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With the failure of so many “Warmist” predictions ; it would now be logical for those Alarmists to tone back their extremism to a more believable level… but no, the BS continues unabated..!
I say encourage them to do more…
The more hysterical they get…the more they are turning people off
BS feedback loops.
Based on CFSR data (used to initialize the Global Forecast System weather forecast model four times each day), it was only the 5th “hottest” since 1979 and this was probably largely from the El Niño warming.
https://oz4caster.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/figure-3-global-temperature-anomaly-2015-annual-prel1.gif
More details here:
Preliminary 2015 CFSR Global Temperature Anomalies
UAH (to end of November for each year) has 2015 in third place, with absolutely NO possibility of jumping to 2nd or 1st place and a slight possibility of falling to 4th place
RSS (to end of November for each year) has 2015 in 4th place , with a slight possibility of it jumping to 3rd place.
While some places have has quite warm Decembers, some have also had quite cool Decembers.
We will see where Global RSS and UAH for December end up sometime in the next week or so, with a regional breakdown some time mid-month.
Only the MASSIVE data manipulation and fabrication from the AGW scammers in NCDC, NOAA, GISS, Hadley ie Tom Petersen, Tom Karl and Gavin Schmidt, Phil Jones, show 2015 as the warmest..
It should be noted that they were given this “directive” at the beginning of the year.. or earlier.
Warmists never seem to notice that it warms ONLY when we have an El-Nino phase,otherwise it is flat to a cooling trend.
That begs the question where is superman CO2 hiding?
The ONLY warming in the whole satellite record is the approximately 0.26ºC step from the 1998 El Nino, and a slight warming from the current sort-of El Nino.
http://s19.postimg.org/ojf5tbz1v/RSS_cancel.jpg
There is ABSOLUTELY NO CO2 WARMING SIGNATURE IN THE WHOLE OF THE SATELLITE TEMPERATURE DATA.
Here in NC December was “abnormally” warm, and the expected cry arose about “GLOBAL” warming. (Small minds have a very small “globe”) Of course, what happened here in the mid-Atlantic Coast is exactly what was predicted to happen as a direct result of the strong el Nino, But, hey, we can’t let contrary facts spoil our alarmism.
“Only the MASSIVE data manipulation and fabrication from the AGW scammers in NCDC, NOAA, GISS, Hadley ie Tom Petersen, Tom Karl and Gavin Schmidt, Phil Jones, show 2015 as the warmest.”
We all know they will be trying hard to have 2015 come in first. But if that is not possible, coming in a close 2nd place will still have propaganda value. And having a tiny bit of variation rather than each successive year winning may look more “sciency”.
Religious and political leaders have long opposed Copernicus’s 1543 finding: The Sun controls the Earth.
That conclusion is supported by the fact that the Sun is ~1,000 times more massive than all of planets combined, and ~133,000 times more massive than the Earth.
After 1945, scientists joined forces with religionists and political leaders in supporting the strange Big Bang proposition that the whole universe originated in a cipher, aimlessly rushes nowhere, and along the way an interstellar cloud of mostly hydrogen magically collapsed into an iron-rich planet Earth orbiting the hydrogen-filled Sun.
Hottest years according to NCEP
http://the…incon…venients…keptic.com/2015/12/2015-was-not-the-hottest-year/
(Copy link and remove the sets of 3 dots)
AHHH, you found a way to insert that link. I will have to try that method.
As John Kehr says, it will be interesting to see what happens to the El Nino going forward.
IFIRCC, someone (Bob Tisdale?) mentioned it takes about 15 years for the warm water from an El Nino to make its way to Alaska.
This has the reconstructed ENSO data
http://climexp.knmi.nl/getindices.cgi?WMO=RapidData/enso_li&STATION=Li_ENSO&TYPE=i&id=someone@somewhere&NPERYEAR=1
http://climexp.knmi.nl/data/ienso_li_a.png
Here are the solar cycles
http://www.solen.info/solar/cycles1_24.png
Between 1780 and 1840, it looks like there were some strong El Ninos. (Release of heat from the ocean) and a very quiet sun.
