They Missed One

We saw this Bald Eagle while canoeing this evening. The local wind farm operators are no doubt upset that one got away from them.


I spent the day cycling, canoeing, and enjoying family and friends. The world looks perfect to me. Greens imagine that it is falling apart.

ScreenHunter_1367 Mar. 29 00.13ScreenHunter_1368 Mar. 29 00.15

About Tony Heller

Just having fun
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42 Responses to They Missed One

  1. gator69 says:

    I had snow again this morning, just a dusting, but cold temps are back. I hate to admit it during Earth Hour, but I did refill the bird feeders and rescued one of my Bluebird houses that fell victim to the frost action this year. The post was pushed far enough up out of the hole that the cold front blew it down last night. Still not any sign of Spring here yet.

  2. omanuel says:

    The world is “falling apart” because Greens seriously believe their actions are saving it.

  3. Joe says:

    Looks like in that bottom photo you’re starting to get green grass already… Nothing but brown still where I live.

    • Brian H says:

      Here in Vancouver, BC, we had to cut the lawn in Feb., it was so thick. If we get a few dry days, it’s due again. “Winter” was warm and boring.

  4. sully says:

    Still 5 feet of snow here. No robins yet. Looks like spring is late coming to the Bay of Fundy.

  5. AndyG55 says:

    FFS… don’t tell barren Chris where it is. He’ll be out there with a shotgun !!

  6. richard says:

    bet the greens hate this one-

    the big problem is spread of non- native species wiping out native species.

    • Groty says:

      Yep, this 90 minute presentation by Jesse Ausubel has been making the rounds the past several weeks. I highly recommend watching it. He talks about the wildlife rebound happening in Europe and the U.S., and predicts that the combination of humans clustering into cities together with the rapid efficiency gains in agriculture and people eating less beef and more chicken, that the world will return to the wild an area the size of the country of India over the course of the next few decades (it’s already happening in parts of Russia).

      I’m guessing that in the next 2-3 decades the social engineers will be complaining about wildlife pests. We’re already seeing liberals whine about deer being pests in the northeast U.S., wild boars in the Southern U.S., Canada geese and rabbits elsewhere.

  7. sabretoothed says:

    30,000 Yoga class schedules? “She said she had culled through more than 60,000 emails from her time at State and determined that roughly 30,000 of them were public records that should have been maintained.

    Clinton said the rest were messages related to private matters, such as her daughter’s wedding or her yoga class schedule, and didn’t need to be kept.”

  8. istasz says:

    I see that the site occasionally get hijacked by the hunting crowd, which is the same as the Red scare crowd, which is the same give-every-grandmother-a-gun crowd, which is the same crowd who would seek membership in the bankrupt, brain dead Heartland Institute. Not one of you could solve a first order differential equation if your lives depended on it, but you’re all climate experts…

    • Me says:

      You are probably correct about the first order differential equation if your lives depended on it, but if your trust depends on it, it equals to the same ends. or it may be approximated or something like that.

    • AndyG55 says:

      ” Not one of you could solve a first order differential equation ” roflmao

      How is your unfinished Arts degree preparing you for barista work ??

    • AndyG55 says:

      Tell me , little boy… how do you go with things such as…

      Log Pearson III, Bayesian inference, empirical distribution functions, IFDs, ARIs, pluviographs, PMP/PMF, vapour diffusion, Dalton , Penman-Monteith, Bowen ratios, Rutter, balance model, probabilistic rational method, kinematic wave theory, fluid dynamics etc?

      or maybe Laplace transforms, surface integration, combinatorial topology, rings and fields, real analysis, complex analysis, partial differential equations, finite elements, stress analysis, network linear programming, etc etc are more down to your barista level ?

      • Gail Combs says:

        I am afraid my limits in math were six semesters of calculus. That does not include the three semesters in statistics or four in accounting…..

      • istasz says:

        Then all the more shame on you for not being to translate your education into discerning the difference between actual science and the pseudo-shamansitic bullshit that gets posted here, mainly in the form of ad hoc newspaper clippings from a 100 years back.

        • AndyG55 says:

          Its your scientific ignorance and gullibility of falsified and manipulated pseudo-science that is the real problem.

          AGW is at most a failed hypothesis, but more likely a bald-faced fabrication, based on non-science and political agendas.

          If you had any more than a very basic education, you would have figured it out by now.

