Arctic ice increased 12% in 1972, and did not drop back down to its normal size by late 1974.
Now let’s look at the IPCC SAR Arctic sea ice graph, below. The lowermost circle is an approximation what “normal” ice is, based on the description above. By contrast, climate liars start their graphs in 1979 (uppermost circle) and want people to believe that is normal.
I’m going to make a bold prediction here: when we have the first year of Arctic ice at or above its average minimum, the whole gig will finally be up.
A couple of years ago when it was about to go above normal, I caught NSIDC cheating to keep it below the line.
Its hard to maintain employment at the Sea Ice and Data Center, when there is no sea ice problem, of course they fiddle with their data. Mortgages and car notes have to be paid somehow.
The 1970’s was the peak of the last negative AMO phase,
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1b/Amo_timeseries_1856-present.svg
which is highly to the Arctic ice.
err: … highly favorable to the Arctic ice.
My point is, the conditions for recovery of the Arctic ice were much better 40 years ago than now, but the ice is obviously recovering nonetheless.
The average temperatures of the NP have not changed much in the recent decades.
but we could have some good surprises soon,
http://stateoftheocean.osmc.noaa.gov/atm/images/amo_short.gif
The DMI Arctic temperatures show a relatively hot NP right now,
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
but last year was, during the summer, spring and fall, quite cold, comparable to 2004.
Then, having in sight that the Sun also had a pronounced slow down in 2005, we could expect the beginning of 2005 to compare well with 2014, which in fact they do- just go to the above site and click on 2005 and compare the first 50 days with the present graph.
OTOH the year that compares better with 2014 of the whole series (IMO) is 1976, which was also a year of low solar radiations (minimum between cycles #20 and #21) and happened just 2 years before the great spike of Arctic ice 1978-79, as shown in the above graph of Steve’s post.
Therefore, the “recovery” from the lows of 1974 continued despite the relatively “hot winter” (in the NP) of 1976.
I credit the continuation of the recovery in part to the negative AMO and PDO of that time,
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/img/pdo_latest.jpeg
It’s not clear in my mind yet how the Arctic ice will fare this year in comparison with 2013…
Thanks, Steven, for trying to identify each deceptive act in government research agencies.
Why are legislative oversight committees or government auditors not doing this work?
because the entire US government is corrupt!
Regretfully, Gail’s conclusion seems inescapable. So are the implications for post-1945 government science:
1. An irrational cult that is
2. Incompatible with reality
3. Incompatible with spirituality
4. Incompatible with democracy
George Orwell saw this coming when he moved from London to the Scotish Isle of Jura in 1946 to start writing “Nineteen Eighty-Four.”
Gail, you are correct — but there is actually at least one good thing about the total corruption. Consider this: the world is a dangerous place, but corrupt governments keep and increase their powers by greatly inflating the dangers. Their task is to keep the common citizen in a state of fear, so that people will beg for bigger government. Pretty much everyone who reads this blog realizes how CAGW has been a perfect tool for raising fear and increasing government power. We need to remember that just as they are lying to us about CAGW, they may be lying to us about everything else as well. Is Iran evil? Are terrorists really plotting to blow up airplanes with shoe bombs? Is North Korea wishing to detonate an EMP device over America? Hmmmm…maybe, maybe not. The point is that while the world is dangerous, we have NO objective reason to believe what our official governmental sources tell us on the subject — and quite a strong reason to disbelieve them. Maybe North Korea really IS planning destriction for us, but the only way to find out is to discount what we have been told and track down the facts for ourselves.
There is a very good possibility that much of what we fear in the world is not really that big at all. Just as CAGW is a hoax, many of the bad guys in the world may be either non-existent or just puppets our own leaders have created for frightening the sheep. Logical, fact based, verifiable distrust of the government may be the best news we have had in a long time. We can all use some good news!
I agree.
They plant their own seeds of destruction
So relax, enjoy this live re-enactment of the oldest scriptures:
“Truth is victorious, never untruth !”
We know we are a couple hundred years past the half-precession point marking the inception point for glaciation. Most papers I have read seem to rule out a double precession cycle for the Holocene. The paper “Can we predict the duration of an interglacial?” contains the solar insolation for 21 June at 65? N and CO2 for termination of several interglacials.
Current values are insolation = 479 W m?2 and CO2 = 390 ppmv.
MIS 7e – insolation = 463 W m?2, CO2 = 256 ppmv
MIS 11c – insolation = 466 W m?2, CO2 = 259-265 ppmv
MIS 13a – insolation = 500 W m?2, CO2 = 225 ppmv
MIS 15a – insolation = 480 W m?2, CO2 = 240 ppmv
MIS 17 – insolation = 477 W m?2, CO2 = 240 ppmv
Despite Englebeen defending the Climastrologists fake CO2 readings, Zbigniew Jaworowski showed that early ice core measurement gave much higher readings especially if the CO2 is extracted from the whole ice sample and not just the air bubble. So that makes those CO2 reading rather suspect.
Are we headed into glaciation? Heck if I know but given the subdued solar insolation at the possible tail end of the Holocene, the focus of science ONLY on Global Warming with the stated aim of destroying our present technological society is down right weird. Actually it strikes me as mass suicide at least for most of the peasants. This is especially true given the USA got rid of the strategic grain reserves in 1996 then ran the the grain silos dry by 2008. Now the USA is burning any excess grain as bio-fuel. The silos have now been destroyed.
