Summer is getting shorter at both ends in Fort Collins. The last spring snow is occurring later, and the first autumn snow is occurring earlier.
So I used my best climate science linear extrapolation, and determined that on July 17, 2800 – there will be no more summer in Fort Collins. Also interesting to note that on June 25, 1992 it snowed – due to cooling from volcanic dust after the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo.
Very interesting. If not sarcastic. So, what if Yellow stone erupts?
If Yellowstone erupts, not only will it be the Ice Age again, it will be the Dark Ages as well — at least for a while!
🙂
Too far out. To save their collective ass, the warmists’ hockey sticks will be flipped to show unprecedented cooling and we only have 15 years to save the planet. Send money NOW.
Channel Al Gore and declare that the “Ice Age BEGAN On 4 July 2880 at 3 PM Eastern Daylight Saving Time Because George Bush Stole My Presidency and Drove Pick-up Trucks!”
Past tense, as in done deal, unavoidable–unless the REAL and future president is restored to his throne…
Al Gore say that we have already passed the Tipper point.
So I can use the lay away plan on my new parka then?
Oh wait… Socialized medicine has taken all the greed out of medical research. So now there’s not even a chance now that any of us will be a live then so….
Why not? Going off-topic: you can store your parka in the pawn shop (shades of “Time Enough for Love”)
Of course, Donald Hamilton’s Matt Helm was a bit of a sociopath and had little use for “progressives:’ in fact fought the ugly step-sisters of Nazism and Communism-with go old true blue Americans thrown in for good measure!
http://matthelmbooks.com/intro.html
Titan Books is reprinting the 27 book series.
I wonder if Al Gore will be reprinted in 40 more years, a half century after An Inconvenient Truth hit theaters in 2006? Or will there be reprints of this blog?
The Communist Manifesto is still going strong after 166 years. Mein Kampf will be 91 years old when the copyright expires in 2 years and it’s still in strong demand. Mussolini’s My Rise is nearly that old and still published. Chairman Mao’s works are all the rage at American universities.
Why not Gore?
Gore will be reprinted — but only as excerpts used in psychopathology studies.
“Time Enough for Love” <— Great book! I actually met Robert Heinlein once….
“Time Enough for Love” was a super book. You should have seen my face when I caught my Mom reading it my Freshman year of College. She had plucked it off my book shelf.
My favorite is “Farnham”s Freehold”.
Nice. I <3 R. A. H. I like Stranger in a Strange Land and The Moon is a Harsh Mistress a lot. Time Enough for Love is pretty darned good, too.
I have all of Heinlein’s books, and all of Azimov’s and …..
What can I say, we have 25 book cases and that does not include the boxes or the fact the books are two or three deep per shelf.
I have read almost all of Heinlein’s books, but not quite all. But I have read all of Herbert, Clarke and Asimov’s. Sadly, I do not have them all as several moves managed to get them “taken” by others.
You know I’ve never met a Warmunist that like Heinlein…not saying they can’t exist, it’s just something I don’t think their pea-sized sheeple brains can handle without exploding.
@ mjc Heinlein always stressed that The Real World respects strength and reason. On the other hand, those of little brain (warmists and “Progressives”) revere victimhood and feelings.
Extrapolations can be fun, here’s one I did on sea level some time ago
http://oi48.tinypic.com/2saytc4.jpg
Oh, now that’s interesting..
I saw a Chinese (iirc) record that seemed to indicate a cyclical sea level.
If that cycle was real and reasonably regular, then it was going to ‘top-out’ at around 2030-2040.
Now look at your extrapolation. !! (with error margin)
Coincidence is … whatever ! :-).
I am saying, however, that your prediction for 2080-2100 is probably not correct 🙂
Just correlate it to something nasty humans do, like live, and watch the grant money roll in. You could even have you own UN Intergovernmental Panel on Seas Levels to keep the money rolling in, while you dictate how people live.
