Update On The Romm-Dessler Permanent Texas Drought

ScreenHunter_537 May. 25 11.05

NWS: Saturday is second-wettest day in city’s history – San Antonio Express-News

This is just what Dessler predicted two years ago.

As you sit by the pool and sweat this summer, one book you should be reading is The Impact of Global Warming on Texas (University of Texas Press, June 2011, second edition). This book, written by a group of Texas academics, is a sober analysis of our state’s vulnerability to climate change — and the things we can do about it.

It is a particularly appropriate read as we suffer through the hellish summer of 2011. While it is unknown exactly how much human activities are contributing to this summer’s unpleasant weather, one lesson from the book is clear: Get used to it. The weather of the 21st century will be very much like the hot and dry weather of 2011.

http://www.chron.com/

h/t to Marc Morano

About Tony Heller

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17 Responses to Update On The Romm-Dessler Permanent Texas Drought

  1. Robert Austin says:

    I think most of us have heard the joke:

    “How do you know if a politician is lying?
    “His/her lips are moving.”

    The tragedy of scientists like Dessler licensed by their community to make rash public statements such as in this example is that the credibility of scientists may free fall the level of politician’s credibility. It is ironic that the only people holding them accountable are members of the amateur blogging community.

    • Nick says:

      How exactly is crowing over a downpour on one May day holding Dessler ‘accountable’ for a projection for the 21st century? Are you going to check in every day and tell us which one Andy wins or loses?

      • Olaf Koenders says:

        Well Nick, you’re absolutely right there. However, there’s a reason Texas has been covered in cacti for thousands of years.

      • Bill says:

        It’s just sarcasm Nick. Weather is not climate and we know that. But when the alarmists use every weather event as an excuse to make shit up about our imminent demise, it makes us angry. It makes me angry because I am a very careful scientist and I go out of my way to make sure my data are analyzed fairly and properly and that I don’t make unfounded claims. Then over the last 20 years there has been a concerted effort to silence and belittle anyone who dares ask questions. If we find over the next 10-15 years that this alarmism was indeed totally unwarranted, then I will spend the last 30 years of my life writing articles and editorials and rubbing it in to the climate morons and their pinheaded acolytes in the media and the green movement. I have had to listen to this crap nonstop for way, way too long.

    • It is not uncommon for scientists to strongly advocate for their theories. In the case of AGW, however, the scientific societies, the media, and the public, have to some extent switched off their critical & skeptical faculties.

  2. Lou says:

    It was nice to get good soaking rain in central Texas at my house… So far, so good. Still need more to fill up lakes.

  3. Dave says:

    Reality doesn’t matter to alarmists. Flooding rains are proof of extreme weather, which is proof of climate change.

  4. tckev says:

    Oddly today is the day when back in 1982 Dallas/Ft. Worth, TX reported flooding from 2 inches of rain.
    The rain brought the month total to over 13 inches, which made it the wettest May on record.

  5. handjive says:

    “A few years ago, talking about weather and climate change in the same breath was a cardinal sin for scientists.
    Now it has become impossible to have a conversation about the weather without discussing wider climate trends, according to researchers who prepared the Australian Climate Commission’s latest report.”

    Don’t forget, weather is NOW climate.

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/climate-change-a-key-factor-in-extreme-weather-experts-say-20130303-2fefv.html

  6. Jean-Paul says:

    Hello Steven,
    have you read this important article by Professor Myles Allen in The Daily Mail? http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2331057/Why-I-think-wasting-billions-global-warming-British-climate-scientist.html
    The myth is exploded in pieces, probably by order of an important member of one the most stupidly “green governments” crawling on planet Earth.

  7. Robertv says:

    The desert is getting greener.
    German geologist Stefan Kröpelin

    Miracle in the Sahara: Oasis Sediments Archive Dramatic History
    http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/new-sahara-research-the-lakes-of-ounianga-a-900518-2.html

  8. Joseph Bastardi says:

    Stunning ignorance as to what drives Texas wet/dry periods. PDO directly linked, and cooling PDO decreases warm ensos ( which the AGW ilk completely blew, saying it would become more or less a permanent occurrence ) which were responsible for uptick in rain during warming years of the warm PDO ( globally too). Its the opposite. Globe cools when PDO shifts, Texas gets dry and US first gets warmer. The 1950s are a text book lesson and anyone calling themselves a climatologist should look at this, and perhaps fall in love with the weather, rather than grants and agendas , to understand how this works

    And by the way, local events like this and tropical cyclones did occur in the 1950s but by and large the idea of the coming decades being drier than normal in Texas was forecasted many years ago as part OF BASIC CLIMATE CYCLE THEORY. He is blowing smoke, forecasting what should happen based on nature and then assigning his agenda as the cause.

  9. John B., M.D. says:

    National Park Service budgets-

    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY_2014_greenbook.pdf
    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY13_NPS_Greenbook.pdf
    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY_2012_greenbook.pdf
    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY_2011_greenbook.pdf
    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY_2010_greenbook.pdf
    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY_2008_greenbook.pdf
    http://www.nps.gov/aboutus/upload/FY_2006_greenbook.pdf

    I see steady increases. See page Overview-1 and Overview-2 in most of the links.
    FY 2012 actual $3,012,826,000
    FY 2013 budget request $2,986,130,000
    FY 2013 (before sequester) $3,428,834 ,000 (not sure why it grew so much compared to the budget; I cannot find actual expenses, but it does look like budget “cuts” were reall just a reduction in the rate of growth)
    FY 2014 budget request $3,115,353,000

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