        • Gail Combs says:

          I am very capable of discerning the difference between actual science and the disinformation put out by the government.

          #1, The error bars are wider than the entire Catestrophic Warming of the twentieth century starting with the +/- 0.5 F error in the LIG thermometers and going on to 64% of the surface stations in the USA being class 4. Class 4 (CRN4) (error >= 2C) That is from the Climate Reference Network Rating Guide – adopted from NCDC Climate Reference Network Handbook, 2002.

          The USA is supposed to be the best so the error of the global surface station record will have an error greater than 2 degrees C.

          Second the IPCC even admits:

          …in climate research and modeling we should recognise that we are dealing with a complex non linear chaotic signature and therefore that long-term prediction of future climatic states is not possible

          IPCC 2001 section page 774

          So what does that mean? It means that the climate at least for the last five million years has been bistable with the COLD strange attractor being the more stable condition. The Earth is actually in an ice age and in one of the brief warmer interglacials.

          Dansgaard-Oeschger events are periods of abrupt climate change that have occurred 25 times during the Wisconsin Ice Age between the Eemain and the Holocene. The spikes are usually 8 to 10C jumps in temperature with the larges being a 16C jump. The earth briefly warms to close to interglacial temperature before descending back into the deep freeze. Bond events are a continuation of Dansgaard-Oeschger events during the Holocene (same spacing in time) but are much less dramatic because the earth is already in an interglacial.

          Until these 8C to 16C jumps in temperature are understood and explained CAGW is completely off the table.

          Then comes the question of WHEN we are. At the end of the Holocene.

          Remember the climate is bistable and the temperature will circle around one strange attractor until there is enough of a boot to kick the climate into circling around the other strange attractor. Dr Alley and his buddies found the switch from the Wisconsin glaciation to the Holocene ocurred in ONE YEAR!!!
          This passage describes the initial discovery of Abrupt Climate Change .

          “They knew they had the critical layer of ice… Wanda Kapsner, a Penn State graduate student, had been taking thin sections about every 20 meters along the lengths of core laid out in the cave. She told Alley, ‘This section is in Holocene ice and the next section 20 meters down is in Ice Age ice, and so between these two is where you’re going to find it.'”

          “‘You did not need to be a trained ice core observer to see this,’ recalled Alley. ‘Ken Taylor is sitting there with the ECM and he’s running along and his green line is going wee, wee, wee, wee – Boing! Weep! Woop! And then it stays down.’ Dust in the windy ice age atmosphere lowered the acidity of the core to a completely new state….

          …and then it was Alley’s turn at the ice. “It slides across in front of me and I’m trying to identify years: ‘That’s a year, that’s a year and that’s a year, and – woops, that one’s only half as thick.’ And it’s sitting there just looking at you. And there’s a huge change in the appearance of the ice, it goes from being clear to being not clear, having a lot of dust.”

          Climate Crash: Abrupt Climate Change and What it Means for our Future by John D. Cox,
          (National Academies Press, ISBN: 0-309-54565-X, 224 pages, 2005)

          The Holocene interglacial is now 11,717 years old. That’s two centuries or so beyond half the present precession cycle (or 23,000/2=11,500). So the little Ice Age was about the right time for glacial inception. However we had the Modern Grand Solar Minimum – A History of Solar Activity over Millennia

          Will the earth descend into glaciation or be a ‘‘double precession cycle’’ interglacial? That is still being argued although the following paper carries a lot of weight.

          A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic D18O records
          Lisiecki & Raymo
          We present a 5.3-Myr stack (the ‘‘LR04’’ stack) of benthic d18O records from 57 globally distributed sites aligned by an automated graphic correlation algorithm. This is the first benthic d18O stack composed of more than three records to extend beyond 850 ka,…

          Recent research has focused on MIS 11 as a possible analog for the present interglacial [e.g., Loutre and Berger, 2003; EPICA Community Members, 2004] because both occur during times of low eccentricity. The LR04 age model establishes that MIS 11 spans two precession cycles, with d18O values below 3.6% for 20 kyr, from 398 – 418 ka. In comparison, stages 9 and 5 remained below 3.6% for 13 and 12 kyr, respectively, and the Holocene interglacial has lasted 11 kyr so far. In the LR04 age model, the average LSR of 29 sites is the same from 398– 418 ka as from 250–650 ka; consequently, stage 11 is unlikely to be artificially stretched. However, the 21 June insolation minimum at 65°N during MIS 11 is only 489 W/m2, much less pronounced than the present minimum of 474 W/m2. In addition, current insolation values are not predicted to return to the high values of late MIS 11 for another 65 kyr. We propose that this effectively precludes a ‘‘double precession cycle’’ interglacial [e.g., Raymo, 1997] in the Holocene without human influence….