Here’s a few ideas about correlations –
http://www.tylervigen.com/
Sorry not UN Intergovernmental Panel on Seas Levels , but
UN Intergovernmental Panel In Seas Studies (UN-iPISS)
You sure it’s not the UN Earth Environmental Development, Totally Objectve, Panel in Sea Studies (UNEEDtoPiSS)?
🙂
Aren’t you worried about your great-great-great-great-great……………..great-great grandchildren?
Yes, and I am confident that all of them will know what snow is.
It is Logarithmic, duh! You got to 2028. I hope they love their skiing. 😉
http://sciencespeak.com/climate-nd-solar.html
Dr Evan’s prediction….
I read the series over at Joanne Nova’s site. The beauty of his work (beyond the fact that all his work is available for inspection) is the short time frame. We will know in 3 years.
Science as it should be done. Hope Icelandic volcanoes don’t screw up the experiment although some correlation studies say added seismic action is to be expected during Grand Solar Minimums.
Possible correlation between solar and volcanic activity in a long-term scale Author: St?eštik, J.
Add 100 pages of meaningless scientific jargon and you’ve got yourself a Nobel Prize.
Snow has fallen in Alberta and in Montana, lest we think it is only happening in the USA…
H/t Tto IceAgeNow who reports the weather the MSM never does.
I took your data and plugged it into my Algore-ithm that uses the runaway forward feedback of snowfall and albedo. It turns out that the next Ice Age could begin as soon as the next 5 to 7 years, with a final tipping point just far enough in advance to give me time to warn the world and collect a pile of money to avert global catastrophe.
Lowell Ponte, in his 1970s book, “The Cooling,” said that seven consecutive years of above-normal snowfall would lead to an Ice Age.
September, October, November Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover
1984 to 2014
http://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/image_thumb87.png?w=679&h=352
December, January February, Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover
1984 to 2014
http://suyts.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/image_thumb88.png
Could be an interesting winter.
Bardarbunga volcano may be waking up.
“Satellite monitoring shows that the caldera has dropped 20 meters (65 feet) since the eruption started” – Dr John Stevenson of the University of Edinburgh
Iceland Eruption a Major Worry – Caldera Sinks About 20 Meters has some really great pictures including a pic of a ‘Volcano Tornado’ – a 3,300ft column of gas swirling above Bardarbunga.
In the last 48 hours the Iceland MET office shows major seismic activity. Earthquakes of 5.4, 5.2, ~4.8 and another four over 4 on the richter scale. The rest of Iceland seems quiet.
EARTHQUAKE MAP
The winter snow didn’t melt
GOOGLE translate
It is not necessarily the cold that is the worry, it is the very snowy winters when the snow that does not melt in the summer.
Yep, from what I read that is how the glacial periods begin. It’s not so much abnormal accumulation but the lack of melt.
rah, about that ‘abnormal accumulation’….
Evidence of new, present-day glaciation in Scotland
Almost 300 “snow patches” remain in Highland mountains.
Readers are saying that is just the “official count”
HMMMmmmm
Heavy snowfall in the Alps this week
If this is not ‘Unusual’ why have excursions and tours been scheduled that now have to be canceled?
P. Gosselin on notrickzone.com. answers that question:
11 July 2014 – “Although summertime snowfall high up in the Alps is not an unusual occurrence, snowfall down to 6000 feet elevation IN JULY is something that wasn’t supposed to happen nowadays,”
Update on Bardarbunga volcano.
The caldera in Bardarbunga volcano could subside by hundreds of meters, say two of Iceland´s top geophysicists… (good diagrams)
That would be filed under a tin foil hat except it is coming from Ríkisútvarpið RUV – The Icelandic National Broadcasting Service
Tony, Tony, Tony! You do not know how to play the game! Change 2800 to 2080, make a few more scary stories up, then wait for the funding to come rolling in. I want in on that funding btw. So your data needs a little more adjusting, just because you can do it, so adjust away.
