It has been a very busy rock naming season!
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Named or not, the rock only has an impact when it comes crashing through your window.
Will Emily have the effect of a Katrina or a Camille? Very much a question of “weather” or not the timing is right no matter what the “climate” of fear may be.
Is her last name ‘Litella’?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kzuDx714foE
Meanwhile, ??????? is buggering cod out in the Pacific to the tune of 35kt. The horror! The horror!
I just read at Accuweather, Oxymoron< that they are having wet dream and going spastic about the possibilities of Emily. She may actually get organized in the near future, then watch because the is a possibility something might happen. By Friday she could be anywhere from the lower gulf to the middle of the Atlantic. I am certainly glad they are getting so much better at projecting future conditions during Hurricane Season.
I found out the systems have to be named to be recognized by FEMA as a potential disaster even if only a blade of grass gets bent out of shape.
Chicken Little is alive and well as is the boy who cried wolf. They are destroying their credibility with all their false alarms.
Despite the Katrina foofurrah, New Orleans suffered disaster due to poorly designed and badly maintained levees. Mississippi and Alabama got whacked and the I-90 coastline will not be as it was for decades, if ever. They were warned and the loss of life was small even though the loss of property was staggering.
Climate warnings are one thing, weather advisories another. The meteorologists are welcome to jump up and down all they want, it is not the same thing, at all. One belittles or ignores their advice at one’s peril.
During one 24 hour period the area where I live was under 50 tornado warnings and the tornado watch was almost for the entire period. many of the warnings overlapped and during that period a tornado touchdown 15 miles past my location moving away. There were others further away but nowhere near 10 let alone 50. At one point they claimed to be tracking 5 separate tornadoes straight towards my house. That is excessive and overboard or what I would call the Bow Who Cried Wolf syndrome because the ones that did touch down were not in the locations where they claimed before hand. I would rather have 2 minutes warning of a real problem than 50 false alarms or even 5 for that matter.
Weren’t there about 240 fatalities in Mississippi from Katrina? That isn’t a small number, far greater than Camille or any other storm since Audrey in 1957.
Their “Future tracking” capabilities leave a lot to be desired and their past record gives people pause about their future warnings. They were wrong about their warnings 4 times before why should they be taken seriously this time syndrome is now coming into play resulting in more deaths.
In 1996 I was in North Carolina when Fran came to visit in 1996 and had a first person view of the aftermath as well as riding it out in a hotel room. Proper warning would not have left me in a hotel room! I was on the lucky side of the hotel.
This is a prime example of how NOAA gets some things right. They are on top of 91L “Emily” to ensure that warnings are appropriate and timely:
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM
THIS MORNING DETERMINED THAT THE DISTURBANCE DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED
SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE AIRCRAFT DID FIND WINDS OF NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE…AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM TO FORM
LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE…90
PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ANOTHER HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE THIS
AFTERNOON. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE TODAY…
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WOULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON VERY SHORT
NOTICE.