IPCC – US Beaches Gone By 2020

In 1995, 2,500 of the world’s top climate experts announced that east coast beaches were doomed by the year 2020, due to sea level rise.

At the most likely rate of rise, some experts say, most of the beaches on the East Coast of the United States would be gone in 25 years.

Scientists Say Earth’s Warming Could Set Off Wide Disruptions – NYTimes.com

East coast beaches are sinking due to post-glacial rebound, and the rate hasn’t changed. It isn’t clear how an increase of 0.0001 mole fraction CO2 over the past century would affect geologic processes in the mantle.

As always, climate scientists had/have no clue what they were talking about. But with each new failure, their certainty increases. Now at 99%.

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38 Responses to IPCC – US Beaches Gone By 2020

  1. Cherlyn says:

    Glad Trump is getting rid of the politicized climate change liars! Thanks for the truth.

  2. Brodie says:

    “They are already disappearing at a rate of 2 to 3 feet per year”.
    Fake news is clearly nothing new. The rate of sea level rise is about 8 inches PER CENTURY, 2 MILLIMETERS per year.

    • Squidly says:

      Brodie, I believe the “2 to 3 feet per year” is how much of the “beach” they claim is receding each year, not the sea level itself. Still, I don’t believe a word of it, but nonetheless, I think you are comparing apples to keish.

  3. Gamecock says:

    Beaches are formed by wave action on land. If sea level goes up a foot, or even ten feet, beaches will still exist. They may have moved a half-mile, but they’ll still exist.

  4. R2Dtoo says:

    One forgets how long the IPPC groupies have been leaving their garbage science on the beaches – wow that’s 22 years ago already. Only three years to go. I enjoy the beaches of Florida and am 99% sure I will miss them!

  5. I recall that about then faculty members at UT Austin circulated the Petition Project petition. This was the one signed by over 30,000 degreed scientists that blocked senate ratification of the Kyoto suicide pact. They are listed alphabetically and by state. Nowhere yet have I seen the list of 2500 ex-scientists, mountebanks and cretins who predicted the world would by now be a rotisserie and that the Democrats would continue feed us coercive econazi palliatives instead of legalizing power plants.

    • stpaulchuck says:

      yeah, it’s always amazed me that the list of warmist scientists seems to go missing all the time. It’s almost like they don’t exist or something.

  6. An Inquirer says:

    “East coast beaches are sinking due to post-glacial rebound . . .”

    I suspect this is a typo or misstatement. Post-glacial rebound causes the coastline to rise. The official government site adds .3 mm to sea level rise per year to, arguing that the encroachment of oceans onto land would be greater if not for the post-glacial rebound.

    I believe east cost beaches often are sinking because human development has drained water from land.

    • tonyheller says:

      I prefer not to waste time on these sort of discussions. Post glacial rebound causes Canada to rise, and the East Coast to sink. Like a teeter-totter.

      • Taphonomic says:

        Yep. Regions south of the glacier experienced forebulge due to the glaciation. Remove the glacier and the forebulge subsides.
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forebulge

        • An Inquirer says:

          Thanks for the clarification and explanation.

          I would think that land subsidence caused by human development & over-extraction of water would be more of an issue than post glacial rebound.

          • Gail Combs says:

            land subsidence caused by humans
            See: Why New Orleans is sinking

            Subsidence of fill is another (much of Boston MA and NYC is fill)

            Subsidence from water pumping like in Florida is a third.

          • stpaulchuck says:

            the continental shelf is being deflected by a gazillion tons of silt from the rivers.
            [‘Gazillion’ is a factual number. I read it on the interwebs. Must be true. *grin*]

          • RAH says:

            Just think of a wooden board or plank as the land/crust and water as the mantle. When you push down on one end of the board floating on the water the other end goes up. etc…..

    • Rud Istvan says:

      More complicated. Rebound where ice was causes some subsidence where ice wasn’t. Simply because the plastic crustal rock volume is roughly constant on these time scales.

  7. AndyG55 says:

    I was talking to an old ex-surf club guy down the beach in Newcastle the other day.

