Real Climate Science

The BBC is taking climate disinformation to an entirely new level, describing common weather events as catastrophic climate change.

James Cook on Twitter: “Climate change. It’s here. It’s catastrophic

I could write an entire encyclopedia documenting similar weather events from the past. but here a few line items from James Cook’s clueless tweet.

In 1902, fires were burning all over Greece.

05 Sep 1902, Page 7 – The Times at Newspapers.com

In 1972, at the peak of the ice age scare, fires were burning all over Arctic Norway.

06 Jul 1972, Page 24 – Freeport Journal-Standard at Newspapers.com

In 1922, Japan and China had a heatwave over 100 degrees for weeks.

10 Aug 1922, 7 – The Guardian at Newspapers.com

The hottest temperature ever recorded on Earth (134 degrees) occurred this month 105 years ago.

mwr-050-01-0010.pdf

During July 1934, 80% of the US was in extreme or severe drought.

psi-193407.gif (690×488)

Current drought conditions are much less severe, and the drought region of the southwest has been getting lots of rain since this map was made last week.

Current Map

Intellicast – Weekly Precipitation in United States

Imagine the hysteria from James Cook if  he was transported back to 1931. On this date in 1931, forest fires were the headline story in US newspapers.

24 Jul 1931, Page 1 – Delphos Daily Herald at Newspapers.com

Forest fires are down 80% in the US since the 1930’s.

Indicator 3.16: Area and percent of forest affected by abiotic agents

Meanwhile, the worst floods in history were occurring in China, which killed more than three million people.

22 Aug 1931, 1 – Hartford Courant at Newspapers.com

There is no indication that the climate is getting more extreme.  Fake news writers like James Cook take commonplace weather events and declare them to be catastrophic climate change – without doing any historical research or actual journalism.  And their most egregious failing is a refusal to talk to people (like myself) who are familiar with history.

We have seen censorship like this in the past. When only one point of view is allowed to be presented by state news agencies, journalists are nothing more than propagandists. Particularly when their viewpoint is incorrect.

Sue Dean of Longmont says Colorado voters need to take action soon, or global warming will kill us all.

Sue E. Dean: If voters don’t wake up to global warming, it might be too late – Boulder Daily Camera

I’m not sure what she is worried about, because according to big-league climatologists, global warming killed us almost 20 years ago.

The conclusion, conveyed with great authority by several big-league climatologists from government and private research organizations, is terrible: by the year 2000, the atmosphere and weather will grow warmer by several degrees and life – animal, plant, human – will be threatened.

EARTH’S CLIMATIC CRISIS EXAMINED BY ‘NOVA’ – NYTimes.com

And UN officials confirmed this.  Everyone has been dead for 18 years, and entire nations have been wiped off the planet.

A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.

Katherine McKenna says climate deniers are sexists for calling her Climate Barbie.

But it is OK for McKenna to compare anyone who disagrees with her insane ideas to Holocaust deniers.

Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe called Environment Minister Catherine McKenna “arrogant” on Twitter for suggesting politicians who object the Liberal government’s carbon tax are also climate change deniers.

Saskatchewan premier calls McKenna’s climate comments ‘arrogant’ – iPolitics

Arctic sea ice volume loss dropped again yesterday, so I am pushing my ice free-Arctic forecast date out to September 28, 2018 at 11:39 PM. There won’t be any sunlight on that date, but Reggie will be out there with his blowtorch.

Spreadsheet    Data

Note that my forecast is quite conservative compared to our leading climate scientists – who believe the Arctic has been ice-free for the past five years.

“our projection of (an ice-free Arctic in) 2013 is already too conservative.”

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’

On the other hand, with cold weather in the forecast, the Arctic sea ice minimum volume could end up second or first highest in the DMI record.

10-Day Temperature Outlook

Ice volume melt rates have dropped 65% to their lowest level since early June.

Early in life I had noticed that no event is ever correctly reported in a newspaper.

George Orwell

The usual criminals in the press are claiming record breaking heat in the Arctic and in Texas.

The Texas heatwave hasn’t even been in the ballpark of the 1980 heatwave, when the Dallas/Fort Worth area had 51 consecutive days over 100 degrees, averaged 105 degrees, and topped out at 119 degrees on June 26, 1980.