Scary headlines:
‘If We Do Not Stop What We Are Doing, We Will All Freeze To Death No Later Than 2080’
‘New Ice Age Approaches!!!’
‘Chicago Will Be Covered With Ice Within Eighty Years’ (Not that that might not be a good thing, just don’t tell them that)
Etc., etc., etc.
Glad to help.
Old School explanations of climate cycles featured a gradual slide into ice ages and a gradual warming period when glaciers retreated. New scientific thought is climate changes are abrupt and happen rapidly.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/abrupt/index.html
Instead of centuries, the current thought is natural climate change occurred within the space of two decades. Natural as in “pre-Industrial Revolution” times.
“There is no consensus regarding the time when the Little Ice Age began,[10][11] although a series of events preceding the known climatic minima has often been referenced. In the thirteenth century, pack ice began advancing southwards in the North Atlantic, as did glaciers in Greenland. Anecdotal evidence suggests expanding glaciers almost worldwide. Based on radiocarbon dating of roughly 150 samples of dead plant material with roots intact, collected from beneath ice caps on Baffin Island and Iceland, Miller et al. (2012)[12] state that cold summers and ice growth began abruptly between AD 1275 and 1300, followed by “a substantial intensification” from 1430 to 1455.[13] In contrast, a climate reconstruction based on glacial length[14][15] shows no great variation from 1600 to 1850, though it shows strong retreat thereafter. For this reason, any of several dates ranging over 400 years may indicate the beginning of the Little Ice Age:
##1250 for when Atlantic pack ice began to grow
##1275 to 1300 based on radiocarbon dating of plants killed by glaciation
##1300 for when warm summers stopped being dependable in Northern Europe
##1315 for the rains and Great Famine of 1315–1317
##1550 for theorized beginning of worldwide glacial expansion
##1650 for the first climatic minimum.
The Little Ice Age ended in the latter half of the nineteenth century or early in the twentieth century.” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age
Based on solar activity (the Global Warming mob doesn’t “believe in” solar activity affecting Earth’s global climate–remember?) some scientists are predicting another Little Ice Age:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2541599/Is-mini-ice-age-way-Scientists-warn-Sun-gone-sleep-say-cause-temperatures-plunge.html
I wonder how long it will take MiniTrue to plunge histories of the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age down the memory hole? MiniTrue tries hard. Too many real scientists haven’t been brought under Party discipline yet, and there’s that naughty Internet–“Steve Goddard” take heed that when the Party and Big Brother triumph, there will be no hiding!
2+2=5
I don’t know when that thought hit them, but anyone looking at the cycles in the previous ice ages, the temps don’t slide down nicely. It’s more like falling off a cliff. You get a little blip of warming at the end, and then the bottom falls out. It’s nearly a straight line downward.
Two or three humps of warming (aka Thermal Pluses) and then the cliff.
Dr. Alley found the Wisconsin Ice Age transitioned in to the Holocene in three years… YIKES!
And I didn’t have to read or be convinced of that anywhere. It was fairly plain from the record. I reached the same conclusion independently
Wonder why N. America is getting cold?
That relatively unmix Ozone is sat right over N. America, radiating the heat away to space from the troposphere.
see –
https://i0.wp.com/exp-studies.tor.ec.gc.ca/ozone/images/graphs/o3_allmaps_dev/current.gif
and
https://i0.wp.com/exp-studies.tor.ec.gc.ca/ozone/images/graphs/gl_dev/current.gif
From
http://exp-studies.tor.ec.gc.ca/cgi-bin/clf2/selectMap?lang=e&clf=2&printerversion=false&printfullpage=false&accessible=off&type1=de&day1=10&month1=09&year1=1980&howmany1=1&interval1=1&intervalunit1=d&hem1=g&type2=no&day2=10&month2=09&year2=2014&howmany2=1&interval2=1&intervalunit2=d&hem2=n&mapsize=100