Yet Another Spectacular Hansen Failure

Due to the extreme cold, New York has had no murders for 12 days.

ScreenHunter_7148 Feb. 14 21.32

In 1998, Hansen predicted that parts of Manhattan would be underwater by now, and that crime would shoot up because of the heat..

While doing research 12 or 13 years ago, I met Jim Hansen, the scientist who in 1988 predicted the greenhouse effect before Congress. I went over to the window with him and looked out on Broadway in New York City and said, “If what you’re saying about the greenhouse effect is true, is anything going to look different down there in 20 years?” He looked for a while and was quiet and didn’t say anything for a couple seconds. Then he said, “Well, there will be more traffic.” I, of course, didn’t think he heard the question right. Then he explained, “The West Side Highway [which runs along the Hudson River] will be under water. And there will be tape across the windows across the street because of high winds. And the same birds won’t be there. The trees in the median strip will change.” Then he said, “There will be more police cars.” Why? “Well, you know what happens to crime when the heat goes up.”

When did he say this will happen?

Within 20 or 30 years. And remember we had this conversation in 1988 or 1989.

Does he still believe these things?

Yes, he still believes everything. I talked to him a few months ago and he said he wouldn’t change anything that he said then.

Stormy weather – Salon.com

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24 Responses to Yet Another Spectacular Hansen Failure

  1. omanuel says:

    He was paid well for delivering this message.

  2. GeologyJim says:

    There”s quite a contest to see who will rack up the greatest number of monumentally failed predictions in a lifetime:

    A) James Hansen
    B) Paul Ehrlich
    C) Al Gore

    • g2-9ed9acc685824c6663c51c5b093476cc says:

      Hasn’t Ehrlich been shown to be a colossal failure as a prophet of doom already? I was in HS in the 70s when his books were selling like hot cakes, and it seems to me he was completely wrong about everything with the possible…possible…exception of the punctuation.

  3. Dan W. says:

    D) NASA
    E) All of the above

    Catastrophic climate change is a cult. If these apocalyptic predictions were made on account of man’s moral sin the progressives would first in line destroying the movement. But because the solution is ever greater government control the progressives are first in line embracing it! At some point a “child” will declare the emperor has no clothes and the climate change paradigm will collapse with a swiftness that will amaze the world. When that happens the poor suckers who actually believe “climate change” is about science will be the last to know they were just convenient tools.

    • g2-9ed9acc685824c6663c51c5b093476cc says:

      At the cost of being hooted down with great derision I’m actually more inclined to believe in the moral judgement of God as the cause of any abrupt climate change than the folly of capitalism.

    • Gail Combs says:

      Actually Catastrophic climate change is not a cult but a well thought out propaganda campaign by the UN and the Globalists. If CAGW was just a cult we could laugh at it and move on. Instead it is backed by powerful people world wide and the goal is a world government based on Socialism/Communism. Heck United Nations climate chief Christiana Figueres even came right out and said that democracy is a poor political system for fighting global warming. Communist China, is the best model. dailycaller(DOT)com/2014/01/15/un-climate-chief-communism-is-best-to-fight-global-warming/

      Pascal Lamy was two term Director General of the World Trade Organization ( 2005-2013) and rpior to that he served as chef de cabinet to the President of the European Commission from 1984 – 1994. In 1999, he was appointed European Commissioner for Trade and is a possible for the next President of the European Commission.

      In June of 2011 Lamy stated this:

      Pascal Lamy: Whither Globalization?

      …The challenges posed by globalization are far from simple….

      In the same way, climate change negotiations are not just about the global environment but global economics as well — the way that technology, costs and growth are to be distributed and shared. Can we maintain an open trading system without a more coordinated financial system?

      Can we balance the need for a sustainable planet with the need to provide billions with decent living standards? Can we do that without questioning radically the Western way of life?….

      It is true that popular criticism of globalization can be irrational — or worse. But it is equally true that people are increasingly, and legitimately, worried about unemployment, poverty and growing inequalities, about the health of the planet,

      This raises a final challenge: How to provide global leadership? Mobilizing collective purpose is more difficult when we no longer face one common enemy, but thousands of complex problems….

      The reality is that, so far, we have largely failed to articulate a clear and compelling vision of why a new global order matters — and where the world should be headed. Half a century ago, those who designed the post-war system — the United Nations, the Bretton Woods system, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) — were deeply influenced by the shared lessons of history.

      All had lived through the chaos of the 1930s — when turning inwards led to economic depression, nationalism and war. All, including the defeated powers, agreed that the road to peace lay with building a new international order — and an approach to international relations that questioned the Westphalian, sacrosanct principle of sovereignty — rooted in freedom, openness, prosperity and interdependence….

      In other words as far back as the 1930s, FDR agreed to give up US sovereignty and make the USA a vassal state of a world government. The history of the USA since then is the history of a move from capitalism, national independence, patriotism and unity towards dependence, internal conflict among groups and a culture promoting hatred of the USA.

