The northeast US is having its coldest start to the year on record, and a genius BU professor says that spring isn’t late.
This is a busy time of year for Richard B. Primack, a biologist at Boston University. He and his colleagues survey the plants growing around Concord, Mass., recording the first day they send up flowers and leaves.
Compared to the last five springs, things are pretty slow right now around Concord, in large part because of the relatively cold winter and chilly March.
But Dr. Primack wouldn’t call this a late spring. “It’s just much later compared to our recent memories of spring,” he said.
So the latest spring on record isn’t actually late.
The good doctor must have missed January, 1790 in Philadelphia – when it was 70 degrees.
All I know is that my bulbs bloomed a month later, and my azaleas have yet to bloom. of course my memory only goes back 50 odd years.
Forythia this year bloomed in mid April, where as a kid 50+ years ago, they frequently bloomed in mid March.
Ours in mid NC also bloomed mid April when mid Ferbuary is not unusual….
The narcissus are just now starting to bloom.
Or, “… wouldn’t call this a hot summer. It’s just a bit warmer compared to our recent memories of summer.”
“But a hot sun” Why talk about a hot sun? Shouldn’t the sun always have the same strength at the same time of the year? They tell us the sun is a constant in climate modeling.
Even Alaska, which we all know has been boiling hot all winter, is having an unprecedented late spring. Nenana tripod is still up, won’t make the record, but is almost 3 weeks past earlier break ups. Alarmist morons lose again. LMAO.
http://www.nenanaakiceclassic.com/
Real Climate declares Nenana is an excellent proxy for climate change. Considering there is no catastrophic global warming and 2013 was a record late breakup, I’m certain Real Climate will scream about how the 2014 result confirms their fraudulent theory, whatever date the breakup occurs on.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2014/03/the-nenana-ice-classic-and-climate/
Do you remember watching Star Wars, when Obiwan Kenobi does the Jedi mind trick the first time? I remember thinking, no way that could ever work in real life.
Fast forward a few decades, and I see it really does work on a huge percentage of the populace. Someone says something and they believe it just because it was said.
Back when Obiwan Kenobi did his mind trick, CAGW idiots had there Yamal majikrod trick that put the ice-sports back into climate temperatures.
Now that we are wiser the Yamal twig trick doesn’t work any more.
🙂
___”..believe it just because it was said.”___
That reminds me about what we were telling the young people who thought the world was going to end in December 2012. (History repeats!) :-
“Because we know all of these things, we have no reason to believe what any trolls or doom-merchants try to suggest. We can definitely reject their crazy claims with science, statistics, and common sense. In fact, we know there is absolutely zero scientific evidence to backup any of their idiotic, worthless claims. So it isn’t surprising that in four or more years they haven’t changed that fact. The take-home-lesson is: ***Just saying it doesn’t make it true***, especially if the doomsayer is likely to make a profit out of the doom saying.”
In other words, if we aren’t **skeptical** we could fall for any number of scams and hoaxes — such as the doomsday that was supposed to happen in December 2012.
Most people need some proof, or evidence, that backs up these wild claims. Otherwise, I could say something like: “I’ve found a new species of apple tree that has the apples falling upwards!” and everybody would believe me without question.”
So true Peter,
The opposite of skeptical is gullible!
An unskeptical scientist is NOT A SCIENTIST!
Being Skeptical is a good thing! I find it remarkable that the term ‘skeptic’ is often used in a derogatory epithet.
Just checking with Thesaurus! (Roget’s 21st Century Thesaurus, Third Edition Copyright © 2013 by the Philip Lief Group.)
http://thesaurus.com/browse/unskeptical
Being a scientist, or just thinking scientifically requires a large measure of skepticism.
***Just saying it doesn’t make it true***
AHHhh, but that type of logic does not work on those fed Hegalian/Marxist philosophy where BELIEVING does make it true.
In other words in the mid 1800s “the Young Hegelians” were debating how many Angels could dance on the head of a pin. It was Karl Marx who took this kooky idea, that reality did not exist, and insisted ” that theology must yield to the superior wisdom of philosophy” and later “The philosophers have only interpreted the world in various ways – the point however is to change it”
It is interesting to note that it was a wealthy banker and industrialist, Marx’s uncle Benjamin Philips, who bankrolled Marx and Engel.
From WIKI
This Kooky Idea, now manifesting as “Political Correctness” and CAGW was rolled up and tied with a bow by Willi Muenzenberg. The KGB then inserted it into US education, news media and entertainment (Hollywood) as part of their Active Measure operations
Muenzenberg was A Master of Propaganda Who Grew Rich on Soviet Lies He died via a Soviet garrote wire.
There are weak minded people out there who believe in Jedi mind powers.
http://youtu.be/AlEEEXMf8gA
Ever seen Darren Brown in action?
Derren Brown – “Paying with Paper”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Vz_YTNLn6w
(The British ‘mind tricks’ guy)
Yep, it’s colder than usual in my neighborhood. Must mean the whole world is just as cold!
Well that is how you guys determine when the world is getting hotter, by anecdote. Funny how you ignore the cold, which anyone worried about AGW should view as good news. Got agenda? 😆
Yep. It is in the Southern Hemisphere.
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png
It’s colder than usual in my neighborhood, and thankfully I have a whole heap of coal to burn.
UM,um feel the warmth!