The Central England Temperature and a tale of that time – Charles Dicken’s life.
https://noconsensus.files.wordpress.com/2010/01/image4.jpg
Interesting read . Tony brings a bit of life to the temperatures during the Dalton Minimum.
about 15 years for the warm water from an El Nino to make its way to Alaska.
=====
I think Bob is incredibly wrong about that….it was easy to track because of the radiation from Fukushima
So how many years and do you have a link for my collection?
noooooo LOL……I remember reading not too long ago about they were measuring radiation from the melt down on the west coast…and before that, they were finding debris
I suppose just count backward from that…
Gail, totally off topic, but this might interest you.
http://notrickszone.com/2016/01/02/how-the-250-billion-us-diabetes-industry-operates-theres-a-lot-of-money-to-be-made-keeping-you-sick/#sthash.k8xzCBvU.dpbs
Thanks Latitude, Andy,
One thing not mentioned is the role of saturated fats in reducing obesity.
Not only is the USDA food pyramid bad for you but the switch from butter and animal fats to margarine and veggie oils was too.
Changing dietary trends and the obesity epidemic
OT.. the financial and environmental MESS left by FAILED wind turbine projects.
http://notrickszone.com/2016/01/01/lured-by-unrealistic-promises-for-profit-german-communities-wind-up-with-financial-disasters-and-damaged-environments/#sthash.UHuU66b8.dpbs
Of course these : Wind Turbine Project failures in Germany, should be a heads up and headline News : for every Country that’s considering Intermittent / unreliable energy…
Again, the Truth is being suppressed by fanatics in the Green movement…
I should also add : Greenpeace is amongst the very worse for Lies & deception:
http://www.greenpeace.org/australia/en/what-we-do/climate/renewable-energy-myths1/
One of my favorite greenie lies…
Right now, the fossil fuel industry is heavily subsidised and if its subsidies were stripped away then renewable energy would be cheaper than coal and gas power.
subsidy noun sub·si·dy \?s?b-s?-d?, -z?-\
money that is paid usually by a government to keep the price of a product or service low or to help a business or organization to continue to function
Fossil fuels get “tax breaks”, and are not given other people’s tax money. Of course you can now find new definitions of “subsidy” written to support the BS greenie claims, new definitions just like we find in Orwell’s famous book.
He who controls the language, controls thought.
Of course Progressives aka socialists, believe that ALL money belongs to the government. Anytime someone is allowed to keep their own money, they are really getting a gift from the government.
According to leftist logic, churches are subsidized by the government.
Yes that is one of my favorites (with at least a thin layer of fact)
The other favorite is
I” Secretly Funding the Climate Denial Machine” (Greenpeeing)
Secret funding helped build vast network of climate denial thinktanks (Groiniad)
Global Warming Deniers: A Well-Funded Machine (NewsSqueek)
Scientific fraud and the power structure of science
Funny how the screamer always over look the fact that the biggest funder of science is government and that governments the world over are controlled by the ELITE and not us serfs….
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.” — H. L. Mencken
That was true a century ago and it is even more true now.
IF “According to leftist logic, churches are subsidized by the government.” then so are the Clintons, Rockefellers, Fords, Kellogs, Morgans….. Greenpeace, WWWF (they actual get government funding)and all the rest that have tax exempt foundations.
Since this thread is about 2015 (or whatever year) being the next “warmest ever in the 4 billion year history of the planet”, I think some folks might like some Real Science(TM) for the new year. (I even worked in Tony’s site name!)
Over at Tallbloke’s Talkshop I saw a prediction by Roger on the weather for 2016 and then the next century. There is a graph and everything.
https://tallbloke.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/salvador-projection.png?w=614
The short post is here: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2015/12/31/global-cooling-ahead-my-prediction-for-2016-and-beyond/
The real action is in the following thread, just like it is most of the time at this place.
