Real Climate Science

Arctic sea ice volume is highest in the last eleven years and fifth highest in the last fifteen years.

The thirty day melt rate is the second lowest on record, down 50% from ten years ago. It would take more than one year of continuous summer to melt all the ice at the current rate.

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icethickness/txt/IceVol.txt

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Tough times for the official religion of the Democrats and their prophets.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present — and is gravely to be regarded.

Yet, in holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite.

• President Eisenhower   January 17, 1961

Pierre Gosselin wrote a piece about climate scientists who want to control policy, while not being accountable to policy makers. Gavin Schmidt wants to use his junk science to control policy, and says questions from policy makers are “tiresome.”

Shocking Twitter Display Of Contempt And Hubris By Stefan Rahmstorf, NASA’s Gavin Schmidt

His predecessor, James Hansen, devoted his entire career to controlling policy through junk science and data tampering.

Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate – The New York Times

When data didn’t match his theory, Hansen simply changed the data.

NASA 1999   NASA 2016

Gavin tries make it sound like Katharine Hayhoe is a bystander, when in fact – like Hansen – she has devoted her career to controlling policy with her wildly fraudulent junk science.

Microsoft Word – KH_MW_climate_change_report.docx

The Midwest is having fewer hot days.

The Midwest is having more cold nights.

Ice melt was latest on record this year.

kare11.com | Still waiting for Lake Minnetonka ice out

And then there is Gavin himself, who is a climate modeler and also generates the fake data he checks the models against.

Of course he doesn’t want people policing his fake data. Because it is fake.

Note that after 1998, the observations are likely to be below the simulated values, indicating that the simulation as a whole are predicting too much warming.

Climate Analysis | Remote Sensing Systems

People like Gavin Schmidt and Katharine Hayhoe are exactly what President Eisenhower warned us about.  Funding for their scams needs to be purged and policy needs to be controlled by policy makers who represent citizens – not snake oil saleswomen pretending to be scientists.

According to the Danish Meteorological Institute, Arctic sea ice volume is highest for the past eleven years and above the fifteen year mean since the start of DMI records in 2003.

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icethickness/txt/IceVol.txt    Spreadsheet

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But fear not climate alarmists.  Your #1 prophet says the Arctic will be ice-free in a few weeks. He only needs to melt 22.8 trillion cubic meters of ice, with temperatures far below normal, and far below the freezing point.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Here is what Arctic sea ice volume has done since the day Hansen made that prophecy – “echoing work by other scientists.”

The North Pole normally starts melting this week for 70 days, but looks like melt will be delayed again this year due to below freezing temperatures.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

And with Reggie’s current legal problems, he probably won’t be able to help out with his blowtorch.

Government climate fraudsters say near-zero sea level rise at Alameda, California is a huge threat.

Sea level is lower there now than it was in the 1930’s.

Sea Level Trends – NOAA Tides & Currents

Not to be outdone, Jerry Brown has made it a crime to stay clean in California.

It’s Now Against The Law In California To Shower And Do Laundry On The Same Day | Zero Hedge

California has plenty of water, but they use almost two-thirds of it to protect Snail Darters and similar critters. Cities use less than 10% of the water.

Water Use in California – Public Policy Institute of California

Why any sane person votes for Democrats is beyond my comprehension. However the same could be said about many Congressional Republicans.

Normally when talking about the hot 1930’s, 1933 gets ignored – but the summer of 1933 also brought some incredibly hot weather. On June 5, 1933, McCook, Nebraska was 112 degrees.  June 1933 was much hotter in Nebraska than the US record hot year of 1934.

We are now used to a pattern where hot weather is confined to the desert southwest, but 80 years ago hot weather was very common across much of the country east of the Rocky Mountains.

During 1936, almost 80% of USHCN stations reached 100 degrees. Since then the coverage and frequency of hot weather has plummeted.

This of course doesn’t stop government climate fraudsters from generating fake graphs in an attempt to influence policy.

U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI): Graph | Extremes | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

The entire point of government climate science is to influence policy. It has nothing to do with science or climate.

For James Hansen, the Science Demands Activism on Climate – Yale E360

Essentially all government temperature graphs are fraudulent, but none more so than the NOAA Climate Extremes Index (CEI) – which shows summer maximum temperatures getting hotter and passing the heat of the 1930’s.

The sum of (a) percentage of the United States with maximum temperatures much below normal and (b) percentage of the United States with maximum temperatures much above normal.

U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI): Graph | Extremes | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

There is no basis for the NOAA claims – summer maximum temperatures have plummeted in the US to record or near record lows. The shape (but not the magnitude) of the CEI graphs is approximately correct prior to 1960, but after 1960 the NOAA data is completely fraudulent and has no basis in reality.

Most government climate fraudsters at least make some attempt at plausible deniability, but not so with NOAA’s climate extremes index. Even some people at the EPA seem to understand that summers in the 1930’s were much hotter.

Climate Change Indicators: High and Low Temperatures | Climate Change Indicators in the United States | US EPA

The two most intense heatwaves in Arizona history occurred in 1896 and 1905

January, 1896 was the hottest month on record in New South Wales.

09 Jan 1896, Page 5 – The Sydney Morning Herald at Newspapers.com

24 Jan 1896, Page 5 – The Sydney Morning Herald at Newspapers.com

TimesMachine: August 18, 1896

Hot in Europe

17 Jul 1896 – HEAT-WAVE IN EUROPE.

A ten day heatwave during August 1896 killed thousands of people in the US, many of them in New York.

1896 Heatwave

Climate science was destroyed by Arrhenius in 1896, and never recovered.

As early as in 1896, Swedish physicist Arrhenius proposed that the presence of atmospheric greenhouse gases may result in warmer surface temperatures on Earth than a simple radiative balance would imply. A comparison between measured surface temperatures and estimated effective temperatures (assuming the planets behave like black bodies and are at radiational equilibrium) of the planets in our solar system has later revealed that planets with thick atmospheres, such as Venus and Earth, have a warmer surface than a simple radiation equilibrium can explain (Houghton 1991). The high surface temperature can be attributed to the greenhouse effect proposed by Arrhenius

40-3-3.14.pdf

If climate scientists were actual scientists, they would want to understand the record heat of 1896. Instead they simply try to make it disappear.

On May 1st I warned : “This summer is shaping up to be a complete disaster for the climate mafia” 

The summer is unfolding exactly as I expected.  The ice is melting very slowly, sea ice volume is normal, and is the highest in five years.  Volume is much higher than ten years ago and about the same as twelve years ago.

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The ice is much thicker than ten years ago across most of the Arctic.

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As with all recent summers, temperatures near the pole are very cold and below normal.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

This is what highly paid Arctic experts were saying ten years ago :

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

North Pole could be ice free in 2008 | New Scientist

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

BBC NEWS | UK | Swimmer aims to kayak to N Pole

This is what I was saying ten years ago :

Arctic ice refuses to melt as ordered • The Register

Climate experts have shown zero skill or integrity, which is why they are so widely acclaimed by the political left, press and Democratic Party – who also have no skill or integrity.  But fear not members of the climate religion – your prophet says the Arctic will be ice-free this summer.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

The rocks may melt, and the sea may burn.

– Tom Petty

Less than a year ago, scientists located another canary in the coal mine. Warm sea surface temperatures west of Africa were “the most powerful evidence climate scientists have of global warming.”

The Most Powerful Evidence Climate Scientists Have of Global Warming | InsideClimate News

Sea surface temperatures west of Africa have plummeted and now are more than 2C below normal.

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Climate science is populated by ignorant hacks with no understanding of science, ethics or reality – which is why Democrats and the press love them so much.