The Years Of Living Fraudulently

Three years ago, snake oil saleswoman/ambulance chaser Katherine Hayhoe announced that “climate change” had wrecked Texas. She told Texas leaders that only faith in her and her climate models could save them.

2016-07-10121007 2016-07-10120919

Drought – Years Of Living Dangerously

Since then, Texas has had some of their wettest years on record.

24mPNormUS

http://hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/24mPNormUS.png

She made her claim based on a single data point, while ignoring the long term trend.

2016-07-10121713

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Scientists don’t operate like this. Snake oil salesmen do.

This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

27 Responses to The Years Of Living Fraudulently

  1. Rud Istvan says:

    Checked out Years of living dangerously. ‘The science is in’. Not one of the assertions is correct. Ignore the pause. Ignore El Nino. Cherry pick recent weather with no historical references. The statement 1c reduces crop yields 10 percent based on a single provably bad paper, ignoring greening reality. Slickly packaged lies.

  2. George Applegate says:

    She also believes God created Earth 6000 years ago.

  3. BobbyK says:

    I live in San Antonio, Tx, back in May, almost every day for almost 2 weeks straight, within the city and a lot of the surrounding areas got massive amounts of rain, crazy big hail too. Enough rain to give hopes to the water level of our Medina Lake, an area that went mostly dry due to no rain for may years. Any drought is always a natural occurrence here, happens every summer sooooo…..Hayhoe’s dumb

  4. Peter Sable says:

    Even a long term trend is misleading. From a frequency perspective, the long term trend mixes up all the low frequency components, filters out the high frequency components, and thus misses any cycles present or those longer than the sample.

    Of course the single data point is even worse… but don’t be fooled by trends either.

    • tonyheller says:

      The long term trend shows that Hayhoe’s theory is garbage. There is nothing misleading about it.

      • Peter Sable says:

        so the long term temperature trend is meaningful? No, it’s not. Draw a sine wave on a whiteboard, and see how many trendlines you can draw on it. As many as you wish in any direction you wish.

        • Sunsettommy says:

          What is really bothering you,Peter?

        • Jason Calley says:

          “Draw a sine wave on a whiteboard, and see how many trendlines you can draw on it. As many as you wish in any direction you wish.”

          Not true.

          You can draw as many SHORT term trends as you like, but long term, not so many. As the time gets longer and looooonger the trend becomes more and more defined. Of course there is still room for discussion about how long is long enough, and in a truly chaotic system even long term trends become less predictable. Still , for our purposes and on scales approaching those of a human life span, mutidecadal trends are meaningful.

          • Peter Sable says:

            Yes, and if you have 100+ year long cycles there’s a lot of possible trends in 100 years of measurements that all resolve down to a pile of different trendlines, depending on when the measurement window starts.

            For example we haven’t even had one 70 year climatic cycle in the satellite record yet. Drawing a trendline off of the satellite record is silly.

            My big problem with trendlines is you are are replacing the ridiculously absurd of extrapolating from one point with a subtle error of extrapolating off of a trendline.

            Subtle but wrong. Less wrong than off a single point, I’ll grant you, but still wrong.

            “We don’t know” is almost always the right answer when you don’t have enough data.

            Peter

  5. The Iconoclast says:

    Drought monitor currently showing 0% of Texas in drought! Dessler got so much mileage hooting at Perry for saying droughts come and go. Didn’t he say it was permanent this time?

  6. Ross says:

    Interesting looking at her credentials. Atmospheric scientist and Director of the Climate Science Centre –fair enough but her main job would appear to be Ass Prof of the Political Science Dept. I wonder how she qualified for the latter ? But I suppose I should not be surprised at the combination.