Executive summery: Long term cooling but it will be relatively slight and not a new “little ice age”. Rog uses his own model which looks to be optimistic about the northern hemisphere not freezing like in the little ice age.
Disclaimer: I personally think we are looking at a darn cold 21st century and would boldly make that prediction except that my age and health says that I will probably not live to see even 20 percent of the new century and so me making predictions would be a tad cowardly, no?
Salvator and Rog, think it will be a Dalton Minimum and not a Maunder Minimum. Either way it is a killer for our food crops.
Think what this means to Russia ESPECIALLY Russia, North Korea, China , the Middle East and even India.
If that is correct, then Russia and China need to make money to buy food. The Russians have oil and gas while the Chinese are doing very well at nearly everything they try.
The ancient Chinese curse is “May you live in interesting times”. Looks like humanity will live in interesting times.
It’s not China “doing very well at nearly everything they try”. It’s outsiders going there and doing what they do well to use their much cheaper labor and avoid the environmental and labor laws they must contend with in more developed nations. In short the asset that China has now is the very same one it has had for all of modern times. It’s massive population.
The examples are endless but here is one I doubt anyone here knows. I have a friend that is an engineer for Delta. You know, the company that specializes in plumbing fixtures. His job requires him to fly to China multiple times each year to set up and monitor production of new products or versions of existing products.
One program he monitors there is the making of porcelain toilet stools and tanks. What Delta is doing is going to rural villages and training the indigenous people there to produce the slip and mold it into the green state. The rest of the production process, like firing, and finishing is done elsewhere. So those of you that have a toilet bowl from Delta may be sitting on a product that was produced in a Chinese village that doesn’t even have inside plumbing yet.
Such programs make the PRCs leadership very happy because one of their biggest problems is the massive influx of population in their urban areas because the people leave the country to find jobs there an gain the generally much higher standard of living that the city dwellers in China enjoy over their rural countrymen.
Rah, I was seated on a plane in front of a Chinese sales rep who was visiting plants here in the US, with a goal of finding a plant to manufacture containers for their products which would be sold in the US. She was seated with two US manufacturing reps and the conversation turned to international sales. One of the US reps asked the Chinese woman which country was the most difficult for conducting busiuness, and the Chinese woman replies, “The US, by far”.
RAH,
Once upon a time, the people of the USA in small towns and villages fled to the cities to have a higher standard of living. Some fools claim that the people working in factories in those days were “oppressed”, but the people themselves saw their life as better in the city than living in the country doing back breaking work. Now we see that in China. We also see the jobs of the western world going to China. Real unemployment in the USA is very high although government figures make it look not so bad. What? Government would lie? Yep.
Regardless, the Chinese currency is becoming the new reserve currency and the USA may see its currency avoided as the US hyper-inflates the currency. Interesting times ahead.
~ Mark
Very much interesting times:
The China toll: Growing U.S. trade deficit with China cost more than 2.7 million jobs between 2001 and 2011, with job losses in every state
US frets as major EU powers join new China-led ‘World Bank’
China-Based Hacking of 760 Companies Shows Cyber Cold War
I can not find the article I saw a month or two ago about the Chinese Government slamming the door on foreign bankers now that they have learned the ins and outs of the international banking system. But my comment on it at Jo Nova’s is HERE. Funny ZERO info in the MSM about this major move. (I saw this coming LONG ago. After all the Communists are notorious for ‘nationalizing’ someone else’s going business. Never could see why any smart business person would set up a factory in a Communist country.)
Tuesday, 01 April, 2014
December 20, 2015 The IMF Changes its Rules to Isolate China and Russia
That can’t be right !
All those heat trapping greenhouse gases keep the Earth toasty warm so that the real hottest year just seems cool from space.
When the satellites record snowball Earth that will be the hottest year ever !