          A newer paper from the fall of 2012 a href=””>Can we predict the duration of an interglacial? agrees and gives the calculated solar insolation values @ 65N on June 22 for several glacial inceptions:

          Current value – insolation = 479W m?2 (from that paper)

          MIS 7e – insolation = 463 W m?2,
          MIS 11c – insolation = 466 W m?2,
          MIS 13a – insolation = 500 W m?2,
          MIS 15a – insolation = 480 W m?2,
          MIS 17 – insolation = 477 W m?2

          If you want to use NOAA: @ 60N vs 65N

          Holocene peak insolation: 523 Wm-2
          ……………………………………………..decrease = 47 Wm-2
          NOW (modern Warm Period) 476 Wm-2
          …………………………………………….. decrease = 12 Wm-2
          Depth of the last ice age – around 464 Wm?2

          That says the earth has no business being warm right now…

          And the idiotic US government want to cut this life giving gas that might be all that is keeping the earth from glaciation. The gas that is in such short supply that C4 plants evolved to cope with the deficiency?


  9. Gail Combs says:

    About the starvation level of the present CO2 levels:

    Royal Society Carbon dioxide starvation, the development of C4 ecosystems, and mammalian evolution

    Carbon starvation in glacial trees recovered from the La Brea tar pits, southern California. this is at sea level!

    Impact of lower atmospheric carbon dioxide on tropical mountain ecosystems


    Carbon-isotope values of bulk organic matter from high-altitude lakes on Mount Kenya and Mount Elgon, East Africa, were 10 to 14 per mil higher during glacial times than they are today. Compound-specific isotope analyses of leaf waxes and algal biomarkers show that organisms possessing CO2-concentrating mechanisms, including C4 grasses and freshwater algae, were primarily responsible for this large increase. Carbon limitation due to lower ambient CO2 partial pressures had a significant impact on the distribution of forest on the tropical mountains, in addition to climate. Hence, tree line elevation should not be used to infer palaeotemperatures.

    Carbon dioxide measurements above a wheat crop

    ….The vertical CO2 gradient was found to show little variation across the crop, confirming the assumption of horizontal homogeneity generally made in micrometeorological studies.

    Daytime differences in the CO2 concentration between 2 and 1 m above the crop were generally steady at about 2 p.p.m., with nocturnal differences being more variable, of reversed sign and about 10 times greater in magnitude….

    The CO2 concentration at 2 m above the crop was found to be fairly constant during the daylight hours on single days or from day-to-day throughout the growing season ranging from about 310 to 320 p.p.m. Nocturnal values were more variable and were between 10 and 200 p.p.m. higher than the daytime values.

    This study is telling you that wheat can suck the CO2 levels down to about 310 to 320 ppm It is also telling you wheat will be in starvation mode bellow 320 ppm in an open field.

    How fast do plants suck down CO2?
    Tomato Plant Culture: In the Field, Greenhouse, and Home Garden, Second Edition

    …Plant photosynthetic activity can reduce the CO2 within the plant canopy to between 200 and 250 ppm… I observed a 50 ppm drop in within a tomato plant canopy just a few minutes after direct sunlight at dawn entered a green house (Harper et al 1979) … photosynthesis can be halted when CO2 concentration approaches 200 ppm… (Morgan 2003)

    …Slack (1986) states that ‘low atmospheric CO2 content in many greenhouses is indeed a major contributor to lower than expected yields, and the enriching with CO2 to bring levels back to at least ambient will have a major effect on plant yields.”…

    ……..Relative Fruit Yields (5)
    CO2 Conc… 4 weeks…. 20 weeks
    600 ppm…….179……….129
    1,000 ppm ….235……….137
    1,400 ppm ….254……….139

    That says that CO2 starvation means less seed produced and a slower time to maturity. Wheat and tomatoes are both C3 plants.

    • AndyG55 says:

      I think I have said this several times before…

      The demonisation of CO2 and the attempts to actually restrict CO2 emissions is probably..


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