Major hurricanes are very rare in July, but in 1916 the US was hit by two of them within ten days.
By contrast, the US has not been hit by a major hurricane in almost nine years. Climate experts say hurricanes are getting worse.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Ok. If the Warmista were stabbed in the back by an Arctic that just will not death-spiral on demand; the entire non-appearance of <extreme weather caused by naughty Man-Made CO2 is a further slap in their face.
It comes as no surprise the CAGW bedwetters just can’t win. They’re losers, chumps, phonies, second-rate (no, bottom feeding) academics, kooks, charlatans, leeches. Amazing they got this far with this little con of theirs.
The public is slowly, and sluggishly tuning out the Man-Made Global-Warming message. Not much is happening – Arctic doing the Arctic thing, weather doing a mild version of the weather thing, all within historic bounds, CO2 not doing much of anything. Of course not. The added mole fraction is minute. Don’t be ridiculous.
Oh. I stumbled upon this free on-line book some of you may find interesting: http://meteorologytraining.tpub.com/14312/css/14312_11.htm
Trained as a mechanical engineer, I had never been exposed to this topic. I find it fascinating.
I guess it is probably important to agree on what “worse” means in this debate. There have been a lot of hurricanes in the last 9 years that may have been fierce storms whether they hit the coast or not. That they haven’t hit the coast is serendipity until someone comes up with a better explanation. Of all the claims we skeptics can make I think landfall hurricanes is the one we can be least comfortable with. Its not like they’re not happening – they’re just not happening here. If I lived in Floriduh I would still evac asap despite the pause in landfall big blows.
Whether or not the hurricanes track towards the sea or inland is all a part of “Climate” so it is fair game.
Also until recently we could not track all the storms that remained out to sea so there is no ability to compare apples to apples unless you use landfall storms.
Again, I see this pattern of judging what is going on in the world based on what is going on in the US. Hurricanes in the Pacific are called cyclones or typhoons so are we leaving them out of the equations? There have been some wicked typhoons in the Pacific.
The damage left by Hurricane Sandy was one of the worse coastal storms in history, not by it’s category but by the destruction it caused. If you are counting only ‘major’ hurricanes that cause coastal damage, not those that swing out to see, then that’s not the way to indicate how many hurricanes there actually were.
Sure. Just like the 1900 hurricane which destroyed Galveston and killed 10,000 people.
I was in Manhattan a few days ago. Nothing appeared to be destroyed.
Steve you might want to also show Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.s famous graph of hurricane “drought”
GRAPH
3142 days since last cat 3 made landfall shattering the record.
July 31, 2014 Australian Tropical Cyclone activity said to be at the lowest level in modern history
You are going to have to try another strawman.
“High-resolution isotope records of TCs can be preserved within limestone stalagmites. Two records, one from Western Australia [since 500AD] and the other from Queensland [since 1400AD], provide insight into the nature of landfalling TC activity across the Australian continent….
Our CAI for Australia shows that seasonal TC activity is at its lowest level since the year 500AD in Western Australia and 1400AD in Queensland and this decline in activity has been most pronounced since about 1960AD. This reduction in activity reflects the forecasts of TC behaviour for the Australian region from a suite of the most recent global climate models except this decrease appears to be occurring many decades earlier than expected….”
Well, Gail if you look closely at the report it is referring to land fall TCs not total of all TCs which is to be expected since no trace of sea only TCs is ever left for us to examine.
Also, the scientist is referring to two records only: one in Western Australia and one in Queensland. It is not a record of the whole of cyclone activity across the globe.
Now I never stated that I believed there were a greater or fewer number of cyclones or typhoons today than in the past but what you are sending here is too little information to determine a worldwide trend.
pesce9991,
You only get what information is available. Mostly that is landfall records. I am surprised that records of this length of time are available at all!
If you want world wide coverage you get maybe thirty years worth of satellite coverage and given the 60 yr AMO that is only 1/2 a cycle.
Last summer, dp, including the hurricanes at sea that never hit any land, there was a record low number of nearly NONE. Of course, you don’t watch these things closely so you don’t know this.
Last summer isn’t a trend. Not even a short trend.
As a kid, I don’t remember anything but Hurricane XXXX. When did we start naming tropical storms? Seems to me if you name a dozen or so storms that don’t make the 75MPH, to the average person, when Hurricane Zulu arrives, it gives the impression that it’s been a really bad year.
Tropical storms and hurricanes have been named since the 50s. We tend to not remember the tropical storms unless they were rougher than average due to what the hit or if they caused a lot of flooding.
Regarding the US hurricane landfall vs total hurricanes vs total number of cyclones, please refer to these three plots;
http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_running_ace.png
http://policlimate.com/tropical/frequency_12months.png
http://policlimate.com/tropical/global_major_freq.png
Since 1970: Total global cyclone energy at temporal lows, no temporal trend in global number of hurricanes or tropical storms, temporal decrease in total nmbr of hurricanes and major hurricane show no temporal trend. All while atmospheric CO2 levels kept rising… All is within natural variation, directionless temporal trends, and if there is a temporal trend it’s decreasing… All 180 degrees of what models predict and alarmists preach. Nature 7 : Models/alarmist 1… Yes you know which match I mean! 😉