Real Climate Science

Climate experts believe that time began in  1979, because earlier years have been determined to be highly toxic to funding.

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Google started out with a good, fast, sleek product, and gradually turned it into a slow, complex resource hog.

Google has become Microsoft.

The Danish Meteorological Institute shows a 63% increase in Arctic sea ice extent since the same date in 2012, and an increase of 76% since the 2012 summer minimum. Current extent is 4.4 million km², up from 2.7 million km² on August 28, 2012.

Sea ice extent in recent years (in million km2) for the northern hemisphere, as a  function of date.

COI | Centre for Ocean and Ice | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

My methodology is similar numerically to DMI’s, I used maps from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency to generate the map below. Green shows ice gain since the same date in 2012, and red shows ice loss. My calculation shows a 64% increase in ice, almost identical to the calculations from DMI.

A favorite comment from alarmists is “the increase in ice extent is meaningless, because the ice is getting thinner”

They have it exactly backwards. The reason why ice extent is up, is because the ice is thicker. The animation below, based on maps from NSIDC, shows the movement of older, thicker ice into the western Arctic over the past two years. The color scale represents the age of the ice – i.e. five year old ice is red. You can see how older, thicker ice is moving towards Alaska, and accumulating. The amount of five year old ice has more than doubled over the past two years.

Starting in 1988, winter winds began pushing older, thicker ice out into the North Atlantic. This went on until a few years ago, and caused the lower summer minimums seen over the past 15 years. Younger, thinner ice melts out more easily in the summer.

But since 2011, the winter winds have reversed. Ice is now getting pushed away from the Atlantic side, and is accumulating on the Pacific side – where it is preserved. If this wind pattern continues for a few more years, summer ice extent will soon return to the levels seen in the 1980’s.

A few years ago, experts claimed that all of the older thicker ice had disappeared. As usual, they had absolutely no clue what they were talking about.

(Reuters) – The multiyear ice covering the Arctic Ocean has effectively vanished, a startling development that will make it easier to open up polar shipping routes, an Arctic expert said on Thursday.

Vast sheets of impenetrable multiyear ice, which can reach up to 80 meters (260 feet) thick, have for centuries blocked the path of ships seeking a quick short cut through the fabled Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific. They also ruled out the idea of sailing across the top of the world.

But David Barber, Canada’s Research Chair in Arctic System Science at the University of Manitoba, said the ice was melting at an extraordinarily fast rate.

“We are almost out of multiyear sea ice in the northern hemisphere,” he said in a presentation in Parliament. The little that remains is jammed up against Canada’s Arctic archipelago, far from potential shipping routes.

Scientists link higher Arctic temperatures and melting sea ice to the greenhouse gas emissions blamed for global warming.

Multiyear Arctic ice is effectively gone: expert | Reuters

The ice loss was caused by winter winds pushing the thicker ice out into the North Atlantic. Unless “scientists” can link “greenhouse gas emissions” to the direction of Arctic winter winds, they probably shouldn’t lie about the state of their knowledge.

Alarmists have sunk so low, that the best talking point they can come up with is :

There is no way that 97% of scientists would say global warming is an imminent threat, if it weren’t true.

It is difficult to imagine that any human being could pack so much stupid into one sentence, yet that is the standard talking point of Congressional Democrats.

2001 : World Trade Center attacked  – Americans beg for more surveillance and less freedom.  Patriot Act passed a few weeks later.

2013 : Snowden makes people aware that they are being spied on by their own government. Americans demand less surveillance.

2014 : “ISIS” suddenly appears – Americans beg for more surveillance

Nothing to see here. Move along.

NAVAJO MESSAGE TO THE MOON When NASA was preparing for the Apollo Project, it took the astronauts to a Navajo reservation in Arizona for training.

One day, a Navajo elder and his son came across the space crew walking among the rocks.
The elder, who spoke only Navajo, asked a question.

His son translated for the NASA people:
“What are these guys in the big suits doing?”
One of the astronauts said that they were practicing for a trip to the moon.
When his son relayed this comment the Navajo elder got all excited and asked if it would be possible to give to the astronauts a message to deliver to the moon.
Recognizing a promotional opportunity when he saw one, a NASA official accompanying the astronauts said, “Why certainly!” He then told an underling to get a tape recorder.

The Navajo elder’s comments into the microphone were brief. The NASA official asked the son if he would translate what his father had said.

The son listened to the recording and laughed uproariously. But he refused to translate.

So the NASA people took the tape to a nearby Navajo village and played it for other members of the tribe.
They too laughed long and loudly, but refused to translate the elder’s message to the moon.
An official government translator was summoned. After he finally stopped laughing, the translator relayed the message:
“WATCH OUT FOR THESE ASSHOLES. THEY HAVE COME TO STEAL YOUR LAND.”

h/t to Dave G

I take the dogs for an hour long walk every night, and get to enjoy this

[youtube=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHInAYuzBSM]

I almost never see any other people on the trails, but I do see lots of TV lights flickering in the windows of houses.

“Listen lady, if I saw a TV out here I’d get out my cannon and shoot it like I would a mad dog, right in the eye. . . . What’s the principle of the TV, madam? The vacuum tube, madam. And do you know what happens if you stick your head in a vacuum tube? I’ll tell you: you get your brains sucked out.”

Edward Abbey, “Desert Solitaire”

h/t to Andy Oz

When we lived in Mountain View in the late 1990’s, my wife used to hang out with Russians in Rengstorf Park during the day. They told her that the US was wonderful – they didn’t have to work, and were able to live like kings from their government paycheck.

Obama science czar John Holdren says US forest fires doubled this decade, when in fact they did the exact opposite. They have declined by more than 50%

This summer has been very wet in most of the west, and there are no large fires burning outside of California, Oregon and Idaho.  The number of fires is the lowest in three decades, and has plummeted since 2006. (This number will increase a little over the next two months.)

National Interagency Fire Center

Except for California and Oregon, this has been a wet summer.

http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/90dPNormUS.png

Burn acreage this year has been less than half of the decadal average, and is the lowest in a decade.

 National Interagency Fire Center