It started with Paul Douglass blaming a computer forecast on global warming caused by the Koch Brothers, which predicted 39 degrees above normal on December 12 in Wisconsin.
The current forecast is 47 degrees, 12 degrees above normal.
December 12 temperatures in Wisconsin have been declining for a century. The warmest December 12 occurred in 1949, at 59 degrees.
So then the brainless Michael Mann checked in claiming that heatwaves are increasing.
The frequency of hot days in Wisconsin has plummeted to record lows – down 80% since the 1930’s.
The duration of heatwaves in Wisconsin has also plummeted, In 1901, Broadhead, WI had 18 straight days over 95 degrees.
Climate experts are complete buffoons who understand nothing about the climate – past, present or future.
And isn’t this an El Niño winter where temps are generally warmer?
As we all know, if it is colder than normal it is weather, if it is warmer than normal it is global warming. I am surprised that Obama did not preach about global warming in his terrorist speech.
heat extremes……when I leave the house I’m exposed to morons that fall for this crap
“47 degrees, 12 degrees above normal.”
so “average is 35.. (degrees F, obviously).. brrrrrrr. no thank you.
+39 = 74ºF.. = approx. 23ºC
Sounds pretty darn IDEAL to me !! 🙂
That looks like more ammunition about how their models are bunk if it doesn’t turn out to be that warm
Wondering why it’s a ‘record’ temperature year? It was high TSI in 2015.
In order, from high to low, http://lasp.colorado.edu/lisird/tss/sorce_tsi_24hr.csv
2015, 1361.4512
2014, 1361.3966
2013, 1361.3587
2012, 1361.2413
2011, 1361.0752
2003, 1361.0262
2004, 1360.9192
2010, 1360.8027
2005, 1360.7518
2006, 1360.6735
2007, 1360.5710
2009, 1360.5565
2008, 1360.5382
http://lasp.colorado.edu/data/sorce/total_solar_irradiance_plots/images/tim_level3_tsi_24hour_3month_640x480.png
Sep, 1361.1063
Oct, 1361.3139
Nov, 1361.3688
TSI was also higher for most of October and November, compared to September, driving Nov/Dec temps upward:
https://oz4caster.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/figure-2-global-temperature-anomaly-update-2014-2015-nov-um.gif?w=700
2016 will NOT be a record year as there will be no long outstanding solar cycle TSI peak like Feb 2015. Enjoy it while lasts, solar minimum is on the way… It took 6-7 years for TSI to drop to it’s lowest levels in 2008, and UAH temps followed. SSTs had a similar dip for 2008, also tracking TSI. Easy to see the temp drop here into 2008:
Every bit of the increase in temps since 2008 is from the rise in TSI during SC24. Even though it’s the lowest SSN cycle in 100 years, SC24 was (and is) still potent.
It’s TSI. It’s the Sun! 😉
Looks like Paul Douglass apparently power-slammed a double shot of warmist kool-aid.
Easy to see the temp drop here into 2008:
http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_November_2015_v6.png
Thanks for re-iterating here Bob,
I posted this in another thread somewhere.. with attribution to you, of course 🙂
Wunderground is currently forecasting a high of 47F for the 12th, which will be less than one third of their prediction. We need to remember to ask Paul to explain why their models were so far off, and see if he’ll offer an apology to Exxon and the Koch bros. for the false accusations.
Here I have to be the devil’s advocate.
The Lakes in southern Minnesota have yet to freeze this year. It is the latest I have known them to be completely unfrozen.
Of course it is simply weather and most of US weather happens as a result of things happening in the Pacific.
Nevertheless, it is surprising to see no ice at all. and without saying how old I am, I can say I was out of high school when jack Kennedy was shot.
I have gone ice fishing on this date!
Paul Douglass (the one I know) is a meteorologist and has spoken at Mankato State University on climate stuff. You know his slant
Lakes in southeast Wisconsin didn’t freeze over until middle of January in winter 2005-06 but they did eventually freeze over
I just read an article and I empathise with it: though we are using top generation satellites and computer simulations, there’s a long way to understand climate:http://oceansgovernclimate.com/the-long-way-to-understand-climate/. Yes, it is!
This is what kills me about these climo-clowns. There can be two solid years of below average temps with blizzards and record snow fall. These propagandists will keep a lower profile than Adolph Eichmann after he found out that the allies were looking for him, but the moment they have conditions that somewhat fit their narrative they’re leading a parade down Michigan Avenue promoting the hell out of it.