      For an example see the Department of Defence Document Judicial Watch obtained by FOIA. It labels patriots, “The colonists who sought to free themselves from British rule” people who put their nation’s welfare above that of other nations and people who protest globlization as Extremists. “…“Nowadays, instead of dressing in sheets or publically espousing hate messages, many extremists will talk of individual liberties, states’ rights, and how to make the world a better place.”…” The guide repeatedly tells readers to use the Southern Poverty Law Center as a resource in identifying hate groups. The Southern Poverty Law Center is the group who labeled possible Presidential candidate Ben Carson an extremist.

      D. Extremist Ideologies
      1. Introduction
      • As noted, an ideology is a set of political beliefs about the nature of people and
      society. People who are committed to an ideology seek not only to persuade but to
      recruit others to their belief. In U.S. history, there are many examples of extremist
      ideologies and movements. The colonists who sought to free themselves from British
      rule….

      2. Ideologies
      a. Nationalism – The policy of asserting that the interests of one’s own nation are
      separate from the interests of other nations or the common interest of all nations.
      Many nationalist groups take it a step further and believe that their national culture
      and interests are superior to any other national group.

      b. Supremacy – The belief that one’s race or ethnicity is superior…

      c. Separatism – Setting oneself or others apart based on culture, ethnicity, race, or
      religion…..

      I am sure the United Nations loves this document.

      The EU was the social experiment to see if people/nations could be tricked into giving up their sovereignty. SEE: Was Britain taken into the EU illegally? and Lamy’s Global governance requires localising global issues: …The European construction is the most ambitious experiment in supranational governance ever attempted up to now. It is the story of a desired, delineated and organized interdependence between its Member States.

  4. B says:

    The more I learn about human society the more I realize that honesty and correctness mean just about nothing. It’s all about manipulation and perception. All the facts in the world don’t help. People have their perceptions and that’s what they believe. Global warming should have been discredited by the normal scientific process by now. The hypothesis failed. It should be discredited instead it’s considered “settled science”. Dan W. wrote above that it’s a cult, it is. Other words apply as well. It’s all about the manipulations of people’s perceptions. How often they are wrong is simply irrelevant.

    And this can be said of a lot of things, not just climate change.

    • Rud Istvan says:

      I agree with you on much, including climate. But in the endgame there are limits that even human ingenuity cannot avoid. See ebook Gaia’s Limits for the boring, slogging details.

      • Gail Combs says:

        Increased prosperity is the best limit on population growth. Most Western contries have lower than replacement value – negative- population growth. The only reason the USA has slightly above replacement value is because of the large number of immigrants.

        Overpopulation: The Fallacy Behind The Fallacy Of Global Warming by Dr. Tim Ball

        Overpopulation is another MONSTER UNDER THE BED used to scare the sheele.

        “The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” —- H. L. Mencken

        There Is No Shortage of Stuff – Functionally Unlimited Resources Exist

        The worry is often put forward that we are going to run out of resources. That as population increases we just MUST run out of stuff. In this article I will be presenting a selection of examples of why this is not so. Please remember that this is far from a complete list. I have left out more resources and technologies than I’ve put in the article. These are just a sample sufficient to prove the thesis…

        Unlimiting Resources – Basalt for a High Tech Stone Age

  5. SMS says:

    Hansen can’t be that much of a scientist. Here it’s been 26 years since his prediction and the rate of sea level rise hasn’t changed. How do you get it that wrong? Maybe he should have stuck to his field of study, Astrophysics. He could have been telling us to prepare for more asteroids hitting the Earth because we haven’t stop driving SUV’s.

    • g2-9ed9acc685824c6663c51c5b093476cc says:

      It’s not so much that he was wrong about his conclusions as a scientist – the essence of science is hypothesis, then correcting the hypothesis when it proves inaccurate, after all.

      It’s that he will never admit he was wrong, as the article attests.

      That’s the hallmark of baseless faith, not “science.”

  6. g2-9ed9acc685824c6663c51c5b093476cc says:

    Yet anyone who doesn’t swalliw this **** is a Darwin-damned DENIER!!!!

  7. omanuel says:

    World leaders have obviously worked together behind-the-scenes for the last seventy years, from the time the UN was formed in 1945 until 2015,

    directing tax public funds to scientists willing to manipulate, hide or adjust data and observations that would:

    1. Undercut UN’s Agenda 21:

    http://habitat.igc.org/agenda21/index.htm

    2. Reveal the Higher Power that makes and sustains every atom, life and world in the solar system:

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Solar_Energy_For_Review.pdf

  8. Don says:

    Only 3-4 years to go for that 20-30 year prediction. LOL

  9. Don says:

    The Salon article is from 2001. So to be fair, which is more than they deserve, or offer anyone who dares dispute them; I doubt he still stands by his hubris of 1988-89 in 2015.

  10. jokin says:

    “His initial estimate of the earth’s sensitivity to greenhouse gases was somewhat on the high side, later work showed. But he was among the first scientists to identify the many ways the planet is likely to respond to rising temperatures and to show how those effects would reinforce one another to produce immense changes in the climate and environment, including a sea level rise that could ultimately flood many of the world’s major cities.”

    Yeah, “somewhat on the high side” NY Times…. he “missed it by that much.” (/Snicker, chortle)

  11. _Jim says:

    Crow.

    Hansen should be eating crow.

    Morning, noon and night.
    .

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