Expert Forecasting

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center predicted a warm January for the US.  Instead it was the 16th coldest January on record, with snow in all 53 states, including Mexico, Greenland and Canada,

Climate Prediction Center – OFFICIAL 30-Day Forecasts

Heavy snow fell at the Gulf of America coast.

Historic snow falls in Florida, New Orleans with freezing conditions expected for days across South | CNN

According to Grok, models have no skill forecasting ten days out, but are reasonably accurate on a century time frame.