Yep, it’s warmer than usual in my neighborhood. Must mean the whole world is just as warmer!
Not very clever really. We’re treated to this crap everytime there’s a warm spell like on the east coast last summer or was that 2012? Also the post isn’t suggesting that our present cold temperatures means anything in particular. The post is pointing out the absurd lengths you people go to when it comes to AGW agitprop – Denying the obvious late spring, for example
It was not warmer last summer on the East Coast. Actually it was down right cool. No temps over 95°F all summer and only five over 90°F… This was the Sunny South???
I count 43 day over 90°F for 2004 by July tenth vs 26 days for 2010 by July tenth and 1 day at 91°F in 2013.
2012 was warm though.
It is amusing to see that there are no days with 90°F, 92°F, 94°F, 97°F and 99°F for the years I checked: 2004, 2010 and 2012 just like the record for 2013 when I looked at it last fall.
But now the 2013 record has data 90°F and 92°F where they inserted ten days of 90°F and above into the record.
As a Lab manager of a Quality lab for decades I learned the tricks for spotting ‘Flinching’ and other telltales of data fraud. One method for catching fraud is to look at the last digit and determine the count. If the data set is large enough the numbers should be equal. Since this is high temperature you would expect either equal numbers or a tapering off with more numbers at 0,1,2 3 than at 7,8,9
There were 105 days 90°F and above for the three years I looked at so that is enough data to see a trend. The data is in °F but looked funny so I also included °C.
Temperature ———- COUNT
(32.2 °C) 90 °F..——..6 ALL in 2013
(32.8 °C) 91 °F..——..41
(33.3 °C) 92 °F..——..4 ALL in 2013
(33.9 °C) 93 °F..—–..10
(34.4 °C) 94 °F..——..0
(35.0 °C) 95 °F..—–..17
(35.55 °C) 96 °F..—..10
(36.1 °C) 97 °F..——..0
(36.67 °C) 98 °F..—..16
(37.2 °C) 99 °F..-..0
(37.77 °C) 100.°F-..1
Now that distribution is weirder than snake shoes since rounding in °C and then switching from °C to °F does account for the problem, well sort of. But does not account for the mysterious ten 2013 data points.
32°C ===> 90 °F
(SO why no 90 °F? there should be a lot of 90 °F in the summer in the south especially with almost half the data points at 91 °F.)
33°C ===> 91 °F
34°C ===> 93 °F
35°C ===> 95 °F
36°C ===> 97 °F
(So why all the 96 °F and 98 °F yet no 97 °F?)
37°C ===> 98 °F
ALL the data for 90 °F and 92 °F is in 2013 and it just so happens to add up to the extra 10 above 90 °F that wasn’t in the same data set last year.
Cool? It was downright lovely! I waited all summer for the hot and stickies to come. They finally did. for about 2 weeks!
I want more summers like that!
Oh it was lovely. No summer drought either
I hope his students read this so that when they show up for class late, they can explain that they are not tardy, just late compared to memory.
I would call my Spring late, compared to memory and to reality.
It is not surprising that spring used to come later 160 years ago, That was at the end of the Little Ice Age. Spring has come earlier over the following years, in a time there was hardly any CO2 being produced by humans. So without CO2 levels rising, spring came earlier. But now CO2 levels are much higher and rising, spring comes later. So there is no correlation, and certainly no causation between higher CO2 levels and the arrival of spring. Yet someone who is a doctor claimes differently.
Harvard paper confirms changes in cherry blossom opening due to UHI.
http://arnoldia.arboretum.harvard.edu/pdf/articles/1893.pdf
GEE, forty years ago Botany was the only non-Marxist department a friend of mine could find. I guess that department finally surrendered. I wonder if they now teach Lysenkoism?
Latest update on AGW
http://www.americanthinker.com/2014/04/global_warming_and_settled_science.html
from an atmospheric physicist.
The term “American Thinker,” in the context of this blog, is an oxymoron. And the article is an opinion piece not written by an “atmospheric physicist.”
From the article in question: ” As a professional scientist, a physicist with 40 years experience in aerospace and extensive knowledge of atmospheric physics”
Close enough, I’d say.
Your name is an oxymoron. Whether the piece is opinion or not is immaterial since you apparently cannot understand it.
I like plants as an indicator of climate. They seem to act as a summary of recent stretches of weather, and in some cases a summary of quite long periods of weather. In many cases a healthy plant is worth much more than a single data point. So I have a question. I have long been amused by the fact that South Carolina styles itself as “the Palmetto State”, when in fact I almost never see palmettos in SC, except on state property, where they look suspiciously like new plantings that were shipped in to replace the palmettos killed in the previous winter. Was the Palmetto State so named because of the abundance of palmettos in an earlier period, say the nineteenth century? An earlier, warmer period, I should add.
There are drawbacks to using plants as an indicator climate. First, higher levels of CO2 in the air enable plants to be heartier and survive through more harsh conditions. Second, UHI enables plants to survive now where they could not 100 years ago.
A neighbor planting a tree discovered the soil was still frozen 10 inches below the surface here on the north coast (near Lake Erie).
The trees here are just starting to bud. And it seems that so-called biologist apparently isn’t aware that cold soil temperatures delay plants spring-time emergence from dormancy. Odd that plant nurseries all seem to know and use that little fact. They refrigerate their dormant stock to keep it dormant until shipped.