Agenda 21 with its emphasis on apartments in Transit Villages will trap the majority of humans in cities with no land and no possibility of learning survival skills.
In other words the current US policies put us in the same position that the Little Ice Age peasants were in except there are more of us and we are completely dependent on a fossil fuel ‘Just-in-Time’ delivery system for our food.
And GMO crops being genetically the same are therefore more vulnerable to nature.
So one of the questions, at least in my mind is when did the USA take a U-turn from encouraging a good economy and why. I think we can pin point it to the early 1970s.
The seventies is when we saw the start of major red tape designed to strangle the economy: EPA (1970) OSHA (1971) Equal Rights Amendment (1972) for example. At that time (1970) the labor force in manufacturing was 24%, in farming 4.6% Over 30% of labor was directly involved in building real wealth. By the last Census manufacturing was less than 9%, and farming ~1% (GDP only tracks the exchange of money and not the building of wealth BTW)
SEE: Federal regulations have lowered real GDP growth by 2% per year since 1949 and made America 72% poorer — (wwwDOT) aei-ideas.org/2013/06/federal-regulations-have-lowered-gdp-growth-by-2-per-year/
The UN Earth Summit in 1972 is when Maurice Strong invited activists to go home and raise He!! thereby shifting political power from the adults to easily manipulated spoiled teenagers.
Elaine Dewar wrote in Toronto’s Saturday Night magazine:
However the really interesting document is the 1974 CIA report:
The 1974 CIA report: “A Study of Climatological Research as it Pertains to Intelligence Problems” certainly doesn’t give me any faith that our political leaders are concerned with the peasants survival either.
Holdren and the other Malthusians from Stanford University are not alone. The US government has been behind them since BEFORE the book Human Ecology: Problems and Solutions (1973) was published recommending the USA be de-developed. The book just echoed the real thoughts of the US government of that time. Given Holdren is Obama’s Science Czar and the Malthusian drivel is still coming out of Stanford I do not see that the actual mindset in DC has changed.
OH, and you can add the seed banks, DNA testing (and banking) of all babies born in the USA and UK, DNA banks for 4-H livestock. Not to mention the USDA providing the funds for development of Epicyte’s spermicidal corn.
Do you have a link for the “Can we predict the duration of an interglacial?” paper?
Can we predict the duration of an interglacial?
I try to stay at two links so I do not have my comment booted into a snowbank.
Thanks.
So from ARCUI, we are just below “normal” Arctic ice now?
And that’s the reason they need trillions in carbon credits?
Depends on what you call “Normal” How Climastrologis define ‘Normal’ is all part of the CAGW HOAX.
blockquote> Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic 2010
Miller et al
Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research and Department of Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, USA et al
…. Solar energy reached a summer maximum (9% higher than at present) ~11 ka ago and has been decreasing since then, primarily in response to the precession of the equinoxes. The extra energy elevated early Holocene summer temperatures throughout the Arctic 1-3°C above 20th century averages, enough to completely melt many small glaciers throughout the Arctic, although the Greenland Ice Sheet was only slightly smaller than at present. Early Holocene summer sea ice limits were substantially smaller than their 20th century average, and the flow of Atlantic water into the Arctic Ocean was substantially greater. As summer solar energy decreased in the second half of the Holocene, glaciers re-established or advanced, sea ice expanded…
A more recent paper looking at glaciers in Norway.
The authors of BOTH papers state that most glaciers likely didn’t exist 6,000 years ago, and the highest period of the glacial activity has been in the past 600 years. This is hardly surprising with ~9%decline in solar energy.
Reblogged this on Power To The People and commented:
Climate Change Theory Jumped the Shark a long time ago but con men like Obama keep pushing the lies.
CAGW never crawled out of the sewer far enough to make it to “Theory” the kindest words for it is the Climate Change Conjecture.
“Weak hypothesis”.
Normal? Normal? How can a chaotic system such as climate have a “normal”? Hate the use of normal when related to climate and /or weather.
In a sense, normal for deterministically chaotic systems (such as weather of which climate is a summary of the weather over an arbitrary baseline of time) would be the strange attractor(s) that most of the paths ‘orbit’. It seems for planet Earth, given the current continental distribution, we have weather that results in a bistable regime. Hothouse and ice-house. We’ve been in the ice-house mostly (since we still have persistent glaciers, I do believe that geologists would say that we’re in an ice age right now, living in an interglacial period; which means that the glaciers have mostly retreated to their minimum extents).
Climatologists picked an incredibly talented engineer to misrepresent.
The whole universe has life and breathes because
1. The strong, short-range force of neutron repulsion is opposed by
2. The weak, long-range gravitational force of attraction.
Engineering completely beyond the comprehension of wannabe scientists. What an engineering feat !
http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-19496674
In 2012 Peter Wadhams said “Arctic melt is like adding 20
Years of CO2.” What an alarmist dolt. Now that the ice is in an expanding cycle, then what? Peter Wadhams hypothesis is in the ?. And global temperatures have don nothing for almost 20 Years.