make sure it works, though.
Thanks Gail! So there you have it. The sun and its “44” spots today.
Nope. Didn’t work. My image didn’t show. Maybe there’s something wrong the image file. I used an IMG SRC = “url” in brackets , but the image is not there. At least I don’t see it.
Apologies, elsewhere
Gail, I iam not defending AW in any particular way, but he has a longstanding policy of not entertaining papers or discusions on barycentrism on his site. At the limit, he is being consistent with it. A totally different case is the “sunspot war”, his stance on temp records tainting, as reported here for example, and many other cases that has drawn old readers elesewhere. Regards. Figaro
HOLY COW.
My father, Dr. Aden Meinel, was one of the founders of Kitt Peak’s observatories and his prize one was founding the huge solar observatory there and I used to play in that big white building as a child and watched the sun spots on the big Table there.
Well…NASA and NOAA basically told him to go to hell when he warned them the sun was going into a Maunder Minimum cycle just before he died two years ago.
And now they are destroying his research. Counting tiny sun spots we couldn’t detect in the past is insane. They don’t matter. A hot sun has lots of big sun spots and a cooler sun has few to no big sun spots. Simple. Has been understood for the last 100 years and my grandpa, Edison Pettit worked on this thing with Dr. Hubble way back before WWI.
One of these days your sense of humor is going to get you in trouble.
WMO- Urban observations.
“At the same time, Meteorological Services have difficulty in making urban observations that are not severely compromised. This is because most developed sites make it impossible to conform to the standard guidelines for site selection and
instrument exposure given in Part I of this Guide owing to obstruction of air-flow and radiation exchange by buildings and trees, unnatural surface cover and waste heat and water vapour from human activities”
at least they admit the problems and give them a “0” for quality.
“All instruments of our AWS are equipped with calibration certification, but factory calibration should be performed at least every two years in a calibration laboratory. Till then, it is really essential to check the accuracy of our AWS by field checks with suitable travelling reference instruments regularly. As professional reference instruments of known high accuracy are too expensive, this check could be done by comparing the station’s data with that from other reference station in the locality, if the two stations have similar microclimates”
same microclimate, oh dear that could be a problem if you are estimating up to 1200 kilometres from a weather station.
” ….As professional reference instruments of known high accuracy are too expensive, this check could be done by comparing the station’s data with that from other reference station in the locality, if the two stations have similar microclimates”
Now that is a HUGH pile of pig feces!
I ran quality labs (chemical analysis) for years. We ALWAYS brought in an outside testing lab to calibrate our thermometers on a yearly basis and had an NIST (formerly NBS) reference thermometer in house for monthly spot checks.
Are these Donkey’s rearends are telling me they don’t have the MONEY when the US government is spending billions on CAGW? Are they telling me based on their shoddy work, work that would get them tossed in jail by the FDA, the US Government is aiming to radically change our economy?
Heck all they have to do is hire a calibration service like we did.
http://www.thomasnet.com/north-carolina/thermometer-calibrating-services-84971662-1.html
OR
For $1,805.00 buy a few Fluke Calibration 1523 / 1524 Reference Thermometer
These idiots are telling me the US government is incapable of buying some of these and having personnel deticated to checking themometers once a year in a region?
I hope stations sited in these areas are not expected to estimate temps up to 1200 kilometers away,
“The representativeness and homogeneity of climatological records are closely related to the location of the observing site. A station sited on or near a steep slope, ridge, cliff, hollow, building, wall or other obstruction is likely to provide data that are
more representative of the site alone and not of a wider area”
hell Gail , it gets worse-
“The representativeness and homogeneity of climatological records are closely related to the location of the observing site. A station sited on or near a steep slope, ridge, cliff, hollow, building, wall or other obstruction is likely to provide data that are more representative of the site alone and not of a wider area. A station that is or will be affected by the growth of vegetation, including even limited tree growth near the sensor, growth of tall crops or woodland nearby, erection of buildings on adjacent land, or increases (or decreases) in road or air traffic (including those due to changes in the use of runways or taxiways) will provide neither broadly representative nor homogeneous data”
it’s a mess,
oh dear even in rural areas-
“These changes can also occur to weather stations that are still in rural locations and are often harder to detect. For instance, the growth of trees around a farmstead that maintains a weather station alters the local wind flow and temperature patterns, and so reduces extreme wind speeds and the incidence of frosts (where they occur). The trend in the observations reflects the changes in the microclimate of the farmstead while the general climate may not have changed. Heat Island effect (Image: NASA )”
Blue hill temperature data is great because it has not been altered and there is over 130 years of it. Last years temp was below thirty year mean and close to 130 year mean. Lower than 1940s
sorry for hogging but you have to laugh-
http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/statistical_depictions_of_climate.php
“The trend in the observations reflects the changes in the microclimate of the farmstead while the general climate may not have changed”
Just send Skeeter in with a straw.
It took me a minute to get that this was a cocaine joke. I was racking my brain trying to figure out what closeted gay dudes did with straws that was so funny.
Enough already! It is Fat Tuesday and Lent starts tomorrow with Ash Wednesday —- and we are getting more cold here in central Florida. Enough! Lent may be about suffering, but not being cold. I don’t want any more cold this year. Why is it so hard for progressives to see that the whole “global warming” is pure bull droppings?
On the other hand, without “global warming” think about how cold it would be! 🙂
The Crucifixion was done at the peak of the Roman Warm Period. The Easter celebration is a pagan affair which is all about ‘spring time’ which became much delayed over the eons due to cooling.
Hrm, 1919 1:1, 1938 1:2. I guess those were very cold Winters where almost all of the precipitation fell as a cold, dense solid, instead of a warm, light liquid (this is also why there are large mounds of ice littering the sea-floors of the world in cold times).
It is interesting to note that there is normally a huge snowfall gradient across the greater Boston area from southeast to northwest. The northwest suburbs usually far out do the city and places south and east like Plymouth. Not so this year, Plymouth is doing as well as anyone. Obviously, when the snowfall gradient moves southeast, it is a clear sign of cooling, not warming!
That is for sure! Just over the border into New Hampshire the weather gets really cold and snowy.
Please blast the progressives in the upper left corner next. The Cascades are almost devoid of snow in the sea level to 5500′ range, which is pretty much most of the ski areas. 80″ of cold smoke is just what we need!
Well come and get some of mine. Because “cold smoke” is exactly what it looks like here looking across the farm fields. A good strong WNW is making those fields look smoky even when the suns out and it’s not snowing.
Just fixed my flags on my 30′ pole and their going to fold up again if this keeps up. They’re held by friction and that’s what protects them. When the winds get too high they fold down together and it helps prevent them from tattering. Not worried about the pole. It’s guaranteed to take 80 mph sustained flying a 4′ x 6′.
And the Networks are still hyping “Climate Change”. http://newsbusters.org/blogs/julia-seymour/2015/02/17/snowbound-networks-devote-17-minutes-climate-change