The number of 100 degree days in the Dallas/Fort Worth area has been average for June and July (nine days) so far. The frequency of 100 degree days has declined sharply since the 1950’s, when over 100 degrees was typical.

As far as the Arctic is concerned, temperatures near the North Pole have been consistently blow normal for the past two months.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Arctic sea ice volume is fourth highest in the last 15 years, and is declining very slowly.

Spreadsheet    Data

Hot weather is not uncommon near the Arctic Circle, which receives more solar radiation than any place else on Earth at mid-summer.

30 Apr 1937 – A HOT STORY FROM THE ARCTIC! – Trove

During June and July, the Arctic receives more solar radiation than Texas. The sun never sets there this time of year.

Arctic News: The Threat Of Arctic Albedo Change

Unlike the fake news of 2018, the year 1896 had actual record breaking heat, including one which killed 1,500 people in New York City. Australia’s worst heatwave occurred during January, 1896. Arizona also had their record heatwave that year, with Parker, Az over 120 degrees every day from June 11 to June 17.

09 Jan 1896, Page 5 – The Sydney Morning Herald at Newspapers.com

24 Jan 1896, Page 5 – The Sydney Morning Herald at Newspapers.com

TimesMachine: August 18, 1896

17 Jul 1896 – HEAT-WAVE IN EUROPE.

1896 Heatwave

As far as I can tell, the press lies about essentially everything.

Spreadsheet    Data

Arctic sea ice volume is currently in fourth place behind 2003, 2004 and 2014.  Given the rapid slowdown in melt rates and cold weather forecast, it seems pretty likely 2018 will pass 2003 and 2014, and it is possible could pass 2004 as well.

Arctic sea ice volume loss slowed again yesterday, so I am changing my ice-free Arctic forecast to September 21, at 4:59 pm.

Spreadsheet    Data

Another theory by the New York Times is that the Arctic has been ice-free since 1989.

Expert Says Arctic Ocean Will Soon Be an Open Sea – Catastrophic Shifts in Climate Feared

However, I have noticed a competing trend. Here in Boulder at the 40th parallel, days are a half hour shorter than they were a month ago.  This means that the world will be completely dark in 29 months, which could potentially cause temperatures to drop – offsetting the ongoing increase in CO2.

Regardless of which problem is more serious, it is clear that government intervention and massive taxation is needed to prevent these catastrophic events from occurring.

This date in 1926 was the hottest on record in New York State, at 108 degrees. There were 100 degree temperatures fro Louisiana to New Hampshire.

The hottest July 22nd was in 1901, with the average afternoon temperature across the US at 96 degrees. It was 112 degrees in Illinois and Indiana, and 110 degrees in Iowa and Wisconsin.

On this date in 1934, more than one third of the US was over 100 degrees. It was 112 degrees in Indiana, and 110 degrees in Illinois.

A standard trick for climate alarmists is to post before and after pictures showing what your SUV did to glaciers over the past century.

They don’t mention that the ice loss occurred before 1940.

The National Geographic Archive 

And never mind that the glaciers were much smaller during the Medieval Warm Period, or when Hannibal took elephants across the Alps.

from perhaps the tenth to the sixteenth centuries, the glaciers of the Alps were much less extensive than at present.

At present they are in general retreating … almost as rapid as at Glacier Bay (Alaska)

• National Geographic  1892

National Geographic Weren’t Always MWP Deniers | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog

Retreating Exit Glacier has become an icon of climate change – Anchorage Daily News

The Exit Glacier in Alaska has been retreating since the Little Ice Age.  Barack Obama took a selfie in front of the glacier to highlight climate change.

In a sense, Obama was correct – the Exit Glacier was retreating much faster one hundred years ago than it is now.

The Retreat of Exit Glacier.pdf

I took the National Park Service table above, added 600 meters of retreat since 1974 based on the map in the Anchorage Daily News, and graphed the retreat rates since 1815.  The glacier was retreating much faster before 1918 than it has been since 1918.

Spreadsheet

As is normally the case in climate science, the data shows the exact opposite of the claim being made.

Map below h/t garyh845

National Park Service