Real Climate Science

Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts

Richard Feynman

Tamino has acknowledged that my graphs are accurate, but says the data has to be tampered with because of changes in average station latitude. He also says we need to trust the experts.

USA Temperature: can I sucker you? | Open Mind

Rather than trusting the experts, let’s actually look to see if Tamino’s theories are correct. If we look at only the set of stations which were active in both 1918 and 2017, we see a nearly identical trend.

The average latitude of this set of 720 stations, has moved slightly closer to the equator, so it should produce an artificial warming trend and works against his theory. The average latitude changes, because not every station reports every day.

The percent of hot days at this stable set of stations has also declined.

Tamino also complains that I should include warming which occurred before the last 100 years, even though it had nothing to do with CO2. That theory doesn’t hold up either, because summer afternoon temperatures have declined since the start of records in 1895.

A few years ago, Tamino made a blog post saying that I was lying about increasing winter snow cover. He continues to bat 0.000, but his readers continue to believe his BS.

Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab

Tamino is making progress however, admitting that my graphs are accurate representations of the data.  Data tampering by NOAA is junk science.

Let’s see if Tamino posts my response.

Ten years ago this week, I wrote an article in The Register titled “Arctic ice refuses to melt as ordered.

Arctic ice refuses to melt as ordered • The Register

All of the world’s leading experts were predicting the North Pole or the entire Arctic would be ice-free between 2008 and 2018.

Serreze and Borenstein in 2008, ice-free North Pole.

28 Jun 2008, Page 8 – Southern Illinoisan

Hansen and Borenstein in 2008, ice-free Arctic.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

National Geographic has recently deleted this gem.

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

Ice-free Arctic in 2008.

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

Mark Serreze said the Arctic is screaming.

Star-News – Google News Archive Search

Ten years later, Serreze, Borenstein, Flannery and the New York Times are still pimping the exact same BS, and wondering why nobody is listening to them.

Will we see an ice-free North Pole in 2018?

On the phone with Serreze, the veteran journalist Seth Borenstein lamented, “How many times can a journalist report on what is happening in the Arctic before it becomes so repetitive that people lose interest?”

The Big Melt | by Tim Flannery | The New York Review of Books

The area of the Arctic covered with thick sea ice has expanded vastly since I wrote my article ten years ago, and sea ice volume is fourth highest for the date since 2003.

2008        2018

Spreadsheet    Data

I was correct ten years ago, and all the experts were wrong. So Google and YouTube accuse me of spreading misinformation, while they promote the people who spread the same nonsense year after year after year.

But that is what fake news is all about.

Ages-Old Icecap at North Pole Is Now Liquid, Scientists Find – The New York Times

Japan is a small country with a very high population density, dominated by large cities like Tokyo.

Most of the GHCN stations there are urban, and show a strong summer warming trend since the 1950’s.

There was a large jump in summer temperatures at the very hot summer of 1994.

I did some analysis of this trend, and noticed that stations away from Tokyo tend to show little of no summer warming since 1994, but stations in and near Tokyo show a lot of warming.

Away from Tokyo, cooling or little warming.

Tokyo – warming.

It looks to me like all of the summer warming in Japan since at least 1994 is due to urban heat island effects – as the population grows, the number of cars grow, the use of air conditioning grows, the amount of asphalt grows, etc.  This is quite likely the same problem with many other countries.

The only large temperature record I trust is the US, and that one is massively tampered with to comply with the global warming scam.

Raw NOAA Data      Adjusted NOAA Data

NSIDC shows almost no change in Arctic sea ice extent since yesterday.

Index of /DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2018/08_Aug/

My current projection for an ice-free Arctic is October 24, at 1:02 PM.

Spreadsheet    Data

I’ve been looking at Japanese thermometers on Google Earth, and the vast majority of them are located in catastrophically bad locations on or near asphalt in the middle of large urban areas. One exception is at Miyako, about 300 miles north of Tokyo.  They show very little if any summer warming.

Compare vs. Kyoto, where the station is located in the middle of an urban jungle, and temperatures are warming.

The average afternoon summer temperature in France is about the same as 100 years ago, as is the frequency of hot days. This summer has been unusual not because of the number of hot days, but rather a lack of cool days. Very similar to the situation in the US.

The number of stations has increased quite a bit, and the average latitude has moved towards the equator by more than two degrees, which probably accounts for the entire warming trend since 1955.  This is the sort of garbage in the GHCN record which makes the global temperature record meaningless.

Important reminder that the press operates independently, does not have an agenda, and don’t pack their pages full of fake news, propaganda, and lies.

August 12, 1936 was the hottest day on record in Texas and Oklahoma. at 120 degrees.  It was 119 in Kansas that day, and 111 in Nebraska and Missouri.  Oklahoma hit 120 degrees on four days that summer.

On this date in 1944, almost the entire US was over 90 degrees, with 100 degree temperatures from Washington state to Maine.

There was also a big heatwave in the central plains on this date in 1913 – the year California set the world’s record temperature of 134 degrees..

August 12th afternoon temperatures have plummeted in the US over the past century, as has the frequency of hot days.

Sea surface temperatures south of 20S are running well below normal.

anomnight.8.9.2018.gif (1174×640)

And cold air from Antarctica is spilling across most of Australia.

Climate Reanalyzer

But never mind the cold.  Experts say Australia “could” get really hot.

Sydney and Melbourne could face 50C days ‘within decades’ – BBC News

If we keep pumping CO2 into the atmosphere, Australia might even get as hot as it was when CO2 was below 300 PPM.

TimesMachine: August 18, 1896