GISS Would Show No US Temperature Trend Without The USHCN Adjustments

USHCN daily data : us.txt.gz

GISS US:  data data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.D.txt

Current NCDC data : CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES Climate Summary

The graph above plots published GISS US temperature anomalies, minus the difference between published USHCN temperatures and their raw data (scaled for centigrade of course.)

GISS is based on USHCN, and without their adjustments there is no warming trend since at least 1895.

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USHCN Busted : Their Adjustments Are Much Larger Than They Advertise

USHCN advertises that they cheat by 0.6F, but it is much worse than it seems.

ts.ushcn_anom25_diffs_urb-raw_pg.gif (650×502)

This is heinous enough, but I started thinking about it and realized that it doesn’t make any sense. We have seen hundreds of examples of them cooling the past, and their graph above doesn’t show that. So I calculated the actual adjustment by averaging all valid daily minimum and maximum temperatures at all USHCN stations (per year) and compared them to what they publish.

Their adjustment is much larger than what they admit, and it accounts for the entire claimed GISS US warming trend.

Fig.D.gif (513×438)

There has been no US warming. It was all manufactured by climate activists James Hansen and Tom Karl over the last decade.

Phil Jones and NOAA 1989

February 04, 1989

Last week, scientists from the United States Commerce Department’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that a study of temperature readings for the contiguous 48 states over the last century showed there had been no significant change in average temperature over that period. Dr. (Phil) Jones said in a telephone interview today that his own results for the 48 states agreed with those findings.

Global Warmth In ’88 Is Found To Set a Record – New York Times

James Hansen  1999

Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s “Dust Bowl” that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbeck’s Grapes of Wrath…..

in the U.S. there has been little temperature change in the past 50 years, the time of rapidly increasing greenhouse gases — in fact, there was a slight cooling throughout much of the country

NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

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Why We Should Never Question The Consensus Of Experts

I get messages posted here all the time by people calling me ignorant – for questioning a list of authorities who are happy to receive large quantities of global warming research money. What kind of evil person would question authority? After all, 97% of National Socialist German Workers Party Experts agreed that Jews were destroying Germany during the 1930s.

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US Drought Monitor : Living In The Past

No change in Colorado/New Mexico/Georgia drought conditions over the past week, despite huge amounts of rain. This site was featured prominently by Al Gore this week.

US Drought Monitor

Intellicast – Weekly Precipitation in United States

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Weather Channel : UK Summer To Be A Scorcher – Especially The First Half

21 May 2012

Forecasters predict barbecue summer to rival 2003

But the good news continued as long-range forecasters predicted a baking summer comparable with 2003 – which saw Britain’s all-time record 38.5C (101.3F) temperature – and 2006, the hottest on record at an average of 15.8C.

Weather Services International, part of the Weather Channel, said the ‘pressure blocking’ system which made recent summers cool and wet has disappeared.

Instead, forecasters expect hot and dry high pressure systems, comparable with patterns which delivered the 2003 and 2006 scorchers.

“We expect a summer pattern more like 2002-06, with above-normal temperatures.

“An emerging El Nino event suggests the best chances for significant heat during the first half of summer

Forecasters predict barbecue summer to rival 2003 as temperatures rocket to 27C tomorrow – Telegraph

Good call, Heidi Channel

Butterfly fears after record rain

Jul 12 2012

Butterfly populations could suffer population crashes as a result of the record-breaking wet weather this spring and summer, Sir David Attenborough has warned.Wildlife charity Butterfly Conservation is launching its annual survey of the insects amid concerns that the wettest April to June on record will have hit their breeding season.Prolonged cold, wet weather delays the butterflies emerging, reduces their life-span and hampers mating and egg-laying, Butterfly Conservation said.

This year’s wet weather could lead to a repeat of 2007, when the UK was hit by widespread flooding following torrential rain, causing butterfly numbers to plummet. The charity is urging the public to take part in the Big Butterfly Count to help assess the impact the rainy weather has had on butterflies.

http://www.gazettelive.co.uk/

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Slowest Fire Season Since 2003

The press is hysterical about forest fires this year, but the National Interagency Fire center shows that 2012 has had the fewest fires from January 1 through July 11 of any year since 2003. There have been half as many fires as 2006.

National Interagency Fire Center

Once again, the superstitious press is hysterical about a non-trend.

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1854 : Disastrous Drought And Fires From The Arctic To Mexico

15 Dec 1854 – ENGLISH AND EUROPEAN NEWS.

h/t to Ivan

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1892 : Disastrous Drought In Mexico – 2012 : Disastrous Superstition In The US

10 May 1892 – DROUGHT IN MEXICO. Widespread Destitution. LONDO…

Twitter / billmckibben: savage drought in n. mexic

h/t to Ivan

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The Odds Against Hansen Being Right – Three Hundred Billion Billion Billion Billion To One

GISS trends have been below Hansen’s Scenario C (the “zero emissions after the year 2000” scenario ) for 168 months in a row.

The odds of this happening by chance are 2^168 or 3.4028236692093846346337460743177e+38 to one.

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Liar, Fraudster and Likely Forger Being Paid By The Pacific Institute

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