    The guy must have been around 80

    He has lived in the area since birth, and he say that he sees absolutely no sign of any sea level rise.

    Rocks that were exposed at low tide , still get exposed at low tide by the same amount

    Storms still have the same eroding effect, then the beach gets naturally built back up again

    Sea Level rise is a TOTAL NON EVENT !!

  8. scott allen says:

    Just a thought
    I would hope that the sea level would rise other wise my high school geometry class was for nothing.
    The earth is actually shrinking .1 mm in radius per year do to the cooling of the the earths core.
    https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/earth20110816.html
    Due to this shrinkage of the size of the earth the surface of the earth is getting smaller using the formula, surface area = 4 pi r (2) since the land and underlying earth is getting smaller the water level would rise on the surface. This can easily be demonstrated by placing a drop of water on an inflated balloon then slowly let the air out, the drop covers more and more of the remaining surface area.

    • Fromdownunder says:

      However this effect is countered by mass added by asteroids, micrometeriotes and space dust captured by the earths atmosphere.

      So yeah the change in the earths radius has been relatively stable over the last million of years.

      • Scott Allen says:

        While I would agree the earth adds mass with your space dust etc. It would fall fairly equally over the surface of the earth meaning the oceans would get about 70% of the increase mass. In addition, according to NASA the earth is not stable but is shrinking in surface area about 1.2 mm per year (per the formula for surface area of a sphere and NASA calculation of the shrinking of the radius of the earth), which is about the long term rise in ocean levels, since the 1770.

  9. Ed Bo says:

    Fifty years ago while visiting the Outer Banks of North Carolina, at a history museum there, I saw an exhibit that showed that the islands have drifted so much since colonial days that there is no overlap between where they are now and where they were then.

    The completely natural tendency of these barrier islands to react both horizontally and vertically makes fools of those – whether climate scientists or developers – who assume they are static entities.

    • RAH says:

      There are other factors also. For example much of the land bordering the Chesapeake isn’t just subsiding from the last great glaciation. It is also been claimed that the impact crater from 35 million years ago is a factor in the relatively quicker rate that part of the east coast is subsiding.

  10. Ken Allen says:

    How is it possible for isostatic rebound to cause beaches to sink?

    • tonyheller says:

      Due to conservation of mass.

      • Ken Allen says:

        But, sea levels were far lower (100s of feet lower) so today’s beaches were considerable distances (many miles?) inland of the ice-age beaches. The ice cover would have been very thick over the present day beaches. Seems that isostatic rebound would pertain over our present day beach line.

    • Colorado Wellington says:

      Ken, the east coast beaches were outside the ice margin during the last glaciation. The land inside the boundary was depressed by the weight of the ice sheet and is still rising. The land outside was elevated and is now sinking.

      Think a fat guy on a little pool float with the edges out of the water. When he gets off, the center will rebound and the edges sink.

      • stpaulchuck says:

        hey, that was a pretty neat simile! I’ll have to remember it.

      • RAH says:

        Heh! before I got down this far I was comparing it to a board or plank on the water. Either way that’s the principle. The mantle is the water and the life raft the crust/land.

        • Colorado Wellington says:

          The same principle but yours would be unstable because of high center of gravity. Most of my guy’s mass is in his gut. He would capsize on your stiff plank. Like Guam or something

          OMG, could the beaches suddenly capsize instead of sinking? We need Hank and House Armed Services to look into this security threat!

  11. Oliver K. Manuel says:

    Loss of sanity (contact with reality) and loss of respect for the “inalienable rights of individuals” were two of the greatest social costs from the decision by UN agencies like the IPCC to hide key information from the public after the end of WWII:

    1. International Education & Research Journal 2, (8) 43-55 (2016):
    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/NeutronRepulsionb.pdf

    2. International Journal of Advanced Research 4 (8) 1633-1638 (2016):
    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Dawning_of_Truth.pdf

  12. Richard Cornell says:

    It has gone up 1 foot in the last 100 years just ask the US Navy.

  13. Richard Cornell says:

    It is nice that religious people have finely recognize that there was an ice age.

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