  7. De Paus says:

    Muslim Cleric: Immodest Women are Causing Climate Change
    Seyyed Youssef Tabatabi-nejad, a senior Islamic cleric in Isfahan, Iran, said during his weekly sermon last Friday that women dressing inappropriately is causing climate change.
    In his sermon, Tabatabi-nejad urged Iran’s “moral police” to crack down on “improper veiling” and to do everything they can to keep Iran’s population as moral as possible. (Yes, Iran has an undercover police force that is purely dedicated to making sure that people act and dress according to their faith.)
    But Tabatabi-nejad is not concerned with long-term issues such as the souls of the women who are not wearing their scarves in the car and taking long romantic walks with their boyfriends in public; he has more immediate concerns.
    In his sermon, Tabatabi-nejad announced that his “office had received photos of women next to the dry Zayandeh-run River (a major river that runs through Isfahan), [dressed] as if they were in Europe. It is these sorts of acts that cause the river to dry up.”
    You read that right. The environment is not messed up because of greenhouse gases or cow farts. The rivers are drying up because women are dressing immodestly. Someone call up the scientists and let them know that all our environmental problems are really easy to fix — all of the women in the world just need to start wearing burkas and keep their hair out of sight.
    This statement has, surprisingly, been largely accepted by those in Iran; as if a natural cause for rivers drying up is just out of the question.
    The National Council of Resistance of Iran, an Iranian parliament-in-exile dedicated to bringing about the separation of theological and political law in Iran, has condemned Tabatabi-nejad’s statement as a “reflection of the typical mindset of the theocratic regime ruling Iran which is no different than the Culture of Isis.”
    There has been no official statement from anyone in Iran about this radical stance on how women wearing shorts causes climate change, but this is sadly not the first time someone’s taken this positon.
    Back in 2010, Hajjat ol-eslam Kazem Sediqi, the acting Friday prayer leader in Tehran at the time, claimed that adultery was the cause of an earthquake that was supposed to hit Tehran that year and level the city. The earthquake never did get there. It must have found a more promiscuous city to shake down instead.

    http://www.mrctv.org/blog/radical-new-reason-why-rivers-are-running-dry-iran

  8. EW3 says:

    Hayhoe

    That’s how I’d greet her if I met her.

  9. Andy Oz says:

    Perth rainfall has declined a bit in last 60 years according to BOM, while elsewhere in the state there is no decline.
    http://www.bom.gov.au/tmp/cdio/009021_139_13_9061315942817749290.png

    However, Perth’s population doubled in last 20 years to 2 million. Regional WA also boomed. The Perth to Goldfields water pipeline had its capacity doubled recently, and it gets its water from Perth Dams. Water consumption has skyrocketed. No more dams were built, only the desalination plant.
    http://www.perthnow.com.au/news/special-features/in-depth/future-perth-blueprint-for-a-compact-capital/news-story/6eb69ad56abd4831d464c91b8629a734

    In 2004, climate cheerleader and palaeontologist, Tim Flannery predicted the end of Perth & repeated it in 2007.
    http://www.perthnow.com.au/news/western-australia/flannery-sticks-by-ghost-city/story-e6frg13u-1111113010817

    He is an media tart and it’s well known that the climate boondoggle has generated him millions. He is no different from Katherine Hayhoe in his drought doom & gloom and religious like fervour for carbon taxes, wind farms and solar panels. I have little respect for the snake oil selling climate opinions of Mr Tim Flannery.

    • Andy Oz says:

      Busselton Rainfall: the Federation drought 1895-1902, can be seen. To say WA rainfall has dropped because of CO2, is bulldust.

      http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weatherData/av?p_display_type=dataGraph&p_stn_num=009515&p_nccObsCode=139&p_month=13

    • AndyG55 says:

      With its two desal plants, and absolutely huge supplies of aquifer (shallow and deep) groundwater, Perth is probably one of the LEAST cities in Australia liable to be affected by lack of water supply.

      Currently they use about 40, 40, 20 desal, aquifer, and surface supply.

      As they continue to grow, they will tap further into the aquifers, and add a couple more desal plants as required, and keep the surface water dams for contingency and recreational use.

      No problem.

      • Andy Oz says:

        100%. And its why I love the place.
        WA has enormous gas reserves to power desal and the Indian Ocean is right there.
        Perth will never run out of water or be a ghost town.
        Flannery is a shill.

        • Andy Oz says: July 11, 2016 at 12:52 pm

          “100%. And its why I love the place. WA has enormous gas reserves to power desal and the Indian Ocean is right there.
          Perth will never run out of water or be a ghost town.”

          WA has many rivers to the north (to equator)! Why are any of these allowed to discharge any of this dirty fresh water (DFW) into an ocean? DFW returns as clean fresh water (CFW) after a 100 meter sand filter. God knows you have a lot of sand there! :-) Why even mention desalinization? If jew need many, many large pipes; I hab very good price! :-)

  10. Andy DC says:

    With alarmists, it is always a matter of searching the globe for someplace where the weather is not perfect. Or even if the weather is perfect, lie about it.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *